Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China Cereal and Oils Holdings Limited (中粮置业) has received an "AAA" rating for its 2025 first phase medium-term notes, reflecting strong support from its shareholders and a solid market position [1] - China Cereal and Oils Holdings Limited has a significant regional market position and brand advantage, with optimized financial leverage and debt repayment indicators [1] - The company faces operational pressures due to the economic slowdown affecting the retail sector, which may impact its overall credit status [1] Group 2 - China Cereal and Oils Holdings Limited was established in February 2007 and is wholly owned by COFCO Group [2] - The company primarily engages in the leasing and operation of four Joy City shopping centers and the development and sale of related properties, achieving a total revenue of 2.369 billion yuan in 2024, with rental income contributing 2.242 billion yuan [2] - China Cereal and Oils Holdings Limited's credit level is expected to remain stable over the next 12 to 18 months [2]

Core Viewpoint - Dalian City Real Estate Co., Ltd. plans to repurchase shares at HKD 0.62 per share and suggests delisting from the stock exchange, with a privatization proposal aimed at optimizing governance and enhancing management efficiency [1][2]. Group 1: Company Actions - Dalian City Real Estate will repurchase and cancel 4.73 billion shares, requiring approximately HKD 2.933 billion in funding [1]. - Dalian City Holdings, which owns 64.18% of Dalian City Real Estate, along with its subsidiary, holds a combined 66.76% stake [1]. - The company was suspended from trading on July 18 due to insider information and saw its stock price rise over 40% upon resumption of trading [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Since 2020, the net profit attributable to the parent company has declined for five consecutive years, with a projected net loss of CNY 294 million in 2024 [2]. - Despite the losses, the investment property segment has provided stable cash flow, with cash and cash equivalents covering short-term debt more than twice [2]. Group 3: Industry Context - The real estate sector is experiencing cyclical fluctuations, impacting market performance and liquidity for companies like Dalian City Real Estate [2]. - Other real estate firms, such as Huayuan Real Estate and Shouchuang Real Estate, have also opted for privatization or delisting in response to similar challenges [3]. - The reasons for privatization include poor performance affecting listed companies, low stock prices making delisting costs manageable, and the burden of fixed costs like annual audits [3].

Core Viewpoint - Dalian City Real Estate plans to repurchase shares at HKD 0.62 per share and suggests delisting from the stock exchange, while its parent company, Dalian Holdings, proposes privatization excluding certain shareholders [1][2]. Group 1: Company Actions - Dalian City Real Estate announced a share repurchase plan requiring approximately HKD 29.33 billion to buy back and cancel 4.73 billion shares [1]. - The company was suspended from trading on July 18 due to insider information and saw its stock price rise over 40% to HKD 0.55 upon resumption of trading [1]. - Dalian Holdings holds a 64.18% stake in Dalian City Real Estate, with its subsidiary holding an additional 2.58%, totaling 66.76% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Since 2020, Dalian City Real Estate has experienced a continuous decline in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a projected net loss of HKD 294 million for 2024 [2]. - Despite the losses, the investment property segment has provided stable cash flow, with cash and cash equivalents covering short-term debt more than twice [2]. Group 3: Market Context - The privatization move is a strategic response to market pressures, aiming to optimize governance, integrate ownership, and enhance decision-making efficiency [2]. - Other real estate companies have also opted for privatization or delisting due to poor performance, low stock prices, and the burden of fixed costs like auditing [3].

