Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently at 51.5 HKD, showing a 1.28% increase, but technical indicators suggest severe overselling with an RSI of 31, indicating a potential for a technical rebound [1] - The stock has fallen below all key moving averages, with MA10 at 52.85 HKD, MA30 at 55.98 HKD, and MA60 at 54.94 HKD, while other indicators like the Williams %R, Stochastic Oscillator, and CCI signal a buying opportunity [1] - Short-term support levels are identified at 48.8 HKD (Support 1) and 45.1 HKD (Support 2), with resistance levels at 53.5 HKD (Resistance 1) and 56 HKD (Resistance 2) [2] Group 2 - Recent derivative products have shown strong performance, with UBS bear certificate 59867 rising by 13% and JPMorgan bear certificate 55706 increasing by 12% during a period when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.03% [4] - Recommended products for investors anticipating a rebound include Morgan Stanley call option 16583 with a strike price of 59.05 HKD and a leverage of 10.1 times, and Bank of China call option 29957 with a strike price of 59 HKD and a leverage of 9.9 times [7] - For bearish investors, Morgan Stanley put option 14322 and HSBC put option 14333, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD and competitive premiums, are suggested [7][10]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Xiaomi experienced over 30% year-on-year growth during the recent 618 shopping festival, with domestic business maintaining a strong growth momentum in Q2, accumulating a total payment amount of 35.5 billion RMB [1] - Goldman Sachs indicated that Xiaomi's electric vehicle factory phase two is preparing for production, with the YU 7 expected to be officially launched between late June and early July, which could be positive news for Xiaomi [1] - Technical analysis shows mixed signals; while overall signals indicate a buy with a strength of 15, some oscillators like the RSI are in overbought territory, suggesting potential short-term price adjustments [1][3] Technical Analysis - Xiaomi has two support levels at 52.3 and 54, with resistance levels at 58.4 and 60.4. The current price is 57.1, indicating a delicate balance between support and resistance [3] - The probability of an upward movement is 53%, with a 5-day volatility of 7.3%, reflecting market divergence in sentiment towards Xiaomi [3] Product Performance - Several products mentioned on June 19 performed well, with notable increases in warrants such as Citibank's warrant 13549 and HSBC's put warrant 14333, showing significant price appreciation within two days [3][5] Investment Opportunities - For those anticipating a rise in Xiaomi's stock price, Citibank's warrant 13549 offers the lowest premium with a leverage of 10.6 times and an exercise price of 61.5 [5] - For hedging against potential declines, HSBC's put warrant 14333 is recommended due to its low premium and implied volatility [6] Related Assets - Various warrants and certificates related to Xiaomi are available, including Citibank's warrant 13549 with a leverage of 10.6, and UBS's bear certificate 56421 with a leverage of 13.1 [7][8]