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1210黄金点评:就业数据回暖,黄金短线波动加大
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 03:24
Core Viewpoint - The overnight market for gold showed a strong fluctuation, with COMEX February gold futures rising by 0.44% and SHFE gold increasing by 0.20%, influenced by positive U.S. employment data and upcoming Federal Reserve meetings [2][4]. Economic Data - U.S. JOLTS job openings increased slightly from 7.66 million to 7.67 million in October, which is better than expected [2][4]. - The latest ADP data indicates that the private sector added an average of 4,750 jobs per week over the four weeks ending November 22, ending a previous four-week trend of job losses, signaling a positive outlook for the labor market [2][4]. Federal Reserve Insights - The potential future chair of the Federal Reserve, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett, stated that there is "ample room" for further rate cuts, although rising inflation could alter this perspective [2][4]. - There is a consensus on a rate cut in December, with market focus shifting to the future path of rate cuts and whether the Federal Reserve will implement additional short-term liquidity tools [2][4]. Geopolitical Context - The President of Ukraine mentioned ongoing negotiations with the U.S. and Europe regarding three key documents, which may impact market sentiment [2][4]. Market Behavior - There was a notable market fluctuation before the Federal Reserve meeting, particularly in the silver market, which showed strong upward movement, indicating potential short-covering dynamics [2][4]. - The market remains cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, anticipating significant short-term volatility [2][4].
沪银主力合约续创历史新高 日内涨幅扩大至5.31%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-10 03:18
Group 1 - The main contract for silver futures in Shanghai increased by 5.31%, reaching a record high of 14,356 yuan per kilogram [1] - In the U.S., job vacancies rose to a five-month high in October, while hiring decreased and layoffs reached a two-year high [1] - The ADP weekly employment data showed signs of recovery, ending four consecutive weeks of job losses [1] Group 2 - Geopolitical discussions are ongoing between Ukraine and the U.S. and Europe regarding three key documents [2] - According to CME's "FedWatch," there is an 87.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, with a 12.4% chance of maintaining the current rate [2] - Market movements prior to the Federal Reserve's meeting indicated significant volatility, particularly in the silver market, suggesting a potential squeeze [2]