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50ETF价格、隐波近一年走势,不同月份平值IV日内走势,ATM IV期限结构:50ETF价格、隐波近三年走势
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 12:04
国投期货 韩泽文 期货从业号: F03108100 投资咨询号: Z0021517 2 天 日期 标的物价格 标的涨跌幅 当月IV 次月IV 2025/11/20 3.156 -0.28% 13.32% 14.38% 2025/11/21 3.101 -1.74% 15.17% 15.50% 2025/11/24 3.094 -0.23% 12.79% 14.13% 2025年11月24日 24.50% 近1年 次月IV分位数 32.90% 50.20% 28.20% 近2年 次月IV分位数 39.10% 55.60% 34.80% 当月合约距离到期还剩 32.30% 57.40% 【50ETF】 近1年 当月IV分位数 28.90% 56.30% 22.40% 近2年 当月IV分位数 金融期权波动率 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 2022/11/22 2023/4/20 2023/9/14 2024/2/20 2024/7/17 2024/12/13 2025/5/19 2025/10/15 50ETF价格、隐波近三年走势 左轴50ETF 当月IV 数据来源: ...
50ETF价格、隐波近三年走势
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 12:09
国投期货 韩泽文 期货从业号: F03108100 投资咨询号: Z0021517 6 天 日期 标的物价格 标的涨跌幅 当月IV 次月IV 2025/11/14 3.183 -1.18% 13.10% 14.83% 2025/11/17 3.159 -0.75% 13.46% 14.73% 2025/11/18 3.150 -0.28% 14.82% 15.39% 2025年11月18日 52.50% 近1年 次月IV分位数 38.30% 34.50% 47.20% 近2年 次月IV分位数 46.30% 43.50% 53.90% 当月合约距离到期还剩 29.40% 34.10% 【50ETF】 近1年 当月IV分位数 26.50% 29.70% 50.60% 近2年 当月IV分位数 金融期权波动率 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ATM IV(M1) ATM IV(M2) ATM IV(Q1) ATM IV(Q2) ATM IV期限结构 今日 昨日 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 2022/11/16 2023/4/14 2023/9/8 2024/2/6 ...
国投期货期权日报-20251107
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 12:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - No explicit core view is presented in the provided documents. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 50ETF price was 3.150, 3.19, and 3.186 respectively, with corresponding daily changes of -0.19%, 1.27%, and -0.13%. The corresponding monthly implied volatility (IV) was 14.25%, 12.80%, and 12.51%, and the next - month IV was 15.56%, 14.89%, and 14.78% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 36.30% and 43.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 45.90% and 56.40% respectively [1]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.82, compared to 97.67 the previous day [2]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai 300ETF price was 4.735, 4.805, and 4.795 respectively, with daily changes of 0.13%, 1.48%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 15.25%, 14.53%, and 14.37%, and the next - month IV was 16.91%, 16.18%, and 15.94% [3]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 37.50% and 48.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.30% and 63.80% respectively [3]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.72 [5]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 300ETF price was 4.881, 4.956, and 4.941 respectively, with daily changes of 0.00%, 1.54%, and -0.30%. The monthly IV was 15.63%, 14.78%, and 14.95%, and the next - month IV was 16.90%, 16.44%, and 16.41% [6]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 40.80% and 53.50% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.40% and 62.80% respectively [6]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.41 [12]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shanghai CSI 500ETF price was 7.330, 7.451, and 7.440 respectively, with daily changes of -1.47%, 1.89%, and -0.15%. The monthly IV was 19.64%, 18.71%, and 18.55%, and the next - month IV was 21.04%, 20.07%, and 19.92% [14]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 44.80% and 50.90% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 56.10% and 64.20% respectively [14]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 106.34 [17]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen CSI 500ETF price was 2.930, 2.979, and 2.968 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 1.67%, and -0.37%. The monthly IV was 20.46%, 18.68%, and 18.65%, and the next - month IV was 21.16%, 20.31%, and 20.12% [21]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 52.20% and 59.30% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.70% and 62.30% respectively [21]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.65 [26]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the ChiNext ETF price was 3.142, 3.201, and 3.185 respectively, with daily changes of 0.96%, 1.88%, and -0.50%. The monthly IV was 31.34%, 29.04%, and 28.86%, and the next - month IV was 31.85%, 30.61%, and 30.16% [27]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 65.70% and 76.20% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 75.60% and 77.80% respectively [27]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 102.10 [33]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Shenzhen 100ETF price was 3.526, 3.590, and 3.567 respectively, with daily changes of 0.20%, 1.82%, and -0.64%. The monthly IV was 21.53%, 20.26%, and 20.37%, and the next - month IV was 22.04%, 21.33%, and 22.06% [38]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 67.60% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 54.00% and 68.40% respectively [38]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 104.78 [41]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF price was 1.460, 1.509, and 1.487 respectively, with daily changes of 0.34%, 3.36%, and -1.46%. The monthly IV was 34.35%, 32.60%, and 32.24%, and the next - month IV was 35.61%, 34.03%, and 33.27% [47]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 61.20% and 73.00% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 52.20% and 67.40% respectively [47]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 96.47 [49]. 