折叠机铰链零部件

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国泰海通晨报-20251010
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-10 07:22
Group 1: Financial Engineering Research - The stock, bond, and gold markets showed positive, negative, and positive signals respectively as of the end of September 2025 [2] - The macro environment forecast for Q4 indicates inflation [3] Group 2: Semiconductor Equipment Industry - The U.S. House of Representatives' special committee issued a report detailing sanctions against China's semiconductor industry, suggesting measures like export controls and technology blockades to maintain U.S. dominance [4][20] - The report indicates that five major semiconductor equipment companies (AMAT, ASML, KLA, LAM, TEL) account for 80%-85% of the global market share, with China expected to spend $38 billion on semiconductor equipment in 2024 [5][21] - Despite challenges, there is optimism for domestic semiconductor equipment companies to achieve breakthroughs in core technologies, with recommended stocks including North China Huachuang and Tuo Jing Technology [4][20] Group 3: Aviation Industry - The demand for air travel surged during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, with domestic passenger volume increasing by over 3% year-on-year [8][29] - The aviation industry is expected to see profitability growth in Q3 2025, driven by strong public and commercial demand [9][30] - If public demand continues to recover, the Chinese aviation industry could enter a "super cycle" by 2026, with recommendations to invest in high-quality airline networks [32] Group 4: Biomedicine Industry - Heartai Medical is a leader in congenital heart disease intervention devices, with a 32.4% year-on-year revenue growth in H1 2025 [13][14] - The company is advancing biodegradable occluders, which are gaining popularity due to their clinical advantages over traditional metal devices [14] - The market for heart valve interventions in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 69.8% from 2021 to 2025 [14]
统联精密(688210):卡位折叠机零部件,业绩有望逐步释放
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-10 06:04
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 80.50 CNY [5][12][18]. Core Insights - The company specializes in precision components for folding machines, with expectations for continuous improvement in average selling price (ASP) per unit. The company is steadily advancing its domestic and international production capacity, enhancing its global supply capabilities [2][12][21]. - The projected revenue for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 12.37 billion CNY, 16.10 billion CNY, and 21.39 billion CNY, respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company expected to be 1.07 billion CNY, 1.86 billion CNY, and 2.76 billion CNY [11][16][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 814 million CNY in 2024, growing to 1.237 billion CNY in 2025, and 1.610 billion CNY in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.9% from 2024 to 2025 [11][16]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.66 CNY, 1.15 CNY, and 1.71 CNY, respectively, indicating significant growth rates of 43.3%, 73.9%, and 48.2% [11][12][18]. 2. Business Situation - The company focuses on MIM (Metal Injection Molding) and non-MIM components, with a strong presence in the supply chains of major smartphone brands, including Apple and Amazon. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for folding screen devices [21][22]. - The revenue from non-MIM precision components is expected to reach 460 million CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 101.9%, driven by new projects from major clients [12][21][24]. 3. Production Capacity and Global Supply Chain - The company is making steady progress in establishing new production capacities both domestically and internationally, with factories in Changsha, Hunan, and Vietnam entering phased production [12][24].