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嘉实基金孟夏:以“质量”与“均衡”穿越科技制造新周期
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-29 00:23
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the critical role of technological innovation and high-end manufacturing in building a strong technological nation, highlighting the accelerated development in sectors like semiconductors, chips, innovative pharmaceuticals, and robotics, which have become focal points for investment opportunities [1] Market Analysis - Following a recent peak in A-share indices, the market has entered a phase of consolidation, which is viewed as a healthy correction that supports sustainable growth. The technology growth sector has been leading the market, and A-share valuations remain within a reasonable range, indicating potential for further recovery [2][3] - The shift from labor and engineer dividends to technological innovation dividends marks a significant change in China's economic development, with the technology sector's market capitalization now exceeding that of the banking and real estate sectors combined [3] Investment Strategy - The investment approach focuses on high-quality growth companies, with an emphasis on long-term sustainable returns driven by the continuous growth of excellent enterprises. The manager employs a discounted cash flow (DCF) model for valuation, which allows for reasonable assessments even for unprofitable companies [4] - The manager's funds have shown significant long-term excess returns, with notable performance metrics such as a 54.63% net asset value growth for the past year, outperforming benchmarks [5] Future Opportunities - The manager sees potential in the manufacturing sector's international expansion and the reversal of domestic demand, identifying high-quality companies capable of establishing competitive advantages in global markets as key investment opportunities [6] - The technology sectors, including artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and pharmaceuticals, are highlighted as having long-term investment value [6] Investment Participation - Given the competitive nature of the technology manufacturing sector, the article suggests that ordinary investors should consider investing through professional fund managers or systematic investment plans to effectively share in the sector's growth [7]
嘉实基金孟夏: 以“质量”与“均衡”穿越科技制造新周期
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-28 20:54
Group 1: Core Insights - The core engine of building a technology-driven nation is technology innovation and high-end manufacturing, with sectors like semiconductors, chips, innovative drugs, and robotics gaining momentum this year [1] - The investment opportunities in the technology manufacturing sector are highlighted as the market focuses on quality companies and balanced industry allocation to achieve growth returns across cycles [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Following a recent peak in A-share indices, the market is undergoing a healthy consolidation phase, which is beneficial for sustainable development [2] - Since September 24, 2024, the market has shown significant structural differentiation, with technology growth sectors leading the way, indicating that A-share valuations still have room for recovery compared to global markets [2] Group 3: Long-term Optimism Factors - The transition of China's economic development from labor and engineering advantages to technology innovation is reshaping the underlying capabilities of technological advancement [3] - Key long-term factors driving market trends include the formation of a unified national market, strong manufacturing competitiveness, and the combination of AI technology with China's vast engineering resources [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - The investment approach emphasizes selecting high-quality growth companies, with a focus on cash flow discount models for valuation, allowing for reasonable assessments even for unprofitable firms [4] - The investment philosophy prioritizes long-term sustainable returns from excellent companies, adhering to principles of quality over short-term gains [4] Group 5: Performance Metrics - The performance of funds managed by the company has shown significant long-term excess returns, with notable growth rates in net asset values compared to benchmarks [5] Group 6: Future Opportunities - The company sees potential in manufacturing going overseas and a reversal in domestic demand, with a focus on companies that can build commercial barriers and enhance global market share [6] - Specific sectors like AI, autonomous driving, and pharmaceuticals are identified as having long-term investment value [6] Group 7: Investment Participation - Given the competitive nature of the technology manufacturing sector, the company advises investors to consider professional fund management or systematic investment approaches to effectively share in the sector's growth [7]
以“质量”与“均衡”穿越科技制造新周期
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-28 20:46
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the critical role of technological innovation and high-end manufacturing in building a strong technological nation, highlighting the accelerated development in sectors like semiconductors, chips, innovative pharmaceuticals, and robotics this year [1][2] - The investment opportunities in the technology manufacturing sector are becoming a focal point for the market, with a competitive landscape that may lead to a "winner-takes-all" scenario [1][5] Market Trends - Following a recent peak in A-share indices, the market has entered a phase of healthy consolidation, which is seen as beneficial for sustainable growth [1] - Since September 24, 2024, the market has shown significant structural differentiation, with technology growth sectors leading the way [1] - The overall valuation of the market remains reasonable, with A-share valuations having room for recovery compared to major global indices [1][2] Long-term Optimism Factors - The transition of China's economy from relying on labor and engineering advantages to leveraging technological innovation is reshaping market dynamics [2] - Key long-term factors driving market trends include the formation of a unified national market, strong manufacturing competitiveness, and the integration of AI technology with China's vast engineering resources [2] - The technology sector now accounts for over 25% of the total A-share market capitalization, surpassing the combined market value of the banking and real estate sectors [2] Investment Strategy - The investment approach focuses on selecting high-quality growth companies, with an emphasis on long-term sustainable returns driven by the continuous growth of excellent enterprises [3][4] - The manager employs a discounted cash flow (DCF) model for valuation, allowing for reasonable assessments even for unprofitable companies [3] - The investment philosophy prioritizes quality over short-term gains, with a focus on companies expected to achieve significant profit growth over the next 3 to 5 years [3] Future Opportunities - The manager is optimistic about the potential for manufacturing companies to expand internationally and the reversal of domestic demand trends [4][5] - Companies capable of establishing production and sales systems overseas are expected to gain significant long-term investment opportunities [5] - In the technology sector, areas such as artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and pharmaceuticals are identified as having long-term investment value [5] Investment Participation - Given the competitive nature of the technology manufacturing sector, it is recommended that investors consider professional management or invest in quality funds to effectively participate in the sector's growth [5]