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金融期权波动率日报-2025-03-18
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-18 04:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility data for various ETFs, indicating a fluctuating market environment with significant historical volatility levels observed across different time frames [10][20][28] - Implied volatility (IV) for the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and other ETFs shows a trend of increasing IV, suggesting heightened market expectations for future volatility [11][23][54] - The skew index for the main months of options indicates a shift in market sentiment, with recent values showing an upward trend, reflecting changing investor expectations [9][18][38] Summary by Sections 50ETF - The current price is 2.723 with an implied volatility (IV) of 13.56% and historical volatility (HV) values showing a range from 5.43% to 12.91% over the past days [2][3][10] - The IV percentile for the past year is 39.10%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility compared to historical data [2][3] Hu300ETF - The current price is 4.005 with an IV of 14.39% and HV values ranging from 4.80% to 11.43% [11][12] - The IV percentile for the past year is 43.60%, suggesting increased market expectations for volatility [11][12] Deep300ETF - The current price is 4.106 with an IV of 14.21% and HV values from 4.40% to 11.99% [23][24] - The IV percentile for the past year is 37.10%, indicating a moderate level of implied volatility [23][24] Entrepreneur Board ETF - The current price is 2.125 with an IV of 23.06% and HV values ranging from 9.93% to 19.19% [54][55] - The IV percentile for the past year is 40.40%, reflecting significant market expectations for future volatility [54][55] Deep100ETF - The current price is 2.770 with an IV of 18.31% and HV values from 5.00% to 13.57% [60][61] - The IV percentile for the past year is 42.80%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility [60][61]
金融期权波动率日报-2025-02-25
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-02-25 07:34
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific ETFs analyzed. Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility metrics for various ETFs, including the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and others, indicating a range of implied volatility (IV) and historical volatility (HV) levels, which are critical for assessing market conditions and potential investment opportunities. Summary by Relevant Sections 50ETF Analysis - As of February 20, 2025, the 50ETF price was 2.708 with an implied volatility (IV) of 14.04% and a 20-day historical volatility (20HV) of 9.50% [2][3][8] - The one-year IV percentile was 42.00%, indicating a moderate level of volatility compared to historical data [2][3][8] Hu300ETF Analysis - On February 20, 2025, the Hu300ETF price was 4.021, with an IV of 14.52% and a 20HV of 10.07% [13][14] - The one-year IV percentile was 42.00%, suggesting a similar volatility profile to the 50ETF [13][14] Deep300ETF Analysis - The Deep300ETF was priced at 4.122 on February 20, 2025, with an IV of 14.97% and a 20HV of 10.49% [23][24] - The one-year IV percentile was 47.70%, indicating slightly higher volatility compared to the Hu300ETF [23][24] ChiNext ETF Analysis - The ChiNext ETF had a price of 2.184 on February 20, 2025, with an IV of 24.59% and a 20HV of 22.98% [55][56] - The one-year IV percentile was 50.60%, reflecting a higher volatility environment compared to the other ETFs analyzed [55][56] Skew Index and Smile Curve - The skew index for the main months of the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and Deep300ETF showed variations, with the 50ETF at 100.42 on the latest date, indicating market sentiment towards volatility [10][19][26] - The smile curves for these ETFs suggest varying levels of demand for options at different strike prices, which can indicate market expectations for future volatility [12][18][25] Historical Volatility Metrics - Historical volatility metrics for the ETFs indicate a maximum of 88% for the 50ETF and 110% for the Hu300ETF, suggesting significant past price fluctuations [11][21][28] - The report highlights the importance of these metrics in understanding the risk and potential return profiles of the ETFs [11][21][28]