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大制造中观策略行业周报:周期筑底、驭势而上、主题轮动-20250722
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-07-22 05:31
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 | 机械设备 本周报意在汇总大制造中观策略组内部每周重要深度报告、重要点评报告与边际 变化的观点。 ❑ 【团队核心标的】 华大九天,上海沿浦,浙江荣泰,罗博特科,巨星科技,雅迪控股,爱玛科 技,洪都航空,中际联合,北特科技等。 ❑ 【核心组合】 三一重工、徐工集团、山推股份、杭叉集团、安徽合力、中力股份、诺力股份、 兰剑智能、巨星科技、涛涛车业、杰克股份、华通线缆、中航沈飞、中航西飞、 洪都航空、中航成飞、内蒙一机、北方导航、中兵红箭、中国海防、西部材料、 中国船舶、中国重工。 截至 2025/07/18,上周(2025/07/14-2025/07/18)板块跟踪指数中,表现最好的 五大指数为:通信(申万)(+8%)、医药生物(申万)(+4%)、汽车(申万) (+3%)、机械设备(申万)(+3%)、国防军工(申万)(+2%)。 截至 2025/07/18,上周(2025/07/14-2025/07/18)大制造板块跟踪指数中,表现 最好的三大指数为:长江锂电设备指数(+5%)、汽车零部件(申万)(+4%)、 汽车(申万)(+3%)。 周期筑底、驭势而上、主题轮动 ——大制造中观策略 ...
浙商证券浙商早知道-20250716
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 23:30
Market Overview - On July 15, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.42%, while the CSI 300 rose by 0.03%, the STAR 50 increased by 0.39%, the CSI 1000 decreased by 0.3%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.73%. The Hang Seng Index increased by 1.6% [4] - The best-performing sectors on July 15 were telecommunications (+4.61%), computers (+1.42%), electronics (+0.79%), home appliances (+0.59%), and automobiles (+0.58%). The worst-performing sectors were coal (-1.92%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-1.62%), utilities (-1.6%), textiles and apparel (-1.55%), and beauty and personal care (-1.53%) [4] - The total trading volume for the A-share market on July 15 was 16,350.05 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.824 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Recommendations Company: Xuguang Electronics (600353) - The company is a leading domestic supplier of vacuum devices, with growth potential in controlled nuclear fusion and electronic materials [5] - Key points include being a top supplier of megawatt-level electronic tubes, with the DB967 tube applicable in nuclear fusion, and having leading domestic capacity in aluminum nitride, which may alleviate supply chain constraints [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1,953.40 million yuan, 2,390.02 million yuan, and 3,033.57 million yuan, with growth rates of 23.13%, 22.35%, and 26.93% respectively. Net profit forecasts are 166.93 million yuan, 208.79 million yuan, and 274.04 million yuan, with growth rates of 62.89%, 25.08%, and 31.25% respectively [5] Company: Wancheng Group (300972) - The company is positioned as a pure player in the hard discount sector and is the only listed company in the bulk snack market, with strong scale advantages and bargaining power [6] - The company operates over 15,000 stores, which enhances its bargaining power within the supply chain. As subsidy expenses decrease, there is potential for improved net profit margins [6] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 54,008 million yuan, 64,250 million yuan, and 73,350 million yuan, with growth rates of 67.06%, 18.96%, and 14.16% respectively. Net profit projections are 936 million yuan, 1,292 million yuan, and 1,602 million yuan, with growth rates of 218.81%, 38.03%, and 24.06% respectively [7]