根據上日（20 日）收市資料顯示，快手（01024）全日收報 71.9 元，單日跌2.84%，成交額達 44.20 億元，呈現明顯的調整態勢。截至今日（21日）上午10 點42分， 多隻科技股承壓，快手亦未能倖免，股價出現一定幅度調整，現最新報71.75元，暫微跌0.21%。 從技術分析角度來看，多個技術指標綜合後的總結信號為「中立」，強度有 11。多條移動平均線呈現「賣出」信號，顯示中長期走勢存在壓力，不過多個 震盪指標信號處於「中立」狀態，RSI 指標值為 45，同樣在中立區域，可見市場對其短期走勢看法分歧頗大。 快手會在支持位獲得支撐展開反彈，還是持續走弱下探更低位置？在波動加劇的行情中，哪些窩輪或牛熊證產品更具操作價值？ 想獲取更多專業分析，請立即追蹤「港股窩輪Jenny」，掌握第一手市場動向！ | 相關資產 | 名稱 | 產品 | 植桿 | 行使 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 快手(01024) | 法巴認購證 | 24996 | 7.6 | | | 快手(01024) | 花旗認沽證 | 19156 | 3.4 | 6 | | 快手(01024) | 中銀 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a neutral trend with no clear direction, showing 6 buy signals and 7 sell signals, with support at 24,417 and resistance at 25,300 [1] - Investors are divided, with some expecting the index to drop to 23,000 while others are looking for short-term rebounds [1] Group 2: BYD Electronics (00285.HK) - The stock price rebounded from a low of 39.04, closing at 38.68, with a buy signal indicating a short-term upward trend [3] - The first resistance level is at 40.8, with potential to reach 42.7 if broken, while support levels are at 35.3 and 34.3 [3] Group 3: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - The stock reached a high of 79.65 and closed at 77.05, with a buy signal indicating a positive short-term outlook [5] - Resistance levels are at 79.2 and 82.5, with a target of 80-90 still some distance away [5] Group 4: Bilibili-W (09626.HK) - The stock is showing a mixed trend, with a buy signal but resistance at 192.3, indicating potential challenges for upward movement [9] - Support levels are at 173.9 and 164.3, with a close proximity to the investor's put option strike price of 162.22 [9] Group 5: China Unicom (00762.HK) - The stock has shown strong performance, reaching a high of 10.17, with a buy signal and potential to challenge 13 [12] - Resistance levels are at 10.20 and 10.9, indicating that reaching 13 will require more time [12] Group 6: Alibaba-W (09988.HK) - The stock closed at 118.5 with a buy signal, indicating a sideways movement [15] - Investors are advised to consider short-term strategies, but should be cautious of time decay in options due to the stock's slow movement [15]

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment for Hong Kong stocks is active, with Meituan showing potential for price increases due to new partnerships and impressive user growth in its delivery and flash purchase services [1][3]. Technical Analysis - Meituan's technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 15, indicating strong market optimism [1]. - Multiple moving averages indicate a "strong buy" signal, suggesting a positive medium to long-term trend [1]. - The RSI value is at 54, reflecting a neutral stance in the short term, indicating some market divergence regarding its future price movement [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Meituan's first support level is at HKD 125.2, with a second support at HKD 121.8 [3]. - The first resistance level to watch is at HKD 137.2, with a higher resistance at HKD 144.6 [3]. - The current price is approaching the first resistance level, with a 55% probability of breaking through [3]. Recent Performance of Related Products - On July 21, 2025, Meituan's stock price increased by 1.83% two days later, positively impacting related products [3]. - UBS call warrants (58595) rose by 20%, HSBC call warrants (58836) by 14%, UBS call warrants (16391) by 13%, and HSBC call warrants (16986) by 10%, showcasing the leverage effect of these products [3]. Investment Products - For those optimistic about Meituan breaking the HKD 137.2 resistance, HSBC call warrant (16986) is recommended with a leverage of 6.9 times and a strike price of HKD 145.65 [5]. - UBS call warrant (16391) also has a leverage of 6.7 times and is worth considering [5]. - For those anticipating a short-term adjustment, UBS put warrant (16119) and Societe Generale put warrant (16674) are options, both with a leverage of 6.5 times [6]. Additional Investment Options - Investors bullish on Meituan may consider HSBC bull warrant (58836) with a leverage of 8.4 times and a recovery price of HKD 120.5 [8]. - UBS bull warrant (58595) offers a higher leverage of 9.7 times with a recovery price of HKD 123 [8]. - For bearish views, Societe Generale bear warrant (62919) has a leverage of 8.1 times, while JPMorgan bear warrant (64164) offers a leverage of 10.7 times [8].

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) shows strong upward momentum with a closing price of HKD 20.55, reflecting a 4.67% increase, and technical indicators suggest a "strong buy" signal [1][12]. Technical Analysis - The current resistance levels are identified at HKD 20.5 and HKD 21.6, with a potential target of HKD 22.0 if the stock breaks through these levels [1][4]. - The first support level is at HKD 19.3 and the second at HKD 18.6, which may attract buying interest if the stock price retraces to these levels [4]. - The MACD indicator maintains a buy signal, although some oscillators show signs of divergence, indicating potential short-term pullback risks [4][12]. Market Performance - The stock has demonstrated high volatility with a 5-day price fluctuation of 10.1%, providing opportunities for short-term trading [4]. - Technical indicators such as MA10, MA30, and MA60 have formed a bullish arrangement, indicating positive market sentiment [1][12]. Derivative Products - Several call options have performed well, with notable gains such as a 33% increase in a specific call option within two days, significantly outperforming the underlying stock's 6.63% rise [5][8]. - Options with exercise prices in the HKD 21-25 range have shown leverage ratios between 3.4x and 4.9x, indicating potential for high returns [8][11].

