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芯源微(688037):短期经营承压,聚焦新品节奏
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-09 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is currently facing short-term operational pressure, with a focus on the rhythm of new product launches. The decline in performance is attributed to three main factors: the immaturity of the front-end Track products leading to slower customer acceptance, delays in the acceptance of large batch machines delivered to strategic customers, and the lack of large-scale revenue conversion from front-end chemical cleaning machine orders. The new generation of coating and developing machines is progressing smoothly and is expected to be introduced for customer validation this year, with anticipated performance improvements next year [10][4]. - The semiconductor equipment industry is expected to maintain a favorable outlook, with accelerated construction of advanced processes. From January to September 2025, the import value of semiconductor equipment in mainland China increased by 7.22% to reach 32.4 billion USD, while major semiconductor equipment companies reported a revenue increase of 44.2% to 24.33 billion CNY. The demand for semiconductor equipment remains strong due to ongoing domestic wafer plant construction, and the increase in domestic production capacity is a key focus for the future [10][4]. - The competitive landscape is favorable, with multiple growth drivers. The company leads the domestic market for front-end coating and developing equipment, and as products continue to upgrade, market share is expected to increase. The front-end cleaning equipment has stable order intake, with physical cleaning machines maintaining industry leadership and new chemical cleaning machines expected to become new growth points. The growth prospects for the company's backend product portfolio are promising due to increasing demand for advanced packaging [10][4]. Financial Summary - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 281 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 31.59%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -26 million CNY, down 182.46%, and the non-recurring net profit was -44 million CNY, a decrease of 1134.04%. The gross margin was 30.12%, down 16.10 percentage points year-on-year [2][4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 990 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.35%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -10 million CNY, down 109.34%, and the non-recurring net profit was -94 million CNY, a decrease of 333.93%. The gross margin was 34.52%, down 7.94 percentage points year-on-year [2][4].