Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Dalian City Holdings [5] Core Views - Dalian City Holdings is backed by COFCO Group and operates under a "development + operation" dual-driven model, focusing on core cities across the country. The overall property development and investment operation are stable, with a noticeable recovery in profitability expected to continue [5][6] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of -3.035 billion, -831 million, and 872 million yuan for the years 2024-2026, with corresponding EPS of -0.71, -0.19, and 0.20 yuan, indicating a positive trend in earnings recovery [5] Summary by Sections 1. Development and Operation Dual-Driven Model - Dalian City Holdings has been operating for over 30 years, establishing a brand ecosystem through its dual-driven model of development and operation. The company is positioned as a "city operator and provider of quality living services" [24][29] - The strategic direction is clear, with a broad business layout across 38 cities, focusing on residential, commercial, and industrial real estate [29][31] 2. Steady Development of Investment Properties - The company has a strong performance in its investment property business, with revenue growth. In 2023, investment property revenue reached 5.393 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.3% [7][42] - The average occupancy rate of the company's shopping centers was 95% in 2023, with a significant increase in customer traffic and sales [44] 3. Stable Development of Core Business - In 2023, the company achieved a total contract signing of 46.1 billion yuan, ranking 29th in the sales performance of real estate companies in China, an improvement of 4 places from 2022 [6][77] - The company has adopted a cautious approach to land acquisition, focusing on core urban areas, with a total land acquisition area of 168,000 square meters in 2023, a decrease of 78.81% year-on-year [6] 4. Financial Stability and Cost Reduction - The company has optimized its debt structure, with total interest-bearing debt at 72.648 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.73% as of the end of 2023. The average borrowing cost for new loans in the first half of 2024 was 3.13% [8] - The company successfully listed its commercial REIT, raising 3.323 billion yuan, contributing to investment income of 2.1 billion yuan [8] 5. Profitability Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts that the company's revenue will maintain growth, with a projected net profit turning positive in 2026 [9][13]