国泰量化策略收益

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公募指增及量化基金经理精选系列九:量化选股策略洞察,解析多元灵活魅力
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-25 14:25
在公募量化产品线中,除了指数增强型品种外,量化选股型品种也占据重要地位,截止 2025 年二季末,全市场 共计 277 只量化选股型基金,合计管理规模 903.20 亿元。这类基金由于不属于标准指数增强范畴,因而,不受限于 指数成分股的投资比例和跟踪误差的硬性约束,拥有更广泛的投资范围和更高的风格暴露自由度,其业绩往往也展现 出更高的弹性。同时,得益于相对宽松的策略环境,不同基金经理能够根据自身的偏好及特长,构建更具差异化的投 资策略。 然而,对于投资者而言,由于量化选股型基金的工具化属性不如指数增强型基金明确,在产品选择时,往往面临 对其定位与策略认知不够清晰的挑战。为此,本篇专题将对部分量化选股型基金的投资策略框架进行梳理,主要聚焦 信达澳亚基金冯玺祥、国泰基金高崇南、信达澳亚基金林景艺、鹏华基金时赟超、西部利得基金翟梓舰等 5 名在量化 选股型产品上投资框架体系各有特色的基金经理(按照姓名拼音字母顺序,下同),涵盖风格配置、中小市值、偏股 混增强等差异化产品定位,以供投资者参考。 冯玺祥(信达澳亚基金):采用统一框架管理,十分看重因子在整个投资域的有效性以及阿尔法模型的普适性, 通过多样化的因子和模型提 ...
用红利应对牛市的分歧
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-29 02:26
Market Overview - The market experienced significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping over 1% before recovering to gain over 1%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.82% [1] Key Points of Divergence - The first key point of divergence is the historical resistance level of 3900 points for the Shanghai Composite Index, which has not been sustained since 2015. This level is psychologically significant for investors expecting a "slow bull" market. A breach of 3900 points could lead to a push towards the 4000-point mark, often seen as a signal for accelerated market activity. Profit-taking from investors who have gained from lower levels, particularly those who entered below 3000 points, is expected to increase, leading to intensified market fluctuations around this level [2][3] - The second divergence involves a leading liquor company's market valuation, which has been impacted by the stock price movements of a leading chip company. When the chip company's stock briefly surpassed the liquor company's, it triggered a market pullback [2][3] Valuation Dynamics - The market's valuation logic is influenced by the "valuation anchoring effect" associated with the liquor company. When new high-value stocks surpass the liquor company, it prompts a reevaluation of valuations, as the new stocks often rely on high growth expectations that have yet to be validated. This leads to profit-taking and increased market divergence, resulting in temporary market fluctuations [3] Investment Strategy - In the current market environment, focusing on dividend-paying stocks is advisable as they provide a "safety cushion" amid volatility. The high-growth sectors, particularly in communications, have been the driving force of the current bull market. The stability of dividend stocks complements the high growth characteristics of tech stocks, creating a "barbell strategy" that allows investors to benefit from growth opportunities while securing a stable income [4] - The Guotai Dividend Smart Selection fund is introduced as a quant-driven product that balances between "value dividends" and "growth dividends." The fund aims to maintain a balanced portfolio to avoid significant underperformance even in a rising market. It may also include high-yield Hong Kong stocks to capitalize on that market's performance [5][6] Performance Metrics - The Guotai Quantitative Strategy has shown strong performance since its transformation into a quantitative long-only product at the end of 2018, outperforming benchmarks and the CSI 300 Index across multiple periods. For instance, the fund achieved a return of 14.40% over the last two years and has consistently outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the past five years [6][7]