Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a strong rebound in the first half of 2025, driven by the dual forces of global energy transition and electrification, with the anode material sector showing significant recovery and concentration improvement [1][2]. Industry Overview - The lithium battery industry has entered a new phase of "recovery and prosperity" in 2025, with a collaborative growth across the entire supply chain, moving away from the low point of 2024 [2][5]. - The demand for lithium battery core materials is witnessing a "volume and price increase" window, driven by the booming markets for electric vehicles and energy storage [3][4]. Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, global demand for anode materials continued to grow, with market prices stabilizing and structural optimization occurring within the sector [5]. - The market concentration is increasing, with leading companies leveraging their technological and production advantages to squeeze out smaller competitors [5][12]. Company Performance - Shanshan Co., Ltd. reported impressive financial results for the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 9.858 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.78%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 207 million yuan, a staggering increase of 1079.59% [1][6]. - The company's anode business has become the core engine driving performance growth, while its polarizer business remains stable, supporting overall positive trends [6][8]. Competitive Advantages - Shanshan holds a leading market share of 21% in the artificial graphite anode materials sector, indicating strong competitive positioning [6]. - The company has successfully introduced new products such as fast-charging anodes and silicon-based anodes, enhancing its technological leadership [6][13]. - Strategic partnerships with major battery manufacturers like CATL and BYD have solidified Shanshan's customer base, ensuring stable sales and facilitating participation in technological advancements [7][10]. Policy Environment - The Chinese government has introduced multiple supportive policies for the lithium battery and energy storage industries, creating a favorable development environment for anode material companies [10][11]. - These policies are expected to stimulate demand for anode materials, further benefiting leading companies like Shanshan [10][11]. Global Expansion - Shanshan is actively pursuing global expansion, with a 100,000-ton anode material production project in Finland progressing well, aimed at serving the European electric vehicle and energy storage markets [11][12]. - The company has also signed strategic cooperation agreements to enhance its global supply chain and respond quickly to market demands [11][12]. Future Outlook - The lithium battery industry's high growth potential is expected to continue, with increasing demand for anode materials driven by the rising penetration of electric vehicles and ongoing energy storage installations [12][13]. - Shanshan's comprehensive advantages in technology, production capacity, customer relationships, and supply chain stability position it well to capitalize on the ongoing industry recovery [12][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The Q2 performance of the company met market expectations, with a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 61.8% in H1 2025 and a net profit increase of 34.4% [8] - The company is expected to achieve a sales volume of 320,000 tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 45% [8] - The report anticipates stable profitability in the second half of 2025, with a projected net profit per ton of approximately 0.3 million yuan [8] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 78.8 yuan, based on a 20 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4,391 million yuan in 2023, 5,229 million yuan in 2024, 8,414 million yuan in 2025, 10,474 million yuan in 2026, and 12,588 million yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -8.18%, 19.10%, 60.90%, 24.48%, and 20.19% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 722.90 million yuan in 2023, 838.33 million yuan in 2024, 1,026.77 million yuan in 2025, 1,425.47 million yuan in 2026, and 1,749.14 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -43.94%, 15.97%, 22.48%, 38.83%, and 22.71% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.77 yuan in 2023, 3.21 yuan in 2024, 3.94 yuan in 2025, 5.46 yuan in 2026, and 6.71 yuan in 2027 [1]