Core Viewpoint - The company Huang Shang Huang announced its plan to acquire a 51% stake in freeze-dried food company Fujian Lixing Food Co., Ltd. for 495 million yuan, aiming to diversify its product offerings and expand into new markets amid declining revenues in its core business [1][11]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition of Lixing Food, established in 2006, is part of Huang Shang Huang's strategy to enter the freeze-dried food sector, which includes a wide range of products such as fruits, vegetables, and ready-to-eat meals [2][11]. - Lixing Food has 37 freeze-drying production lines and an annual production capacity of nearly 6,000 tons of various freeze-dried products, making it a leading manufacturer in China [8][9]. - The estimated valuation of Lixing Food is 978 million yuan, with projected revenues of 415 million yuan and 251 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively [9][11]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Huang Shang Huang's revenue has been declining since 2021, with a 7.19% drop in revenue to 984 million yuan in the first half of 2025, although net profit increased by 26.90% to 77 million yuan during the same period [14]. - The company has seen a net reduction of 762 stores in the first half of 2025, continuing a trend of store closures that has resulted in a total decrease of 1,599 stores since 2021 [14][12]. Group 3: Market Context - The acquisition comes as other major players in the marinated food sector, such as Zhou Hei Ya and Jue Wei Food, are also facing revenue declines and are exploring diversification strategies [15][17]. - The freeze-dried food market is seen as a growth opportunity, aligning with consumer trends towards health and convenience, but challenges remain in expanding retail channels and brand recognition [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The coconut water industry continues to show high growth potential, with the leading company's advantages supporting its progress [1][3] - The market for coconut water is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity, with significant room for improvement in its structure [3][22] - The company, IFBH, is positioned as a leader in the domestic coconut water industry, benefiting from favorable market conditions and a stable supply chain [3][22] Summary by Sections 1. Coconut Water Industry Growth - The coconut water industry is characterized by a clear division of labor in its supply chain, with raw material properties determining the stability of the upstream supply chain [2][5] - The market is experiencing an influx of participants, leading to ongoing price exploration and competition [36] 2. IFBH: Industry Leader - IFBH has established a strong presence in the Chinese market, leveraging its stable coconut water supply chain [3][22] - The company effectively controls its brand and products while allowing agents to manage market distribution [3][22] 3. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of $0.43 billion, $0.56 billion, and $0.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +29.5%, +28.77%, and +25.12% [3][22] 4. Market Dynamics - The coconut water market in China is projected to grow from $1.02 billion in 2019 to $10.93 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 60.8% [18][22] - The company’s main revenue source is coconut water, which accounted for 95.6% of total revenue in 2024, with significant contributions from the mainland Chinese market [63][69] 5. Competitive Advantages - IFBH has a strong supply chain control, with General Beverage as its primary supplier, ensuring high-quality raw materials [80][82] - The company has received multiple awards for its products, enhancing its brand reputation in the market [86]