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紧贴环线的外环板块,吃到政策红利了吗
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-20 03:18
Core Viewpoint - The new policy significantly benefits the outer ring real estate market in Shanghai, particularly for properties outside the outer ring, leading to increased demand and sales activity [4][9][102]. Policy Adjustments - The threshold for non-local residents to purchase property has been reduced from three years of tax or social security payments to one year, facilitating quicker home purchases for newcomers [3]. - Non-local residents are no longer restricted from buying properties outside the outer ring, reducing barriers for upgrading housing [3]. - Local single individuals are now considered as families, stimulating more local demand for improved housing [3]. Market Response - Following the policy announcement, the number of new clients for properties outside the outer ring increased by 19% [9]. - The transaction volume in outer ring areas showed a notable increase, with some areas experiencing over 50% growth in sales compared to the previous week [17][18]. - The average transaction price in several outer ring areas has also seen an uptick, with some areas like Chuan Sha witnessing a 12.82% increase post-policy [24]. Sales Performance by Area - Areas close to the outer ring, such as Chun Shen and Shang Da, have the highest viewing-to-listing ratios, indicating strong buyer interest [12]. - Specific neighborhoods like Tao Pu and Tang Zhen reported significant sales increases, with transaction volumes rising by 30.77% and 53.85% respectively [17]. - The average price of properties in some areas, such as Hua Jing, increased by 9.65% after the policy change [23]. Inventory and Pricing Trends - The overall inventory of second-hand homes in Shanghai remains high, with over 102,200 listings as of the end of August [33]. - Despite high inventory levels, the number of new listings in outer ring areas has decreased, suggesting a more stable pricing environment [34][37]. - The proportion of listings with increased prices has risen, indicating a shift in seller sentiment and confidence in the market [40][42]. New Construction Market - The new policy has primarily benefited the new housing market, with a 35% increase in transaction volume for new homes in the outer ring [82]. - The average daily visits to new developments have surged to between 80 and 100, reflecting heightened buyer interest [82]. - New projects in areas like Fengxian and Meilong have seen substantial sales, with top projects selling 170 and 150 units respectively [92]. Conclusion - The new policy has catalyzed a shift in the Shanghai real estate market, favoring properties in the outer ring and enhancing buyer confidence, particularly in new developments [102][109].
实探!上海楼市新政首周观察:郊区新盘成交翻倍,二手房带看量激增
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-01 09:41
Core Viewpoint - Shanghai's new real estate policy, implemented on August 25, aims to address structural market issues by allowing eligible families outside the outer ring to purchase homes without restrictions and increasing the public housing fund loan limits, which has quickly attracted market attention [1][2]. Group 1: Market Response - The first week after the policy's implementation saw a significant increase in market activity, with new home sales doubling compared to the previous week, and some projects achieving "sold out" status on the first day [1][2]. - The policy has led to a surge in inquiries and viewings in the second-hand housing market, indicating a recovery in market confidence [5][6]. - The new policy has effectively reduced home purchasing costs, stimulating demand in the outer ring new housing market [1][3]. Group 2: Sales Performance - The Jinmao Tangqian project in Baoshan district launched 160 units at an average price of 53,900 yuan per square meter, achieving a subscription rate of 162.5% on the opening day [2]. - The Poly Haishangyin project also reported strong performance, with a subscription rate of 170% for 168 units, indicating robust demand in the outer ring area [2][3]. - Sales figures from the previous week showed a 35.25% increase in new residential area transactions, with significant contributions from the outer districts [7]. Group 3: Future Expectations - Analysts expect the positive effects of the new policy to continue, especially with the traditional peak sales season of "Golden September and Silver October" approaching [1][8]. - The new policy is anticipated to bring over a 20% increase in customer volume for large residential projects, enhancing sales momentum [7][8]. - Despite the positive outlook, there remains a cautionary note regarding the varying performance across different projects, with some experiencing lower demand [9].