最近中加之间的经贸博弈可真是越来越有看头，咱先把事儿捋清楚——中国商务部8月12日发了公告，直接给加拿大进口油菜籽定了性： 存在倾销。紧接着就说了，要收保证金，而且是对所有加拿大公司都收75.8%，从8月14号这周一开始就生效了。有驻新加坡的油菜籽贸易 商跟路透社说，这75%的保证金跟明说"咱不要加拿大油菜籽"没啥区别，这话一点不夸张。 为啥突然下这手？早有铺垫。去年9月9号，商务部就已经对加拿大油菜籽启动反倾销调查了，现在是查明白了：加拿大油菜籽确实在倾 销，还让中国国内的油菜籽产业受了实实在在的损害，这两者之间的因果关系也跑不了。按《反倾销条例》办事，收保证金这步操作合理 合法。 而且这不是中国第一次对加拿大出手了。今年3月就已经给加拿大的菜籽油、油渣饼加了100%的关税，当时国务院关税税则委员会就把话 挑明了——加拿大去年宣布10月1号起给中国电动汽车加100%关税，22号又给中国钢铁、铝产品加25%关税，这明显是损害中国利益，砸 中加经贸的锅。 更关键的是时机，8月正好是加拿大油菜籽要丰收的时候，这时候出手，加拿大农民手里的油菜籽眼看要堆仓库里卖不出去，价格都跌了 快三成，农民协会天天找政府要说法。加 ...

Group 1 - Canada has implemented a series of tariffs on Chinese products, including a 100% tariff on electric vehicles and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum, starting from October 1, 2024 [3][5] - The economic relationship between Canada and the US is significant, with Canada exporting over $400 billion worth of goods to the US annually, leading Canada to seek economic protection through closer ties with the US [3][5] - Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau is facing pressure as the trade relationship with the US deteriorates, with reports indicating that he is exploring other international markets to mitigate the impact of US tariffs [5][6] Group 2 - The Canadian media is speculating about improving relations with China, while Trudeau is cautious due to strong pro-US sentiments within Canada [6][9] - China's response to Canada's tariffs has included imposing 100% tariffs on Canadian canola oil and 25% tariffs on Canadian seafood and pork, indicating a retaliatory stance [6][8] - Australia is poised to take over Canada's canola market, with potential agreements allowing Australian suppliers to export significant quantities of canola to China, further isolating Canada [8][9] Group 3 - Trudeau's tariff policies are seen as ineffective in protecting Canadian industries, as retaliatory measures from China could deepen Canada's economic troubles [9] - The relationship dynamics suggest that Canada must reassess its approach towards China, as continued alignment with US policies may lead to further economic challenges [9]