3.9 Star 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the Star 50ETF price was 1.414, 1.462, and 1.442 respectively, with daily changes of 0.21%, 3.39%, and -1.37%. The monthly IV was 34.74%, 32.95%, and 32.12%, and the next - month IV was 34.81%, 34.12%, and 32.71% [52]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 57.50% and 70.10% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 66.10% and 75.60% respectively [52]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 97.75 [55]. 3.10 300 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 300 Index price was 4627.257, 4693.403, and 4678.794 respectively, with daily changes of 0.19%, 1.43%, and -0.31%. The monthly IV was 14.89%, 13.87%, and 13.35%, and the next - month IV was 17.03%, 16.43%, and 16.42% [61]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 38.30% and 43.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 50.20% and 61.30% respectively [61]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 107.07 [65]. 3.11 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the 1000 Index price was 7464.863, 7551.830, and 7541.878 respectively, with daily changes of 0.39%, 1.17%, and -0.13%. The monthly IV was 19.37%, 17.89%, and 17.98%, and the next - month IV was 21.34%, 19.98%, and 20.15% [66]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 25.70% and 24.70% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 31.40% and 29.00% respectively [66]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 117.24 [70]. 3.12 SSE 50 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From November 5 - 7, 2025, the SSE 50 Index price was 3007.970, 3044.742, and 3038.346 respectively, with daily changes of -0.17%, 1.22%, and -0.21%. The monthly IV was 13.86%, 13.00%, and 13.21%, and the next - month IV was 56.53%, 61.58%, and 62.00% [71]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year monthly IV quantiles were 24.00% and 30.80% respectively, and the 1 - year and 2 - year next - month IV quantiles were 77.50% and 88.30% respectively [71]. - **Skew Index**: The skew index on November 7, 2025, was 101.00 [76].
国投期货期权日报-20251024
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-10-24 12:33
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report No clear core viewpoints are presented in the content. It mainly provides data on various ETFs and indices, including price, volatility, and related quantile information. 3. Summary by Different ETFs and Indices 3.1 50ETF - The underlying asset price increased from 3.148 on October 22, 2025, to 3.192 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of 0.13%, 0.60%, and 0.79% respectively [1]. - The current month IV was 15.10% on October 22, 15.20% on October 23, and 15.01% on October 24; the next month IV was 16.64%, 16.68%, and 16.45% respectively [1]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are presented [1]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - The underlying asset price rose from 4.695 on October 22, 2025, to 4.770 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.32%, 0.38%, and 1.21% respectively [3]. - The current month IV was 16.69% on October 22, 16.91% on October 23, and 16.03% on October 24; the next month IV was 18.05%, 17.95%, and 17.30% respectively [3]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are provided [3]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - The underlying asset price increased from 4.844 on October 22, 2025, to 4.916 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.29%, 0.23%, and 1.26% respectively [6]. - The current month IV was 17.22% on October 22, 17.05% on October 23, and 16.44% on October 24; the next month IV was 18.42%, 18.38%, and 17.76% respectively [6]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are shown [6]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - The underlying asset price went from 7.224 on October 22, 2025, to 7.369 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of 0.89%, - 0.43%, and 2.01% respectively [15]. - The current month IV was 21.02% on October 22, 21.46% on October 23, and 19.79% on October 24; the next month IV was 21.87%, 22.49%, and 21.25% respectively [15]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are available [15]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - The underlying asset price increased from 2.886 on October 22, 2025, to 2.940 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.69%, 0.24%, and 1.62% respectively [22]. - The current month IV was 21.33% on October 22, 21.72% on October 23, and 20.76% on October 24; the next month IV was 22.15%, 22.53%, and 21.73% respectively [22]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are given [22]. 