Core Insights - The survey conducted by Goldman Sachs Asset Management indicates that only 17% of insurance companies plan to increase their allocation to U.S. equities, while private equity assets are gaining significant attention [1][3] Group 1: Economic Concerns - 52% of surveyed insurance companies view inflation as the biggest macroeconomic risk, an increase from 42% in 2024, reflecting concerns similar to those in 2023 [1] - The top five macroeconomic issues perceived as risks to investment portfolios include inflation (52%), U.S. economic slowdown/recession (48%), credit and equity market volatility (47%), geopolitical environment (43%), and tariffs/trade (32%) [4] Group 2: Asset Allocation Trends - 58% of insurance companies plan to increase their allocation to private credit in the next 12 months, indicating strong demand for private assets despite market challenges [1][7] - In the Asia-Pacific region, over 90% of insurance companies intend to maintain or increase their overall portfolio in the next year, with a preference for credit risk at 42% [2] - The expected asset classes with the highest total returns in the next 12 months are led by private credit (61%), followed by U.S. equities (57%), private equity (55%), secondary market private equity (30%), and high-yield bonds (28%) [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - 83% of insurance companies expect positive returns from the S&P 500 in 2025, but growth expectations are tempered, with 50% anticipating a rise of 5% to 10% and only 15% expecting an increase of 10% to 20% [2][3] - 35% of insurance companies expect to increase duration risk in fixed income for 2025, down from 42% the previous year, indicating a cautious optimism regarding the interest rate environment [3] Group 4: AI and Industry Consolidation - 68% of respondents believe that operational synergies and scale effects are the main drivers of increased mergers and acquisitions in the insurance industry, with 90% currently using or considering AI applications [4][5] - Among those planning to adopt AI, 81% cite reducing operational costs as a primary consideration [5]