Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Shun'an Environment (stock code: 002011) [2][5][56] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a total revenue of 9.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million yuan, up 18.46% year-on-year [5][6] - The gross profit margin has been improving, with a gross margin of 17.91% for the first three quarters of 2025, and 19.25% for Q3 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [5][12] - The company is actively promoting new growth areas in automotive thermal management and energy storage thermal management, with significant orders from major clients [7][56] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024A: 12.678 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.387 billion yuan (growth of 5.6%) - 2026E: 14.896 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2027E: 16.735 billion yuan (growth of 12.3%) [2][56] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2024A: 1.045 billion yuan - 2025E: 1.163 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2026E: 1.343 billion yuan (growth of 15.5%) - 2027E: 1.536 billion yuan (growth of 14.3%) [2][56] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 0.98 yuan - 2025E: 1.09 yuan - 2026E: 1.26 yuan - 2027E: 1.44 yuan [2][56] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratios**: - 2024A: 13.81 - 2025E: 12.40 - 2026E: 10.74 - 2027E: 9.39 [2][56] Business Segment Performance - **Automotive Thermal Management**: Revenue reached 481 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81.84% [6][8] - **Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Components**: Revenue of 5.412 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.8% year-on-year [6][8] - **Refrigeration Equipment**: Revenue declined by 31.43% to 483 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [6][8] Market Conditions - The domestic air conditioning market is expected to face pressure in the coming months due to reduced support from the old-for-new policy and high base effects from the previous year [5][24] - The company has launched a new stock incentive plan, aiming for significant growth in net profit over the next three years, reflecting confidence in new business developments [5][6]

Group 1 - The company achieved total revenue of 6.729 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 535 million, up 12.94% year-on-year [1] - The automotive thermal management revenue reached 481 million, showing a significant growth of 81.84% year-on-year, with over 15 billion in confirmed orders from major domestic manufacturers [1] - The company’s cooling components for air conditioning generated revenue of 5.412 billion in the first half of 2025, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 17.78% [1] Group 2 - The cooling equipment business faced short-term pressure, with revenue of 483 million, a decline of 31.43% year-on-year, and a gross margin decrease of 2.69 percentage points [2] - The company is focusing on cold chain construction, energy storage, and nuclear power sectors, leveraging policy-driven growth opportunities [2] - The company has made progress in energy storage thermal management, securing orders from top industry clients such as BYD and CATL [2] Group 3 - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 14.117 billion, 15.614 billion, and 17.003 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 10.6%, and 8.9% respectively [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.149 billion, 1.340 billion, and 1.512 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 9.9%, 16.6%, and 12.8% [2] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 12.31, 10.55, and 9.35 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2]