Overview - The recycling of waste batteries is essential for reducing environmental pollution and achieving resource sustainability, with a focus on recovering valuable metals like lithium, cobalt, and nickel [1][11] - In 2024, China's waste battery (excluding lead-acid) recycling volume is projected to reach 750,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 22.95%, with a recycling value of 17.25 billion yuan, up 17.83% [1][11] Market Policies - A series of policies have been implemented in China to support the development of the waste battery recycling industry, including guidelines for enhancing recycling systems and promoting green manufacturing [4][6] - Key policies include the "2030 Carbon Peak Action Plan" and various initiatives aimed at improving recycling networks and encouraging the integration of advanced technologies in recycling processes [4][6] Industry Chain - The waste battery recycling industry consists of three main segments: upstream (battery sources and collection channels), midstream (recycling and dismantling), and downstream (production of recycled products) [7] - The increasing number of retired batteries from electric vehicles and energy storage systems is a significant source of waste batteries, providing ample raw materials for the recycling industry [7] Current Development - The rapid growth of the electric vehicle and consumer electronics markets has led to an increase in waste battery generation, highlighting the economic and environmental benefits of recycling [11] - The waste lithium-ion battery sector is particularly significant, with the production of lithium-ion batteries in China expected to reach 29.46 billion units in 2024, a 20.1% increase year-on-year [9] Competitive Landscape - The waste battery recycling industry in China is characterized by a tripartite structure involving battery manufacturers, material companies, and third-party recycling firms [13][15] - Leading companies like BYD and CATL have established closed-loop systems for battery production and recycling, while material companies like Huayou Cobalt and Ganfeng Lithium focus on material recovery and processing [13][15] Future Trends - The industry is expected to see stricter regulations and enhanced collaboration between automakers and recycling companies, driven by carbon neutrality goals and ESG considerations [19] - The adoption of intelligent recycling systems utilizing blockchain and AI technologies is anticipated to improve efficiency and reduce costs in the recycling process [19]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-01 库存方面：2025-06-30，SMM铅锭库存总量为5.6万吨，较上周同期变化0.03万吨。截止6月30日，LME铅库存为271925 吨，较上一交易日变化175吨。 策略 谨慎偏多 目前逐步进入铅酸蓄电池消费旺季，并且在价格走高的带动下，下游采购积极性也有所激发，"买涨不买跌"特征 显著，同时宏观情绪的回升以及风险情绪的溢出都会在一定程度上令铅价受益，因此目前就操作而言，沪铅2508 合约可在16,800元/吨至17,000元/吨进行逢低买入套保。 期权策略： 卖出看跌@16,500元/吨。 现货成交偏清淡 铅价高位震荡 市场要闻与重要数据 现货方面：2025-06-30，LME铅现货升水为-22.14美元/吨。SMM1#铅锭现货价较前一交易日变化-50元/吨至16950 元/吨，SMM上海铅现货升贴水较前一交易日变化 0元/吨至-35.00元/吨，SMM广东铅现货较前一交易日变化-50元/ 吨至16975元/吨，SMM河南铅现货较前一交易日变化0元/吨至16975元/吨，SMM天津铅现货升贴水较前一交易日 变化-50元/吨至17025元/吨。铅精废价差较前一 ...

2025 年 6 月 19 日 宽幅震荡，中枢上移 基于 2025 年下半年铅市场供需双增的预估，价格或表现为宽幅震荡，沪铅主要运行区间为 17000-18500 元/ 吨，价格重心约 17500 元/吨。 所 废电池供需结构不匹配是当下产业矛盾的主要成因，也是驱动废电池价格走强的核心逻辑，预计 2025 年废电池 供应维持偏紧格局。一方面，近年来，国内再生铅拆解和冶炼产能迅速扩张，但废电瓶发生量增长存在瓶颈，产需缺 口逐步凸显。另一方面，原生铅冶炼企业废电瓶拆解能力也在逐年攀升。需求端，电动自行车行业仍存在一定增量， 但汽车行业铅蓄电池增速或有见顶趋势，新电池内需增速呈现分化。外需在上半年存在一定抢出口情况下，表现尚 可。印度和东南亚等国成为了主要贡献国，且预计其铅蓄电池市场有望进一步扩张，对出口形成一定拉动作用。总体 而言，供需双增，价格或回归宽幅震荡。 策略上，建议关注季节性波动机会。年中蓄电池厂提前进行消费旺季补库，而废电池因替换消费旺季未到，供 应增量不明显，或带来阶段性供需缺口，为价格注入上行催化。风险点：海外铅矿供应扰动加剧，需求不及预期。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 请务必阅读正文之 ...