Summary of Haierong Cold Chain Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Haierong Cold Chain - **Industry**: Cold Chain and Refrigeration Equipment Key Points Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Haierong's frozen domestic sales revenue decreased by 40% year-on-year, while export revenue increased by 52%, driven by product structure optimization and higher gross margins in export business [2][5] - The company maintains a full-year revenue growth forecast of 7%-16%, currently achieving approximately 13% [3][18] - Cash flow remains strong, with expectations for the trend to mirror the first half of the year [3][17] Business Segments Performance - Domestic cold storage revenue grew by 36% year-on-year in Q2 2025, benefiting from deeper collaborations with clients in the beverage sector [2][6] - Supermarket cabinet sales saw a nearly 50% increase in domestic revenue and a 61% increase in export revenue, attributed to enhanced cooperation with existing clients and new application scenarios [2][5] - Smart cabinet domestic revenue surged by 240%, driven by increased investments from downstream brand clients, although overseas market growth is limited due to 5G infrastructure and mobile payment challenges [2][5][21] Market Trends and Outlook - The North American market experienced a 29% decline in sales in H1 2025 due to tariff policies, with expectations for this trend to continue into H2 [2][8][9] - The domestic frozen market is not expected to see a significant turning point in H2 2025, but the likelihood of further substantial declines is low due to previous downturns [2][10] - The company is optimistic about the domestic cold storage business over the next three to five years, supported by strong product competitiveness and established client relationships [6][7] Competitive Landscape - The company maintains a stable position among major clients like Yili and Mengniu, despite the introduction of other suppliers [11] - The overall industry demand has decreased significantly, but Haierong has increased its market share among smaller clients, maintaining its industry position [12] Regional Performance - In H1 2025, revenue growth in Asia (excluding China) was 37%, accounting for 58% of total export revenue, while North America saw a 29% decline [13] - The European market is expected to grow slowly due to cultural differences and competition, while the Southeast Asian market, particularly Indonesia, is viewed as a key growth area due to favorable economic conditions [19] Gross Margin and Product Strategy - The improvement in gross margin is primarily due to the optimization of product structure, with the frozen export business having the highest gross margin [15] - The domestic cold storage business's gross margin reached 13% in Q2 2025, with expectations for gradual improvement [16] Future Strategies - The company is developing products suitable for local networks and payment methods in overseas markets to address current limitations [21] - There are no specific growth targets provided for individual product categories, only an overall revenue guidance [20] Additional Insights - The company is actively working on the construction of its factory in Indonesia, which is expected to alleviate tariff impacts once operational [4][9] - The cash flow situation has improved due to reduced accounts receivable and effective collection efforts [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth in Q1, but the change in product structure has put pressure on the gross margin [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 2.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 11.67%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 353.66 million yuan, down 14.39% year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to see a recovery in revenue growth from 2025 onwards, with projected revenues of 3.19 billion yuan in 2025, 3.63 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.99 billion yuan in 2027 [3][10] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 27.8%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for different product lines: 35.3% for frozen display cabinets, 14% for refrigerated display cabinets, 21.7% for supermarket display cabinets, and 22.1% for smart vending machines [8] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 12.5%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.02 yuan in 2025, 1.18 yuan in 2026, and 1.35 yuan in 2027 [3][10] Revenue and Growth Projections - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow at a rate of 12.63% in 2025, 14.00% in 2026, and 9.77% in 2027 [3][10] - The revenue from frozen display cabinets is projected to grow by 5% in 2025, 15% in 2026, and 10% in 2027, while refrigerated display cabinets are expected to see growth rates of 30%, 15%, and 10% respectively during the same period [9][10] Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a leading market share and brand influence in the frozen display cabinet sector, with a comprehensive coverage of mainstream beverage brands in the domestic market [8] - The growth in refrigerated display cabinets is attributed to North American customers placing orders in anticipation of tariff changes [8]