3.6 GEM ETF - The underlying asset price rose from 3.039 on October 22, 2025, to 3.147 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.75%, - 0.03%, and 3.59% respectively [28]. - The current month IV was 29.28% on October 22, 29.10% on October 23, and 28.54% on October 24; the next month IV was 30.07%, 30.00%, and 29.61% respectively [28]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are presented [28]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - The underlying asset price increased from 3.493 on October 22, 2025, to 3.569 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.54%, 0.14%, and 2.03% respectively [37]. - The current month IV was 23.33% on October 22, 23.50% on October 23, and 22.71% on October 24; the next month IV was 24.22%, 23.78%, and 23.80% respectively [37]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are provided [37]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - The underlying asset price went from 1.476 on October 22, 2025, to 1.535 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.07%, - 0.20%, and 4.21% respectively [46]. - The current month IV was 34.06% on October 22, 34.89% on October 23, and 32.68% on October 24; the next month IV was 35.20%, 35.20%, and 34.18% respectively [46]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are shown [46]. 3.9 Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF - The underlying asset price increased from 1.429 on October 22, 2025, to 1.487 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.07%, - 0.35%, and 4.42% respectively [51]. - The current month IV was 34.31% on October 22, 34.55% on October 23, and 33.01% on October 24; the next month IV was 34.37%, 34.55%, and 34.64% respectively [51]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are given [51]. 3.10 300 Index - The underlying asset price rose from 4592.570 on October 22, 2025, to 4660.684 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.33%, 0.30%, and 1.18% respectively [59]. - The current month IV was 17.00% on October 22, 17.30% on October 23, and 15.88% on October 24; the next month IV was 18.00%, 18.22%, and 17.55% respectively [59]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are presented [59]. 3.11 1000 Index - The underlying asset price increased from 7312.210 on October 22, 2025, to 7419.235 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of - 0.43%, - 0.06%, and 1.52% respectively [64]. - The current month IV was 22.42% on October 22, 21.95% on October 23, and 20.58% on October 24; the next month IV was 23.26%, 23.33%, and 22.38% respectively [64]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are provided [64]. 3.12 Shanghai Composite 50 Index - The underlying asset price rose from 3010.095 on October 22, 2025, to 3045.816 on October 24, 2025, with cumulative increases of 0.09%, 0.56%, and 0.62% respectively [73]. - The current month IV was 14.88% on October 22, 15.86% on October 23, and 15.82% on October 24; the next month IV was 52.31%, 54.67%, and 57.72% respectively [73]. - The 1 - year and 2 - year IV quantiles of the current and next months are shown [73].
国投期货期权日报-20251020
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-10-20 13:19
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View No clear core view is presented in the provided reports. The documents mainly offer detailed data on various financial products, including price movements, implied volatility (IV), and skew indices. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 General Information - Multiple financial products are covered, including 50ETF, various 300ETF (Shanghai, Shenzhen), various CSI 500ETF (Shanghai, Shenzhen),创业板ETF, 深证100ETF, 科创50ETF, 科创板50ETF, 300指数, 1000指数, and 上证50指数 [1][3][8][18][27][33][44][53][59][69][73][77] 3.2 Price and Volatility Data 3.2.1 50ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 3.11 - 3.159, with a maximum increase of 0.67% and a maximum decrease of 1.55%. The monthly IV ranged from 14.20% - 17.52%, and the next - month IV from 15.90% - 16.91% [1] 3.2.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 4.624 - 4.721, with a maximum increase of 0.35% and a maximum decrease of 2.05%. The monthly IV ranged from 17.12% - 20.10%, and the next - month IV from 17.49% - 18.81% [3] 3.2.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 4.768 - 4.872, with a maximum increase of 0.38% and a maximum decrease of 2.13%. The monthly IV ranged from 15.73% - 19.51%, and the next - month IV from 17.75% - 18.99% [8] 3.2.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 7.114 - 7.336, with a maximum increase of 0.64% and a maximum decrease of 3.77%. The monthly IV ranged from 22.63% - 24.66%, and the next - month IV from 22.62% - 23.23% [18] 3.2.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 2.844 - 2.927, with a maximum increase of 0.56% and a maximum decrease of 2.84%. The monthly IV ranged from 22.99% - 26.35%, and the next - month IV from 22.78% - 23.71% [27] 3.2.6 创业板ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 2.915 - 3.014, with a maximum increase of 1.92% and a maximum decrease of 3.28%. The monthly IV ranged from 30.26% - 35.56%, and the next - month IV from 30.49% - 34.02% [33] 3.2.