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软通动力(301236):营收高增长,鸿蒙+机器人贡献长期成长动力
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved significant revenue growth of 78.13%, reaching RMB 31.316 billion, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 66.21% to RMB 180 million. The long-term growth drivers are expected to come from the HarmonyOS and robotics sectors [1][6][9] - The company is positioned to benefit from the expanding market for AI PCs and humanoid robots, with a forecasted revenue growth of 11.4% in 2025 and 14.2% in 2026 [6][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of RMB 31.316 billion, a year-on-year increase of 78.13%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 180 million, down 66.21% from the previous year [1][9] - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 12.46%, a decrease of 6.80 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 0.58%, down 2.46 percentage points [9] Revenue Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 34.882 billion, RMB 39.847 billion, and RMB 45.771 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 393 million, RMB 570 million, and RMB 703 million [6][8] Market Position and Growth Opportunities - The company is expected to gain from the transition to AI PCs, with a projected 40% of global PC shipments being AI PCs by 2025. The company's PC shipments are expected to grow by 106% in 2024, increasing its market share to 9% [9] - The humanoid robot market in China is projected to reach RMB 750 billion by 2029, with the company actively developing related products and partnerships [9]
软通动力(301236):基本盘稳健运营,AI+国产化多点开花
CMS· 2025-05-02 12:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to face profit pressure in 2024 due to mergers and acquisitions, but the software business shows signs of stabilization and improvement. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities in AI and domestic production [1][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 31.316 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 78.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 180 million yuan, down 66.21% year-on-year [7]. - The report emphasizes the company's strategy of integrating hardware and software, which is expected to enhance profitability in the future [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 17.581 billion yuan in 2023, 31.316 billion yuan in 2024, and expected growth to 32.906 billion yuan in 2025 [2][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to recover from 180 million yuan in 2024 to 370 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 105% [2][14]. - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 306.9 in 2024 to 149.5 in 2025, indicating a potential improvement in valuation [2][14]. Business Performance - In 2024, the company's software and digital technology services generated revenue of 18.121 billion yuan, while the computer products and intelligent electronics business contributed 12.920 billion yuan [7]. - The company has launched several AI products and established strategic partnerships to enhance its offerings in various industries, including insurance, retail, and healthcare [7]. - The company is focusing on domestic production, with its PC terminal business leading in the government and education sectors [7].