Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Municipal Government has released an action plan to enhance the linkage between futures and spot markets for non-ferrous metals, aiming to improve the effectiveness of services to the real economy and strengthen risk management capabilities among enterprises in the current volatile market environment [1] Group 1: Policy and Market Trends - The action plan emphasizes the deep participation of non-ferrous metal application enterprises, such as those in automotive manufacturing, construction, and home appliance production, in futures and OTC derivatives markets to hedge against price volatility [1] - The China Futures Association forecasts that by 2025, the cumulative trading volume of the national futures market will reach 9.074 billion contracts, with a cumulative transaction value of 76.625 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.4% and 23.74% respectively [1] - The commodity options market is also expected to see significant growth, with a projected trading volume of 1.722 billion contracts and a transaction value of 153 billion yuan in 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 60.93% and 94.6% [1] Group 2: Risk Management and Tools - As of December 2025, there are 164 listed varieties in China's futures and options market, with 18 new additions during the year, indicating a growing demand for risk management tools [2] - The use of options is becoming more prevalent, with enterprises shifting from single futures hedging to a "futures + options" combination for risk management [2] - The nominal principal of OTC derivatives held by risk management subsidiaries reached 380.86 billion yuan by December 31, 2025, marking a new high for the year, with commodity OTC derivatives accounting for 24.698 billion yuan, a 16.4% increase since April [2] Group 3: Strategic Importance of Risk Management - Effective risk management is viewed as a "safety net" for commodity traders to withstand market fluctuations, helping to stabilize operations and optimize costs [3] - Companies can enhance their competitive edge by using futures prices as a pricing benchmark for spot trades, improving procurement and sales strategies, and increasing capital efficiency through margin trading [3] - Strong risk management capabilities are essential for companies to participate effectively in the global commodity market and seize international opportunities, with those excelling in risk management often outperforming competitors [3]

从分类指数看，在构成制造业PMI的5个分类指数中，生产指数、新订单指数和供应商配送时间指数均 高于临界点，原材料库存指数和从业人员指数均低于临界点。其中，生产指数为51.7%，比上月上升1.7 个百分点，表明制造业企业生产活动加快。新订单指数为50.8%，比上月上升1.6个百分点，表明制造业 市场需求有所改善。供应商配送时间指数为50.2%，比上月上升0.1个百分点，表明制造业原材料供应商 交货时间继续加快。 从企业规模看，大型企业PMI为50.8%，比上月上升1.5个百分点，高于临界点；中型企业PMI为49.8%， 比上月上升0.9个百分点，仍低于临界点；小型企业PMI为48.6%，比上月下降0.5个百分点，低于临界 点。 与此同时，中国期货市场监控中心交易报告库(TR)数据显示，4月份以来，受商品类场外衍生品规模增 长的带动，期货公司风险管理子公司场外衍生品持仓规模持续增长。2025年12月31日，风险管理子公司 场外衍生品总持仓名义本金达3808.6亿元，为2025年年内新高。其中，商品类场外衍生品总持仓名义本 金为2469.8亿元，较4月底(2121.5亿元)增长16.4个百分点，持仓规模占比已接近2 ...