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 3.393 - 3.495, with a maximum increase of 0.94% and a maximum decrease of 2.92%. The monthly IV ranged from 24.39% - 26.27%, and the next - month IV from 24.78% - 26.40% [44] 3.2.8 科创50ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 1.433 - 1.487, with a maximum increase of 0.28% and a maximum decrease of 3.63%. The monthly IV ranged from 31.85% - 41.33%, and the next - month IV from 34.74% - 39.93% [53] 3.2.9 科创板50ETF - From Oct 16 - 20, 2025, the price ranged from 1.388 - 1.441, with a maximum increase of 0.36% and a maximum decrease of 3.68%. The monthly IV ranged from 33.05% - 42.72%, and the next - month IV from 36.91% - 39.33% [59] 3.2.10 300指数 - From Oct 15 - 17, 2025, the price ranged from 4514.235 - 4618.422, with a maximum increase of 1.48% and a maximum decrease of 2.26%. The monthly IV ranged from 14.69% - 18.96%, and the next - month IV from 17.27% - 20.44% [69] 3.2.11 1000指数 - From Oct 15 - 17, 2025, the price ranged from 7185.478 - 7483.449, with a maximum increase of 1.50% and a maximum decrease of 2.92%. The monthly IV ranged from 19.06% - 25.42%, and the next - month IV from 21.47% - 25.34% [73] 3.2.12 Shanghai 50指数 - From Oct 15 - 17, 2025, the price ranged from 2967.775 - 3019.197, with a maximum increase of 1.36% and a maximum decrease of 1.70%. The monthly IV ranged from 14.57% - 16.99%, and the next - month IV from 48.66% - 62.00% [77] 3.3 IV Quantile Data - IV quantiles for different products over the past 1 - 2 years are provided, such as for 50ETF, 300ETF, etc [1][3][8] 3.4 Skew Index Data - Skew indices for different products and different time points (today, yesterday, etc.) are presented, including calculation methods [2][7][15] 3.5 Other Data - Price, IV, and volume trends over the past 1 - 3 years are shown for various products, as well as IV term structures and intraday IV trends for different months [1][3][8]
国投期货期权日报-20251015
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-10-15 13:59
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report No clear core view is presented in the given text. The report mainly provides detailed data on various financial products, including price, volatility, and related quantile information. 3. Summary by Product 3.1 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price fluctuated with a -0.35% decline on Oct 13, -0.03% on Oct 14, and a 1.23% increase on Oct 15. The current IV was 16.92%, 17.38%, and 16.01% respectively, and the next - month IV was 17.65%, 17.48%, and 16.36% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are provided, with current IV 1 - year quantiles at 60.40%, 63.20%, 54.20% and 2 - year quantiles at 70.70%, 72.80%, 64.80% [1]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price had a -0.57% decline on Oct 13, -1.00% on Oct 14, and a 1.31% increase on Oct 15. The current IV was 18.05%, 19.49%, and 16.89% respectively, and the next - month IV was 18.39%, 19.07%, and 17.46% [4]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are given, such as 1 - year current IV quantiles at 53.00%, 64.80%, 53.50% [4]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price dropped by -0.47% on Oct 13, -1.09% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.48% on Oct 15. The current IV was 19.05%, 19.67%, and 17.39% respectively, and the next - month IV was 18.74%, 19.37%, and 17.49% [8]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are provided, like 1 - year current IV quantiles at 66.50%, 70.60%, 57.90% [8]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price decreased by -2.35% on Oct 13, -2.88% on Oct 14, and -1.02% on Oct 15. The current IV was 20.93%, 22.86%, and 20.55% respectively, and the next - month IV was 21.72%, 22.50%, and 20.87% [17]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are presented, for example, 1 - year current IV quantiles at 52.20%, 62.80%, 50.20% [17]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price fell by -0.50% on Oct 13, -2.25% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.27% on Oct 15. The current IV was 21.37%, 23.72%, and 20.26% respectively, and the next - month IV was 22.50%, 23.06%, and 21.36% [27]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are given, such as 1 - year current IV quantiles at 55.10%, 65.30% [27]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price dropped by -1.32% on Oct 13, -3.93% on Oct 14, and rose by 2.35% on Oct 15. The current IV was 38.89%, 40.15%, and 35.12% respectively, and the next - month IV was 36.71%, 38.08%, and 34.84% [33]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are provided, with 1 - year current IV quantiles at 85.70%, 87.70%, 74.60% [33]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price decreased by -1.27% on Oct 13, -2.54% on Oct 14, and rose by 2.14% on Oct 15. The current IV was 25.76%, 27.59%, and 23.56% respectively, and the next - month IV was 26.30%, 26.40%, and 25.03% [43]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are presented, for example, 1 - year current IV quantiles at 74.60%, 83.20%, 64.00% [43]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price rose by 1.18% on Oct 13, dropped by -4.20% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.35% on Oct 15. The current IV was 47.39%, 46.66%, and 40.73% respectively, and the next - month IV was 42.65%, 43.07%, and 40.10% [52]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are given, such as 1 - year current IV quantiles at 85.70%, 91.40%, 79.70% [52]. 