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研报掘金丨长江证券:维持恒立液压“买入”评级,国产替代持续加速
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-23 08:50
Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic has emerged as a leading player in the domestic hydraulic components market, achieving significant performance and valuation growth from 2016 to 2021, with stock prices increasing over 30 times [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company has consistently invested in research and development, leading to a broadening of its product range and downstream applications [1] - Hengli Hydraulic capitalized on the high prosperity cycle of the construction machinery industry post-2016, successfully increasing its market share in excavator cylinders and accelerating the domestic substitution of excavator pumps and valves [1] Group 2: Business Growth Potential - The company's excavator business is expected to grow rapidly in line with the industry's upward cycle, while its non-standard business platform development is anticipated to continuously open new growth boundaries [1] - Hengli Hydraulic is also expanding into precision transmission products such as screws and modules, which will benefit from domestic substitution and the development of the humanoid robot industry, creating a new growth curve [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.937 billion yuan and 3.753 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 48 times and 38 times [1] - The investment rating for Hengli Hydraulic is maintained at "Buy" [1]