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药明合联(2268.HK):H1业绩超预期 长期CAPEX彰显信心
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 03:13
Core Viewpoint - WuXi AppTec continues to experience rapid growth, with capital expenditures expected to exceed 7 billion RMB by 2029, indicating strong long-term development confidence [1][2] Group 1: Financial Projections - EPS for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.30, 1.85, and 2.57 RMB respectively [1] - A PE ratio of 50 is applied for 2025, leading to a target price of 64.92 RMB per share, which translates to approximately 70.56 HKD per share [1] Group 2: Project and Order Growth - The number of projects in the pipeline is expanding, with 37 new comprehensive projects signed in the first half of 2025, bringing the total to 225 projects, an increase of 58 [1] - The total number of IND projects reached 103 as of June 30, 2025, marking an increase of 27 [1] - The total unfulfilled order amount stands at 1.329 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 57.9%, with North America accounting for over half of this total [1] Group 3: Capital Expenditure and Capacity Expansion - Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be 1.56 billion RMB, with approximately 900 million RMB allocated to the Singapore base [2] - By 2029, total capital expenditures are projected to exceed 7 billion RMB, aimed at expanding domestic and international capacities, including conjugated solutions and payload linkers [2] - Expansion projects are underway in Wuxi and Shanghai, along with the design of a new base in Jiangyin, with expectations to double existing capacities [2] Group 4: Long-term Trends and Revenue Contribution - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate exceeding the industry average from 2024 to 2030, supported by its leading technology and delivery quality [2] - By 2030, the XDC project is anticipated to account for 20% of revenue, with M-end revenue also expected to exceed 20% [2]