3.9 STAR 50ETF - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price rose by 1.00% on Oct 13, dropped by -4.10% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.10% on Oct 15. The current IV was 45.79%, 45.71%, and 41.44% respectively, and the next - month IV was 42.36%, 43.16%, and 40.76% [57]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are provided, with 1 - year current IV quantiles at 82.80%, 89.90%, 81.80% [57]. 3.10 300 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price decreased by -0.50% on Oct 13, -1.20% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.48% on Oct 15. The current IV was 16.88%, 18.26%, and 15.19% respectively, and the next - month IV was 18.72%, 19.78%, and 17.40% [65]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are presented, for example, 1 - year current IV quantiles at 56.30%, 64.40%, 38.30% [65]. 3.11 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price dropped by -0.19% on Oct 13, -1.95% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.50% on Oct 15. The current IV was 21.41%, 22.86%, and 19.06% respectively, and the next - month IV was 22.57%, 22.55%, and 21.47% [69]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are given, such as 1 - year current IV quantiles at 34.60%, 49.70%, 22.00% [69]. 3.12 SSE 50 Index - **Price and Volatility Data**: From Oct 13 - 15, 2025, the price decreased by -0.26% on Oct 13, -0.21% on Oct 14, and rose by 1.36% on Oct 15. The current IV was 15.76%, 17.52%, and 14.57% respectively, and the next - month IV was 53.26%, 53.17%, and 57.64% [73]. - **IV Quantiles**: The 1 - year and 2 - year quantiles of current and next - month IV are provided, with 1 - year current IV quantiles at 46.50%, 58.70% [73].
国投期货期权日报-20250923
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 11:37
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 3.045 to 3.054, with a 0.30% increase on the 22nd and 0.00% on the 23rd; the monthly IV increased from 18.07% to 21.49%, and the next - month IV decreased from 18.96% to 18.43% [1] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 84.80% and the 2 - year reaching up to 91.00% [1] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 85.59 [2] 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 4.604 to 4.622, with a 0.33% increase on the 22nd and 0.06% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 18.21% to 16.03%, and the next - month IV decreased slightly from 19.78% to 19.51% [3] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 63.70% and the 2 - year reaching up to 75.20% [3] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 96.85 [5] 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 4.747 to 4.762, with a 0.36% increase on the 22nd and - 0.04% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 19.54% to 17.19%, and the next - month IV decreased from 20.66% to 20.39% [9] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 68.50% and the 2 - year reaching up to 81.70% [9] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 94.82 [11] 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 7.261 to 7.277, with a - 1.30% decrease on the 19th, 0.36% increase on the 22nd, and 0.22% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 24.13% to 16.69%, and the next - month IV increased from 25.49% to 25.99% [13] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 70.60% and the 2 - year reaching up to 80.10% [13] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 106.94 [16] 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 2.903 to 2.906, with a - 0.34% decrease on the 19th, 0.69% increase on the 22nd, and - 0.58% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 23.80% to 16.57%, and the next - month IV decreased from 26.02% to 25.31% [21] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 65.70% and the 2 - year reaching up to 77.00% [21] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 102.72 [24] 3.6 ChiNext ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 3.062 to 3.093, with a - 0.16% decrease on the 19th, 0.65% increase on the 22nd, and 0.36% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 37.86% to 30.72%, and the next - month IV decreased from 42.49% to 41.28% [25] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 91.50% and the 2 - year reaching up to 95.70% [25] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 97.74 [29] 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 