Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is currently facing short-term operational pressure, with a focus on the rhythm of new product launches. The decline in performance is attributed to three main factors: the immaturity of the front-end Track products leading to slower customer acceptance, delays in the acceptance of large batch machines delivered to strategic customers, and the lack of large-scale revenue conversion from front-end chemical cleaning machine orders. The new generation of coating and developing machines is progressing smoothly and is expected to be introduced for customer validation this year, with anticipated performance improvements next year [10][4]. - The semiconductor equipment industry is expected to maintain a favorable outlook, with accelerated construction of advanced processes. From January to September 2025, the import value of semiconductor equipment in mainland China increased by 7.22% to reach 32.4 billion USD, while major semiconductor equipment companies reported a revenue increase of 44.2% to 24.33 billion CNY. The demand for semiconductor equipment remains strong due to ongoing domestic wafer plant construction, and the increase in domestic production capacity is a key focus for the future [10][4]. - The competitive landscape is favorable, with multiple growth drivers. The company leads the domestic market for front-end coating and developing equipment, and as products continue to upgrade, market share is expected to increase. The front-end cleaning equipment has stable order intake, with physical cleaning machines maintaining industry leadership and new chemical cleaning machines expected to become new growth points. The growth prospects for the company's backend product portfolio are promising due to increasing demand for advanced packaging [10][4]. Financial Summary - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 281 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 31.59%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -26 million CNY, down 182.46%, and the non-recurring net profit was -44 million CNY, a decrease of 1134.04%. The gross margin was 30.12%, down 16.10 percentage points year-on-year [2][4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 990 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.35%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -10 million CNY, down 109.34%, and the non-recurring net profit was -94 million CNY, a decrease of 333.93%. The gross margin was 34.52%, down 7.94 percentage points year-on-year [2][4].

Core Viewpoint - The company, ChipSource Micro (688037), is experiencing some operational pressures in terms of revenue and profit this year, but is focusing on strategic growth areas with the support of its major shareholder, Northern Huachuang [3] Group 1: Company Overview - ChipSource Micro specializes in the research, production, and sales of semiconductor equipment, with headquarters in Shenyang and subsidiaries in Japan, Shanghai, and Guangzhou [1] - The company has established four main business segments: front-end coating and development, front-end cleaning, advanced packaging, and core components, having delivered over 2,000 sets of equipment [1] - As the only domestic provider of front-end production-type coating and development equipment, ChipSource Micro has achieved mass production integration with several mainstream lithography machines [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, the company reported a revenue of 990 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, primarily due to slow acceptance rates from clients and delays in the delivery of large quantities of front-end physical cleaning machines [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was -10.05 million yuan, attributed to the decline in revenue and increased operational costs [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -230 million yuan, mainly due to increased material procurement and personnel costs, although the overall cash flow remains healthy [2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Following Northern Huachuang becoming the controlling shareholder in June, the company has seen improvements in management and is focusing resources on achieving breakthroughs in front-end Track products and enhancing client engagement for new front-end chemical cleaning products [3] - Approximately 60% of the company's overall orders in the first three quarters were for front-end products, with significant growth in orders for chemical cleaning machines, laying a strong foundation for future revenue [3] - The company is currently testing and validating new generation models, aiming to introduce high-capacity front-end coating and development machines to clients next year [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the verification progress of its ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine, actively promoting its introduction and validation across different clients [1] Investment Highlights - The company's EPS forecast for 2025-2027 has been updated to 1.35, 2.14, and 3.36 yuan, reflecting growth rates of 34.08%, 58.60%, and 56.93% respectively. The 2025E and 2026E forecasts have been slightly downgraded, while 2027E is a new addition. Given the low domestic localization rate of front-end coating and developing equipment, achieving breakthroughs will create significant competitive barriers, leading to a projected PE valuation of 80 times for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 108.00 yuan [2] Operating Performance Pressure - The company anticipates a revenue of 1.753 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, with a net profit of 73.31 million yuan, down 60.83% year-on-year. The decline in net profit is primarily due to increased R&D investment, with R&D expenses expected to reach 297 million yuan in 2024, a 49.93% increase. The company is currently in a critical transition period for upgrading coating and developing equipment and validating new products, resulting in significant performance pressure [3] Product Development Progress - The main products are advancing smoothly at client sites. The high-end offline machines, including SOC, SOD, and NTD, have achieved rapid breakthroughs, and I-Line and KrF machines are showing good production data at multiple client sites. The introduction and validation of the ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine are actively being promoted across different clients [3] - New products are steadily progressing and are expected to contribute to new growth points for the company. The front-end chemical cleaning machine launched in March 2024 has passed client process validation and received orders from several major domestic clients. The temporary bonding and debonding machines have successfully passed validation from multiple clients and are entering a gradual ramp-up phase, with nearly 20 orders in hand. The new Frame cleaning equipment for 2.5D/3D advanced packaging has also passed client validation and is entering small-batch sales [4]

Core Viewpoint - The transfer of shares from Shen Yang Zhongke Tiansheng Automation Technology Co., Ltd. to Northern Huachuang is expected to enhance the collaboration between the two companies, potentially leading to accelerated growth in performance for Chip Source Microelectronics [3][4]. Group 1: Share Transfer Details - Shen Yang Zhongke Tiansheng Automation Technology Co., Ltd. transferred 16,899,750 shares, accounting for 8.41% of the total share capital of Chip Source Microelectronics [3]. - Northern Huachuang is set to acquire an additional 9.49% of shares from Advanced Manufacturing, totaling 19,064,915 shares, which will increase its stake to 17.90% if both transfers are completed [4]. Group 2: Business Performance and Strategy - In 2024, Chip Source Microelectronics experienced revenue growth in the front-end wafer processing sector, particularly in photoresist coating and development, with ongoing advancements in high-capacity machine models [4]. - The company maintains its leading position in the domestic market for front-end physical cleaning machines, with successful client introductions for new strategic products, including chemical cleaning machines [4].