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亚玛芬体育(AS):4Q25强劲势头有望延续
HTSC· 2026-02-26 01:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of $44.46 [1][9][10]. Core Insights - The company reported strong revenue growth in Q4 2025, with revenue reaching $2.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of 28% (26% when adjusted for fixed exchange rates), driven by growth in the technical apparel and outdoor performance segments [1][6]. - The adjusted operating profit margin (OPM) decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 12.5%, primarily due to increased investments in Salomon [6]. - For 2026, the company expects revenue growth guidance of 16%-18% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS guidance of $1.10-$1.15 and an adjusted OPM of 13.1%-13.3% [6][9]. Financial Performance - Q4 2025 revenue breakdown: - Technical apparel segment: $1 billion, YoY +34% - Outdoor performance segment: $760 million, YoY +29% - Ball sports segment: $340 million, YoY +14% [6][7]. - The company plans to open 25-30 new stores in 2026, with a strong performance in the Greater China region [6][7]. - The adjusted gross margin increased by 1.4 percentage points to 57.8% in Q4 2025, while SG&A expenses rose by 35% to $990 million [8]. Market Outlook - The company is experiencing robust growth across all regions, with revenue growth in Q4 2025 as follows: - Asia-Pacific (excluding Greater China): +53% - Greater China: +42% - EMEA: +21% - Americas: +18% [7]. - The company is strategically optimizing its traditional wholesale channels in the Americas to enhance retail experience and profit margins [7]. Profitability and Valuation - The company adjusted its net profit forecast for 2026-2027 down by 6.2% and 7.0% to $650 million and $810 million, respectively, while introducing a forecast for 2028 of $990 million [9]. - The company maintains a PE ratio of 38.0x for 2026, reflecting confidence in its multi-brand strategy and global expansion [9].
Unveiling Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Q3 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Amer Sports, Inc. will report quarterly earnings of $0.25 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 78.6%, with revenues expected to reach $1.73 billion, up 27.7% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.8% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Segment Revenue- Technical Apparel' at $657.53 million, a year-over-year increase of 26.5% [5]. - 'Segment Revenue- Outdoor Performance' is projected at $717.29 million, reflecting a 34.3% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Channel Revenues- DTC' is expected to reach $708.95 million, indicating a 47.7% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Channel Revenues- Wholesale' is forecasted at $986.92 million, showing a 12.9% increase [6]. - 'Segment Revenue- Ball & Racquet Sports' is estimated at $321.05 million, a 7% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Asia Pacific' is projected at $218.99 million, reflecting a significant 75.2% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Greater China' is expected to be $437.22 million, a 39.7% increase [7]. - 'Geographic Revenues- EMEA' is projected at $495.75 million, indicating a 15.6% year-over-year change [7]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Americas' is expected to reach $540.58 million, a 10.8% increase [7]. Operating Profit Estimates - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Technical Apparel' is estimated at $130.87 million, up from $104.00 million in the previous year [8]. - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Ball & Racquet Sports' is projected at $22.57 million, compared to $21.00 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Outdoor Performance' is expected to be $114.31 million, an increase from $93.00 million in the prior year [9]. Stock Performance - Amer Sports, Inc. shares have decreased by 2.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 4.6% [10]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations of outperforming the overall market in the near term [10].