Core Insights - Daxuecheng reported a total signed amount of 36.9 billion yuan for 2024, with a continuous expansion of its commercial footprint and a high-quality opening of three major projects in Xiamen, Sanya, and Haidian, achieving over 98% occupancy rate [1] - The company successfully issued the first consumer REIT in Southwest China, with a rental rate of 98.1% and a rent collection rate of 99.97% [1][3] - Daxuecheng's shopping centers achieved a sales revenue of 40.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16%, with total foot traffic reaching 366 million, up 22% [1] Commercial Operations - The company operates 44 commercial projects, including 30 heavy asset and 14 light asset projects, covering key urban clusters such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] - The average occupancy rate for office buildings was reported at 91.1%, while the Shenzhen projects achieved an occupancy rate of 98.2% [2] - Daxuecheng's long-term rental apartment projects maintained an average occupancy rate of 95% across 10 projects [2] Financial Performance - The company successfully issued a total of 7.1 billion yuan in various financial instruments, effectively reducing the average financing cost to 3.0% and the overall financing cost to 4.06%, a decrease of 55 basis points from the previous year [3] - The Daxuecheng commercial REIT reported a revenue of 86.06 million yuan in Q4 2024, with a distributable amount of 45.29 million yuan, resulting in an annualized cash distribution rate of 5% based on the market value at the end of the reporting period [3] Strategic Outlook - In 2025, Daxuecheng plans to leverage policy opportunities and deepen its "1123" strategic framework, focusing on youth-oriented commercial brands and high-quality residential development [4] - The company aims to accelerate its green and low-carbon transformation while exploring the expansion of consumer REITs and the benefits of urban village renovations [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Dalian City Holdings [5] Core Views - Dalian City Holdings is backed by COFCO Group and operates under a "development + operation" dual-driven model, focusing on core cities across the country. The overall property development and investment operation are stable, with a noticeable recovery in profitability expected to continue [5][6] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of -3.035 billion, -831 million, and 872 million yuan for the years 2024-2026, with corresponding EPS of -0.71, -0.19, and 0.20 yuan, indicating a positive trend in earnings recovery [5] Summary by Sections 1. Development and Operation Dual-Driven Model - Dalian City Holdings has been operating for over 30 years, establishing a brand ecosystem through its dual-driven model of development and operation. The company is positioned as a "city operator and provider of quality living services" [24][29] - The strategic direction is clear, with a broad business layout across 38 cities, focusing on residential, commercial, and industrial real estate [29][31] 2. Steady Development of Investment Properties - The company has a strong performance in its investment property business, with revenue growth. In 2023, investment property revenue reached 5.393 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.3% [7][42] - The average occupancy rate of the company's shopping centers was 95% in 2023, with a significant increase in customer traffic and sales [44] 3. Stable Development of Core Business - In 2023, the company achieved a total contract signing of 46.1 billion yuan, ranking 29th in the sales performance of real estate companies in China, an improvement of 4 places from 2022 [6][77] - The company has adopted a cautious approach to land acquisition, focusing on core urban areas, with a total land acquisition area of 168,000 square meters in 2023, a decrease of 78.81% year-on-year [6] 4. Financial Stability and Cost Reduction - The company has optimized its debt structure, with total interest-bearing debt at 72.648 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.73% as of the end of 2023. The average borrowing cost for new loans in the first half of 2024 was 3.13% [8] - The company successfully listed its commercial REIT, raising 3.323 billion yuan, contributing to investment income of 2.1 billion yuan [8] 5. Profitability Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts that the company's revenue will maintain growth, with a projected net profit turning positive in 2026 [9][13]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is driven by a "development + operation" dual strategy, focusing on core cities across China, with a notable improvement in profitability and a positive outlook for net profit from 2024 to 2026 [5][6]. - The company has a stable debt structure and is continuously optimizing its financing costs, with a significant reduction in the average borrowing cost [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Development and Operation Strategy - The company, backed by COFCO Group, has established a robust brand ecosystem through its dual-driven model, focusing on both development and operation [5][24]. - The strategic path is clear, with a broad business layout across 38 cities, emphasizing residential, commercial, and industrial real estate [29][31]. 2. Operational Capabilities - The investment property segment has shown strong growth, with revenue from investment properties reaching 5.393 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 24.3% [7][42]. - The company has a total of 45 commercial projects nationwide, with 34 operational projects covering a total commercial area of 3.74 million square meters [37][38]. 3. Development Business - The company achieved a total contract signing of 46.1 billion yuan in 2023, despite a 19% year-on-year decline, ranking 29th in the sales performance of real estate companies in China [6][77]. - The company maintains a cautious approach to land acquisition, focusing on core urban areas, with a significant reduction in land acquisition area and amount in 2023 [6][9]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company expects net profits to improve from -3.035 billion yuan in 2024 to 872 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding EPS moving from -0.71 yuan to 0.20 yuan [5][9]. - The overall revenue for 2023 was 36.783 billion yuan, with a projected slight increase in 2024 [9][31]. 5. Debt Structure and Financing - The company has a stable debt structure with a total interest-bearing debt of 72.648 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.73% as of the end of 2023 [8][9]. - The average cost of new borrowings in the first half of 2024 was 3.13%, indicating a downward trend in financing costs [8][9].