证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 仙鹤股份(603733) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 仙鹤股份：盈利环比改善，产能稳步扩张，林 浆纸布局持续完善 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 04 日 盈利预测&投资评级：我们预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 13.5、 17.2、20.1 亿元，对应 PE 估值分别为 11.0X、8.7X、7.4X，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：终端需求不及预期，产能投放不及预期，竞争加剧。 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 报告内容摘要: [Table_S 事 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.274 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.004 billion yuan, up 51.2% year-on-year [1] - The company is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with production and sales benefiting from projects in Guangxi and Hubei, and a successful expansion into overseas markets [2] - The company’s production capacity is expected to grow significantly, with the completion of projects in Guangxi and Hubei contributing to an estimated 30%-40% year-on-year increase in production in 2025 [3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.991 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 236 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [1][4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 14.6%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.9%, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was -196 million yuan, an increase of 218 million yuan year-on-year [4] Future Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to reach 1.351 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.0X, 8.7X, and 7.4X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with total revenue projected to reach 20.29 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 19.8% [5]