3.475 to 3.494, with a 0.38% increase on the 19th, 0.55% on the 22nd, and 0.00% on the 23rd; the monthly IV increased from 24.53% to 25.27%, and the next - month IV increased from 27.03% to 28.34% [35] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 70.60% and the 2 - year reaching up to 83.20% [35] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 96.93 [38] 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 1.431 to 1.475, with a - 1.31% decrease on the 19th, 3.35% increase on the 22nd, and - 0.27% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 44.82% to 41.63%, and the next - month IV decreased from 49.19% to 48.22% [42] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 90.30% and the 2 - year reaching up to 94.20% [42] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 94.59 [45] 3.9 STAR 50ETF - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 1.398 to 1.442, with a - 1.20% decrease on the 19th, 3.51% increase on the 22nd, and - 0.35% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 46.57% to 41.58%, and the next - month IV decreased from 50.41% to 47.52% [49] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 87.30% and the 2 - year reaching up to 94.20% [49] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 93.04 [52] 3.10 300 Index - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 4501.920 to 4519.778, with a 0.08% increase on the 19th, 0.46% on the 22nd, and - 0.06% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 21.19% to 20.20%, and the next - month IV increased from 20.05% to 20.54% [56] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 83.00% and the 2 - year reaching up to 86.90% [56] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 95.20 [63] 3.11 1000 Index - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 7438.189 to 7408.069, with a - 0.51% decrease on the 19th, 0.69% increase on the 22nd, and - 1.09% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased slightly from 27.67% to 27.93%, and the next - month IV increased from 25.77% to 26.92% [64] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 74.20% and the 2 - year reaching up to 80.50% [64] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 106.39 [67] 3.12 Shanghai 50 Index - From September 19 - 23, 2025, the price changed from 2909.744 to 2919.515, with a - 0.11% decrease on the 19th, 0.43% increase on the 22nd, and - 0.09% on the 23rd; the monthly IV decreased from 20.74% to 19.89%, and the next - month IV increased from 57.44% to 58.30% [68] - The monthly IV quantiles in the past 1 - year and 2 - year periods were relatively high, with the 1 - year monthly IV quantile reaching up to 83.60% and the 2 - year reaching up to 92.40% [68] - The skew index of the main contract month on September 23 was 92.99 [74]
金融期权波动率日报-20250616
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-06-16 11:56
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View No clear core view is presented in the given content. The document mainly provides a large amount of data on various financial products such as ETFs and indices, including historical volatility, implied volatility, and related price trends. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 2.753, with 5HV at 8.25%, 10HV at 5.68%, 20HV at 5.92%, and the current month's IV at 11.21%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 4.80%, and in the past 2 years was 2.40%. The next month's IV was 12.16%, with an IV percentile of 5.70% in the past 1 year and 11.30% in the past 2 years [1][2]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [1]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 3.990, with 5HV at 9.45%, 10HV at 6.81%, 20HV at 6.89%, and the current month's IV at 0.32%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 0.40%, and in the past 2 years was 0.20%. The next month's IV was 0.36%, with an IV percentile of 0.40% in the past 1 year and 0.20% in the past 2 years [9]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [9]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 4.026, with 5HV at 9.82%, 10HV at 7.08%, 20HV at 7.04%, and the current month's IV at 13.11%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 20.40%, and in the past 2 years was 16.70%. The next month's IV was 12.75%, with an IV percentile of 12.20% in the past 1 year and 10.10% in the past 2 years [15]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [15]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 5.797, with 5HV at 10.82%, 10HV at 9.26%, 20HV at 9.77%, and the current month's IV at 0.00%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 0.40%, and in the past 2 years was 0.20%. The next month's IV was 0.00%, with an IV percentile of 0.40% in the past 1 year and 0.20% in the past 2 years [26]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [26]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 2.319, with 5HV at 12.27%, 10HV at 10.15%, 20HV at 10.73%, and the current month's IV at 14.23%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 0.40%, and in the past 2 years was 