投资建议：我们预计2025-2027年公司营业收入为141.17/156.14/170.03亿元，同比 +11.3%/+10.6%/+8.9%；归母净利润11.49/13.40/15.12亿元，同比 +9.9%/+16.6%+12.8%；EPS分别为 1.08/1.26/1.52元；当前股价对应PE分别为12.31/10.55/9.35倍，维持推荐"评级。 风险提示：制冷设备增长不及预期风险：新能源车热管理竞争加剧的风险。 以旧换新政策支撑空调产销景气，公司制冷零部件基本盘稳固：1）2025H1 制冷空调零部件实现营收 54.12亿元，同比增长8.8%，毛利率17.78%，同比小幅下滑0.66个自分点。2）根据产业在线数据，2025 年上半年中国家用空调总产量同比增长6.91%；总销量同比增长8.30%：其中内销同比增长 8.97%，出口 同比增长7.52%。公司作为行业领先的制冷空调阀零部件供应商，收人增长与行业景气相匹配。3）后 续儿个月空调内销预计将有压力，以日换新政策力度支撑力度减弱，且未来还将面临去年同期的高基数 影响，产业在线数据，8、9、10月空调内销排产量较去年出货实绩分别-11.9%、-7. ...

公司披露2025 中报，25H1 公司实现营业总收入67.29 亿元，同比+6.05%，归母净利5.35 亿元，同比 +12.94%，扣非后归母净利同比+11.04%。25Q2营收/归母净利/扣非后分别同 比-0.31%/+19.69%/+15.24%。国内空调以旧换新政策推动需求释放，制冷配件业务表现稳健；净利润增 速高于营收主因信用减值损失减少。一方面，公司维持家用空调配件龙头地位，并拓展商用及海外芬 恩，另一方面，公司维持研发高投入，持续以创新驱动新能源汽零新品类、储能温控、冷链等新赛道， 以期稳步推进新兴业务发展。 公司25H1 毛利率为17.32%，同比-0.54pct。其中，25Q2 毛利率同比+0.09pct。下游竞争加剧，且原材料 价格仍处于高位，公司制冷配件、制冷设备GPM 均同比下降。25H1 公司整体期间费用率同比-0.3pct。 其中，销售/管理费用率分别同比-0.03pct/-0.69pct（受经营杠杆优化及股份支付等减少影响）。研发费 用率同比+0.24pct（继续重点投入高能效、新能源汽零品类及储能温控技术，巩固技术优势）。财务费 用率同比+0.19pct（主要受汇兑损益影响）。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiangshun Technology's stock price has declined, reflecting challenges in revenue and profit, with a notable decrease in shareholder numbers and net capital outflow [1] Company Overview - Jiangshun Technology's stock price as of August 11, 2025, is 58.55 yuan, down 1.47 yuan or 2.45% from the previous trading day [1] - The company has a total market capitalization of 3.513 billion yuan and a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.45 [1] - The company specializes in general equipment manufacturing, with products in areas such as reducers and automotive thermal management [1] - Jiangshun Technology holds the qualification of a specialized and innovative enterprise, registered in Jiangsu Province [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported operating revenue of 494 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.07% [1] - Net profit for the same period was 49.56 million yuan, down 40.73% year-on-year [1] Shareholder Activity - As of August 10, the number of shareholders decreased to 9,971, a reduction of 705 or 6.60% compared to July 31 [1] - This marks the second consecutive period of decline in the number of shareholders [1] Capital Flow - On August 11, the net outflow of main funds was 3.36 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 4.51 million yuan over the past five trading days [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight revenue increase in the first half of 2025, but faced challenges in the second quarter due to weak domestic demand and increased competition in the air conditioning sector [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 49.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.08 billion yuan, up 3.0% year-on-year [1][2]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 24.50 billion yuan, down 2.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.95 billion yuan, a decline of 8.3% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company’s revenue from domestic and overseas markets in H1 2025 showed a slight decline of 0.3% and an increase of 12.3%, respectively [2]. Business Segment Analysis - Air Conditioning Business: H1 2025 revenue was 23.69 billion yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year, but central air conditioning growth was under pressure, declining by 6.0% due to a weak real estate market [2]. - Washing and Refrigeration Business: H1 2025 revenue reached 15.39 billion yuan, a 4.8% increase year-on-year, with washing machine revenue growing by 37.6% due to technological upgrades [2]. - Automotive Thermal Management: H1 2025 revenue increased by 3.0%, benefiting from the gradual realization of previous new energy orders [2]. Cost and Profitability - The net profit margin in Q2 2025 was 3.9%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, despite a gross margin increase of 1.0 percentage points to 21.5% [3]. - The company faced a one-time expense impact from layoffs in the automotive thermal management segment, amounting to 1.9 billion yen [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in performance due to favorable weather conditions and the successful rollout of government subsidies [4]. - Internal governance improvements are expected to drive growth, with a focus on supply chain efficiency and cost reduction [4]. - The company has adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 2.68, 2.94, and 3.20 yuan, respectively, reflecting a slight decrease from previous estimates [4].