2026 年 2 月 25 日│美国 服装 证券研究报告 亚玛芬体育 (AS US) 4Q25 强劲势头有望延续 经营预测指标与估值 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 25 日│美国 | | 服装 | 目标价(美元): | 44.46 | | 公司公布 | 4Q25 业绩：4Q25 | 营收 21.0 亿美元，同比增长 | 28%（固定汇率 | 樊俊豪 SAC No. S0570524050001 | 研究员 fanjunhao@htsc.com | | | | 计算同比+26%），由技术服装和户外性能板块引领增长，调整后 | OPM 同 | SFC No. BDO986 | +(852) 3658 6000 | 张霜凝* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525070015 zhangshuangning@htsc.com +(86) 755 8249 2388 | 杨耀* | 联系人 | | --- | --- | | SAC No. S057012407005 ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Amer Sports, Inc. will report quarterly earnings of $0.25 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 78.6%, with revenues expected to reach $1.73 billion, up 27.7% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.8% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Segment Revenue- Technical Apparel' at $657.53 million, a year-over-year increase of 26.5% [5]. - 'Segment Revenue- Outdoor Performance' is projected at $717.29 million, reflecting a 34.3% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Channel Revenues- DTC' is expected to reach $708.95 million, indicating a 47.7% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Channel Revenues- Wholesale' is forecasted at $986.92 million, showing a 12.9% increase [6]. - 'Segment Revenue- Ball & Racquet Sports' is estimated at $321.05 million, a 7% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Asia Pacific' is projected at $218.99 million, reflecting a significant 75.2% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Greater China' is expected to be $437.22 million, a 39.7% increase [7]. - 'Geographic Revenues- EMEA' is projected at $495.75 million, indicating a 15.6% year-over-year change [7]. - 'Geographic Revenues- Americas' is expected to reach $540.58 million, a 10.8% increase [7]. Operating Profit Estimates - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Technical Apparel' is estimated at $130.87 million, up from $104.00 million in the previous year [8]. - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Ball & Racquet Sports' is projected at $22.57 million, compared to $21.00 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Adjusted Operating Profit- Outdoor Performance' is expected to be $114.31 million, an increase from $93.00 million in the prior year [9]. Stock Performance - Amer Sports, Inc. shares have decreased by 2.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 4.6% [10]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations of outperforming the overall market in the near term [10].