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外贸订单里,“人民币结算”正升温
经济观察报· 2025-10-17 03:22
Core Viewpoint - The reliance of emerging market countries on the US dollar in international transactions is decreasing due to geopolitical changes, rising tariff barriers, and fluctuations in the US interest rate cycle, leading to an increase in the use of the Renminbi (RMB) in cross-border transactions [1][2]. Group 1: RMB Internationalization - The 138th China Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair) has seen an increase in the use of RMB as a trade settlement currency among exporters [2]. - Reports from institutions like China Construction Bank and CICC indicate significant growth in the use of RMB for cross-border trade settlement and financing from 2024 to 2025 [2]. - The RMB's acceptance as a trade settlement currency is particularly notable in "Global South" economies, including Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia [3]. Group 2: Company Experiences - Suzhou Grun德 Electric Co., Ltd. has seen an increase in RMB trade settlements initiated by European clients, with RMB transactions now accounting for a growing portion of their business [6]. - Similar trends are observed at CaiXun Industrial (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., where the proportion of RMB settlements has risen from 0% to approximately 40% for Russian clients [7]. - Jiangsu Jinpeng Group has reported a significant increase in African clients opting for RMB settlements, with the number of such clients doubling from last year [7]. Group 3: Cross-Border RMB Settlement Data - In June, the Bank of China reported that the cross-border RMB settlement volume exceeded 43 trillion yuan, a 31% year-on-year increase, while the cross-border RMB clearing volume reached 131.4 trillion yuan, up 49% [8]. - The CICC report highlighted the weakening credibility of the US dollar due to its misuse and the imposition of tariffs, suggesting a shift towards a more fragmented and diversified global monetary system [8]. Group 4: Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive trends, companies face challenges in using RMB for international transactions, including low liquidity and high financial costs associated with offshore RMB [11]. - A survey indicated that 60% of companies cited low liquidity and high costs as major barriers to using RMB, while 50% reported that counterparties were unwilling to use RMB [11]. - Optimism remains, with 57% of domestic companies and 69% of foreign companies expecting to increase their use of RMB in cross-border trade settlements by 2025 [12].
外贸订单里,“人民币结算”正升温
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trend of using the Renminbi (RMB) as a trade settlement currency among various companies, particularly in the context of cross-border trade and investment [2][3][4] - Reports from institutions like China Construction Bank and CICC indicate a significant growth in the use of RMB for cross-border trade settlements and financing from 2024 to 2025, driven by geopolitical changes and reduced reliance on the US dollar [3][6] - Companies such as Suzhou Grun德 Electric and Jiangsu Jinpeng Group report a noticeable increase in clients opting for RMB settlements, with specific examples showing a shift from USD to RMB in their transactions [5][6] Group 2 - The trend of RMB usage is particularly pronounced in emerging markets, with Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia increasingly accepting RMB for trade settlements [4][6] - Data from the Bank of China indicates that the cross-border RMB settlement volume is expected to exceed 43 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31% [6][7] - Companies are expanding their international presence, with significant investments in regions like ASEAN, which saw a 12.6% increase in investment from China [7][8] Group 3 - Despite the positive outlook, challenges remain for companies using RMB in international markets, including low liquidity and high financial costs associated with offshore RMB usage [8][9] - A survey indicates that 60% of companies face challenges due to low liquidity and high costs, while nearly half report difficulties with counterparties unwilling to use RMB [8][9] - Optimism persists among surveyed companies, with 57% of domestic firms and 69% of foreign firms expecting to increase their use of RMB in cross-border trade settlements by 2025 [9][10]