14.10%. The next month's IV was 15.64%, with an IV percentile of 1.20% in the past 1 year and 25.80% in the past 2 years [37]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [37]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 2.037, with 5HV at 16.59%, 10HV at 13.76%, 20HV at 14.11%, and the current month's IV at 17.99%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 2.40%, and in the past 2 years was 9.80%. The next month's IV was 19.57%, with an IV percentile of 8.00% in the past 1 year and 23.90% in the past 2 years [49]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [49]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 3.725, with 5HV at 11.72%, 10HV at 9.51%, 20HV at 11.55%. The data for the current month's IV and related IV percentiles showed errors (VALUE!) [59]. - The current month's contract has -1 days until expiration [59]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 1.021, with 5HV at 12.36%, 10HV at 13.16%, 20HV at 12.46%, and the current month's IV at 18.11%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 0.40%, and in the past 2 years was 4.90%. The next month's IV was 20.29%, with an IV percentile of 2.10% in the past 1 year and 17.30% in the past 2 years [68]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [68]. 3.9 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF E Fund - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 0.995, with 5HV at 11.77%, 10HV at 13.04%, 20HV at 12.35%, and the current month's IV at 17.64%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 9.30%, and in the past 2 years was 5.70%. The next month's IV was 19.64%, with an IV percentile of 8.00% in the past 1 year and 17.30% in the past 2 years [78]. - The current month's contract has 7 days until expiration [78]. 3.10 300 Index - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 3873.795, with 5HV at 9.23%, 10HV at 6.91%, 20HV at 7.42%, and the current month's IV at 11.17%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 1.60%, and in the past 2 years was 0.80%. The next month's IV was 13.05%, with an IV percentile of 11.40% in the past 1 year and 5.90% in the past 2 years [88]. - The current month's contract has 4 days until expiration [88]. 3.11 1000 Index - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 6147.460, with 5HV at 13.88%, 10HV at 12.77%, 20HV at 13.82%, and the current month's IV at 15.88%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 0.40%, and in the past 2 years was 19.60%. The next month's IV was 17.74%, with an IV percentile of 0.40% in the past 1 year and 28.40% in the past 2 years [90]. - The current month's contract has 4 days until expiration [90]. 3.12 Shanghai Composite 50 Index - On June 16, 2025, the underlying price was 2685.009, with 5HV at 7.42%, 10HV at 5.31%, 20HV at 6.19%, and the current month's IV at 11.56%. The IV percentile for the current month in the past 1 year was 3.60%, and in the past 2 years was 1.80%. The next month's IV was 43.63%, with an IV percentile of 51.80% in the past 1 year and 75.80% in the past 2 years [100]. - The current month's contract has 4 days until expiration [100].
金融期权波动率日报-2025-03-18
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-18 04:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility data for various ETFs, indicating a fluctuating market environment with significant historical volatility levels observed across different time frames [10][20][28] - Implied volatility (IV) for the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and other ETFs shows a trend of increasing IV, suggesting heightened market expectations for future volatility [11][23][54] - The skew index for the main months of options indicates a shift in market sentiment, with recent values showing an upward trend, reflecting changing investor expectations [9][18][38] Summary by Sections 50ETF - The current price is 2.723 with an implied volatility (IV) of 13.56% and historical volatility (HV) values showing a range from 5.43% to 12.91% over the past days [2][3][10] - The IV percentile for the past year is 39.10%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility compared to historical data [2][3] Hu300ETF - The current price is 4.005 with an IV of 14.39% and HV values ranging from 4.80% to 11.43% [11][12] - The IV percentile for the past year is 43.60%, suggesting increased market expectations for volatility [11][12] Deep300ETF - The current price is 4.106 with an IV of 14.21% and HV values from 4.40% to 11.99% [23][24] - The IV percentile for the past year is 37.10%, indicating a moderate level of implied volatility [23][24] Entrepreneur Board ETF - The current price is 2.125 with an IV of 23.06% and HV values ranging from 9.93% to 19.19% [54][55] - The IV percentile for the past year is 40.40%, reflecting significant market expectations for future volatility [54][55] Deep100ETF - The current price is 2.770 with an IV of 18.31% and HV values from 5.00% to 13.57% [60][61] - The IV percentile for the past year is 42.80%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility [60][61]