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Xiaomi experienced over 30% year-on-year growth during the recent 618 shopping festival, with domestic business maintaining a strong growth momentum in Q2, accumulating a total payment amount of 35.5 billion RMB [1] - Goldman Sachs indicated that Xiaomi's electric vehicle factory phase two is preparing for production, with the YU 7 expected to be officially launched between late June and early July, which could be positive news for Xiaomi [1] - Technical analysis shows mixed signals; while overall signals indicate a buy with a strength of 15, some oscillators like the RSI are in overbought territory, suggesting potential short-term price adjustments [1][3] Technical Analysis - Xiaomi has two support levels at 52.3 and 54, with resistance levels at 58.4 and 60.4. The current price is 57.1, indicating a delicate balance between support and resistance [3] - The probability of an upward movement is 53%, with a 5-day volatility of 7.3%, reflecting market divergence in sentiment towards Xiaomi [3] Product Performance - Several products mentioned on June 19 performed well, with notable increases in warrants such as Citibank's warrant 13549 and HSBC's put warrant 14333, showing significant price appreciation within two days [3][5] Investment Opportunities - For those anticipating a rise in Xiaomi's stock price, Citibank's warrant 13549 offers the lowest premium with a leverage of 10.6 times and an exercise price of 61.5 [5] - For hedging against potential declines, HSBC's put warrant 14333 is recommended due to its low premium and implied volatility [6] Related Assets - Various warrants and certificates related to Xiaomi are available, including Citibank's warrant 13549 with a leverage of 10.6, and UBS's bear certificate 56421 with a leverage of 13.1 [7][8]

Group 1 - The stock price of Sunny Optical (02382) is currently at 59.8 HKD, down 1.89%, showing weakness since reaching a peak on May 12, and is approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 58.8 HKD [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 40, indicating an oversold condition, while the William and Stochastic indicators are signaling a buy; however, the MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain a strong sell perspective [1] - The stock has fallen below all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 63.89 HKD acting as a significant resistance level; if it cannot recover the support level of 59 HKD, it may drop to the year’s low of 51.3 HKD [1] Group 2 - The warrants related to Sunny Optical (15561) saw a price increase of 7% despite the underlying stock dropping by 2.7% two days later [3] - For investors anticipating a rebound, Huatai's call warrant (26633) offers a leverage of 3.4 times with an exercise price of 52.93 HKD, while the BNP Paribas call warrant (26732) provides similar conditions with a leverage of 3.3 times [5] - For bearish investors, UBS's put warrant (13316) offers a leverage of 2.5 times with an exercise price of 58.83 HKD, close to the current stock price [5] Group 3 - Citibank's bull certificate (55660) offers a leverage of 11.4 times with a redemption price of 58 HKD, which has the lowest premium among similar products; HSBC's bull certificate (55910) provides a leverage of 10.4 times [9] - Investors should note that Sunny Optical's 5-day volatility is at 7%, and they should assess their risk tolerance accordingly [9] - For bearish strategies, investors can consider JPMorgan's bear certificate (56227) or UBS's bear certificate (54934) with redemption prices of 77 HKD and 78 HKD, respectively, and premiums of 3.18% and 1.67% [9]

Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of China COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919) has shown strong upward momentum, with a current price of 14.48 HKD and a peak of 14.54 HKD during the trading session, approaching the upper Bollinger Band of 14.81 HKD [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock has maintained a "strong buy" signal, with 8 buy signals, 7 sell signals, and 3 neutral signals noted [3][6]. - The price has consistently risen since mid-April, with a significant breakout above the weekly Bollinger Band top of 13.73 HKD [3]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 14.6 HKD (Resistance 1) and 16.2 HKD (Resistance 2), while support levels are at 13.1 HKD (Support 1) and 12.1 HKD (Support 2) [6]. Derivative Instruments - The UBS call option (27472) with a strike price of 14.5 HKD offers a leverage of 4.3 times, while the HSBC call option (27475) provides a leverage of 4.5 times, both having favorable implied volatility [8]. - The performance of related warrants has been positive, with the underlying stock rising by 0.99% on May 16, and the UBS and HSBC warrants increasing by 8% and 7%, respectively [7]. Market Sentiment - Investors are speculating whether the stock can break through the 14.6 HKD level or if it will first undergo a correction to alleviate overbought pressure, indicating a cautious yet optimistic market sentiment [11].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently facing short-term pressure, with key support levels identified at 47.2 HKD, 44.2 HKD, and 40.8 HKD, while resistance levels are at 53.1 HKD and 55.6 HKD. The market sentiment appears slightly optimistic with a 53% probability of short-term price increase [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock closed at 48.65 HKD, with a potential drop to 47.2 HKD being a critical level to watch [1]. - Technical indicators show a bearish crossover with the 10-day moving average (50.11 HKD) falling below the 30-day moving average (46.86 HKD) [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD shows a buy signal but with weakening momentum [1]. - The stock's volatility is at 10.9%, suggesting significant price fluctuations recently [1]. - Current technical signals include 9 sell signals, 8 neutral signals, and 11 buy signals, leading to an overall "buy" recommendation [1]. Derivative Instruments - For bullish investors, options such as the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) with a strike price of 55.05 HKD and a leverage of 5.6 times are recommended [6]. - UBS call option (14991) has similar terms with a leverage of 5.3 times [6]. - For bearish strategies, HSBC bear certificate (61377) offers an 8 times leverage, while Societe Generale bear certificate (61240) provides an 8.4 times leverage [9]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently observing a mixed performance in derivative products, with HSBC bear certificates rising by 61% and Societe Generale bear certificates increasing by 53% during a 5.26% drop in stock price [3].