Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Mao Geping Cosmetics, with a target price of HK$124.70, indicating a potential upside of 28.3% from the current price of HK$97.20 [2][8]. Core Insights - Mao Geping achieved a revenue of RMB 2.588 billion in 1H25, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.3%, with net profit attributable to the parent company reaching RMB 670 million, up 36.1% year-on-year [3][13]. - The company's gross margin for 1H25 was 84.2%, slightly down from the previous year, primarily due to costs associated with product upgrades and training services [3][14]. - Online sales surpassed offline sales for the first time, with online revenue growing by 39.0% year-on-year, while offline revenue increased by 26.6% [4][14]. - The company plans to expand its sales network by adding over 30 new offline stores annually and enhancing its online presence through effective marketing strategies [6][15]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 5.155 billion, RMB 6.665 billion, and RMB 8.398 billion, with growth rates of 32.7%, 29.3%, and 26.0% respectively [8][18]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are RMB 1.209 billion, RMB 1.505 billion, and RMB 1.859 billion, with growth rates of 37.3%, 24.6%, and 23.5% [8][18]. - The company’s diluted EPS is projected to increase from RMB 2.50 in 2025 to RMB 3.79 in 2027 [2][12]. Business Strategy - Mao Geping is focusing on enhancing its brand visibility through increased marketing and promotional expenditures, which rose by 24% year-on-year to RMB 540 million in 1H25 [3][14]. - The company is also testing new skincare product lines and plans to introduce high-priced skincare products targeting mature skin [4][15]. - The expansion strategy includes entering high-end markets in Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Europe, with plans to open a flagship store in Hong Kong and expand to Singapore and Japan [7][17]. Market Position - The company’s market capitalization is approximately HK$25.45 billion (US$3.26 billion), with a trading volume averaging US$37.53 million over the past three months [2][8]. - Mao Geping's stock has shown a relative underperformance compared to the MSCI China index, with a 12-month relative decline of 28.3% [2].