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金杨股份(301210):圆柱电池精密结构件领军者,跨界机器人打造第二成长曲线
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-21 11:43
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is a leader in precision structural components for cylindrical batteries and is expanding into the robotics sector through an investment in Guohua Intelligent, aiming to create a second growth curve [2][3]. - The company has maintained a market share of over 25% in the domestic cylindrical battery structural component market for 24 years and is expected to achieve a revenue of 1.365 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23% [2][3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the humanoid robot market, with projections of 3 million units sold globally by 2030 [3]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is projected to grow from 1.11 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.56 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline to 56.26 million yuan in 2024 but is projected to rebound significantly to 127.46 million yuan by 2027 [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to decrease from 0.53 yuan in 2023 to 0.35 yuan in 2025, before rising to 1.11 yuan in 2027 [1]. Business Segments - The cylindrical battery structural components segment is expected to generate 8.3 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.2% [4][52]. - The company has established partnerships with leading manufacturers such as Yiwei, Dongci, and CATL, which is expected to enhance its market share further [4][55]. - The nickel-based conductor materials segment is projected to grow steadily, with a revenue increase of 5-10% anticipated in 2025 [9]. Robotics Sector - The company has entered the humanoid robotics market by acquiring a 10.37% stake in Guohua Intelligent, which specializes in harmonic reducers and has secured orders from leading robot manufacturers [3][4]. - The collaboration with Guohua Intelligent is expected to create synergies in technology and customer base, positioning the company as a key supplier in the robotics components market [3]. Market Outlook - The global cylindrical battery market is projected to reach a demand of 128.2 billion units in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [40][49]. - The company anticipates that the cylindrical structural components market will reach over 9 billion yuan in 2025, with sustained growth of over 10% in subsequent years [49].