对亚马逊而言，此次潜在的合作终止，凸显了其打造垂直整合物流帝国的整体战略：通过密集的仓储网 络、自有包裹运输车队，以及庞大的承包商和零工配送司机队伍，亚马逊正逐步实现美国境内大部 分"最后一公里"配送业务的内部化运营，并直接成为USPS、联合包裹(UPS.US)和联邦快递(FDX.US)的 竞争对手。 从历史来看，亚马逊曾高度依赖联合包裹和USPS进行包裹运输——长期以来，USPS一直是其长途运输 和两日达配送服务的核心合作伙伴，而亚马逊则专注于订单获取与履约环节，而非运输业务本身。然 而，2010年代多次假日季物流瓶颈及不断上涨的运输成本促使亚马逊加速自建物流体系，通过新增货运 飞机、配送货车和配送站点，逐步降低对外部承运商的依赖。 据报道，亚马逊(AMZN.US)正考虑在2026年底前终止与美国邮政总局(USPS)的大规模运输合同，将相 关包裹业务转移至自身快速扩张的物流配送网络。尽管此举早已被市场广泛预期，但仍可能进一步恶化 USPS本就严峻的财务状况——值得注意的是，亚马逊是USPS的最大客户，2025年为其贡献了超60亿美 元收入，同时也是该政府机构利润率最高的包裹业务来源之一。 目前，亚马逊与US ...

Core Viewpoint - FedEx's stock experienced a 6% decline in after-market trading following its Q4 FY2025 earnings report, despite surpassing consensus estimates, due to a cautious outlook for the upcoming quarter [2][6] Financial Performance - FedEx reported Q4 revenue of $22.2 billion, matching the prior-year quarter and exceeding the consensus estimate of $21.8 billion [3] - The package segment saw a 5% increase in volume, while composite package yield decreased slightly by 0.4% [3] - Freight volume declined significantly by 15%, although composite freight yield rose by 3% [3] - The adjusted operating margin improved by 600 basis points to 9.1%, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to $6.07 from $5.41 in the previous year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $5.86 [5] Guidance and Outlook - FedEx's guidance for Q1 FY2026 indicates revenue growth of flat to 2% year-over-year, slightly better than street estimates of a 0.1% decline [6] - The company forecasts adjusted earnings per share between $3.40 and $4.00, below the consensus estimate of $4.06 [6] - FedEx plans an additional $1 billion in cost-cutting measures for FY2026, building on $4 billion in savings already achieved [6] Valuation Analysis - FedEx's stock is currently trading around $215, with a trailing adjusted P/E ratio of 12x, lower than its five-year average of 16x, suggesting potential for growth [7] - The separation of the freight business is expected to unlock shareholder value and enhance focus on core parcel delivery operations [8] - The stock appears slightly undervalued, presenting a potential opportunity for long-term gains [8]