回顧近期熱門窩輪表現，2026年1月2日推出的多隻紫金礦業相關產品，在其後兩日都呈現出強勁的彈性。其中法巴牛證（63568）兩日後升幅達30%，同期 正股僅上漲3.57%；法興牛證（60105）兩日後升幅亦有24%，同樣跑贏正股表現。呢兩隻牛證之所以能有如此突出的回報，核心在於正股上漲帶動下，牛證 的槓桿效應充分釋放，放大了正股的漲幅收益，體現出高Delta對正股波動的敏感度。另外，瑞銀認購證（22176）及中銀認購證（15329）兩日後升幅分別 為23%及22%，同樣受惠於正股的上漲走勢，展現出不錯的彈性。 【窩輪透視】紫金窩輪複盤：漲4.48%創近期高位，高彈性標的成獲利首選 紫金礦業（02899）1月6日全日收報38.26元，單日漲4.48%，成交額達38.28億元，表現相當活躍。紫金今日（7日）上午10點45分最新報38.56元，暫微升 0.89%，阻力位在40.4元及42.3元；支持位分別為35.4元及33.9元。MA10、MA30、MA60分別處於35.6元、33.51元、32.97元，正股價格已站穩各主要均線之 上，呈現強勢格局。指標方面，RSI為70，威廉指標顯示超買狀態並發出賣出信號，隨機震 ...

舜宇光學短線分析：震盪蓄勢，關鍵阻力前如何抉擇？ 近期，舜宇光學股價在關鍵技術位附近呈現震盪走勢。截至2026年1月5日，股價報67.5元，成交額2.82億元。股價在過去五個交易日內振幅達7.3%，顯示多 空雙方在當前價位展開激烈爭奪。結合技術指標與市場消息，該股正面臨短期方向的抉擇，而部分投資者已表達出看至70元，再挑戰90元的市場觀點。本文 將全面剖析其短線技術格局、市場多空觀點，並詳細解讀相關衍生產品策略。 技術分析：均線收斂待突破，指標信號分歧 從技術圖表觀察，舜宇光學正處於一個關鍵的收斂階段。股價目前圍繞短期均線系統波動，最新價略高於10天線（65.42元），但低於30天線（65.87元）與 60天線（71.12元）。這種均線纏繞的狀態，通常預示著市場正在等待新的催化劑來選擇突破方向。值得關注的是，多個擺動指標發出矛盾信號。RSI指標處 於47的中性區域，顯示暫無明顯的超買或超賣壓力。然而，威廉指標和隨機震盪指標均提示市場處於超買狀態，並發出賣出信號，這與CCI指標給出的買入 信號形成背離。這種技術指標的分歧，增加了短線走勢的不確定性，但也為區間操作提供了參考。一目均衡表與MACD指標均給出買入信號 ...

參考上日（29日）收市數據，電信板塊普遍走弱，其中中國移動（00941）表現備受關注。中移動全日收報81.8元，單日下跌1.21%，成交額達30.80億元。從技術面 看，股價目前低於MA10（83.95元）及MA30（85.87元），僅高於MA60（85.79元）；RSI指標為24，已進入超賣區間。多個震盪指標表現分化：威廉指標處於超賣狀 態但給出中立信號，CCI指標發出賣出信號，ADX指標呈中立，MACD信號為賣出，保力加通道也給出賣出信號，但技術指標總結信號為「買入」，信號強度11，結 合RSI超賣，市場存在考慮買入的預期。 從板塊整體表現來看，同屬電信板塊的中國聯通（00762）收報7.99元，下跌2.08%，股價跌破所有關鍵均線，RSI僅16嚴重超賣；中國電信（00728）收報 5.42元，跌1.99%，RSI為30接近超賣水平；中國鐵塔（00788）收報11.57元，跌幅達3.10%，RSI為37中性。可見今次中移動的下跌並非個股獨立行情，而是 整個電信板塊基本面疲弱下的同步調整，短期需關注政策面支持能否帶動板塊反彈。 截至今日（30日）上午10點56分，中移動最新報82.05元，暫升0.31%，阻 ...

【窩輪透視】小米40港元整固，高彈性窩輪捕捉突破機會 值得一提的是，在12月16日我們的【中銀做客】專欄中，中銀國際董事朱紅Niki曾點評小米：小米股價這段時間一直穩定在40港元附近，對比此前36.6港元 的低位，這一位置應該就是近期的底部區間。股價此前曾沖高至42港元附近，隨後跟隨大盤回調，再度回到40港元附近，目前處於整理階段。 昨日（18日）小米集團（01810）全天收報40.2港元，單日下跌2.47%，成交額51.36億港元。從技術面來看，該股的支撐位分別為38.5港元和37.9港元，阻力 位則在41.9港元及42.6港元，上升概率55%，5日振幅達9.2%。指標方面，RSI數值為42，技術指標綜合信號為"買入"，信號強度9。其中隨機震盪指標處於超 賣區間併發出買入信號，MACD指標同樣給出買入信號，但變動率指標和動量震盪指標則呈現賣出信號，多空信號出現小幅分歧。 回顧近期熱門窩輪表現，12月16日選取的小米相關產品中，法巴熊證（64688）和華泰認沽證（29233）表現亮眼，兩只產品在兩個交易日後漲幅均達到 16%，而同期正股則下跌1.71%。這一走勢充分體現出窩輪的高彈性特點，當正股出現調整時，熊 ...

1. 對於看好美團後續反彈、計畫佈局認購證的投資者，中銀認購證（19960）是優選。其杠杆倍數達10倍，行使價116港元，核心優勢在於杠杆及引伸波幅較 為理想。當前美團處於震盪築底階段，若後續突破阻力位，穩定的引伸波幅能減少額外波動風險，10倍杠杆也能在正股上漲時充分享受收益。 回顧近期美團的異動行情，其股價波動已在窩輪市場引發強烈反響。我們複盤12月12日的相關數據發現，當美團在兩日後股價下跌2.83%時，相關窩輪卻呈 現爆發式上漲：摩根大通熊證（53743）兩日漲幅達40%，瑞銀熊證（61628）同步上漲39%，瑞銀認沽證（18354）和中銀認沽證（16361）也分別錄得22% 和18%的漲幅。 昨日（16日）早盤，美團（03690）全天收報99.5港元，單日下跌1.39%，成交額達31.98億港元，盤中在96.3港元（支撐位1）至102.9港元（阻力位1）區間 窄幅震盪，下方93港元（支撐位2）形成強支撐，上方則需突破106港元（阻力位2）才能打開上行空間。 從技術面來看，美團當前上漲概率為55%，RSI指標處於49的中立區間，技術指標總信號為"買入"，強度8級，但MA10、MA30、MA60分別位於9 ...

# 【窩輪透視】盤點建行窩輪龍頭：熊證兩日暴漲14%，邏輯全拆解 12月17日，銀行股板塊可謂暗流湧動藏生機，其中建設銀行（00939）的表現尤其值得關注。建行全天收報7.43港元，單日上漲0.54%，全天成交額達16.39 億港元，成交相對活躍。 其實不止建行，12月17日整個銀行股板塊的技術面都頗具看點。工商銀行（01398）收報6.03港元，漲幅0.84%，技術面同樣給出"買入"評級，股價穩穩站在 5日均線之上，短期底部特徵十分突出；中國銀行（03988）收報4.34港元，微漲0.46%，技術指標確認"買入"信號，MACD柱狀圖收窄，可見拋壓正在緩 解；農業銀行（01288）表現最為亮眼，收報5.43港元，大漲2.07%，技術指標給出"買入"評價，成交額達10億港元，形成量價齊升的良好格局。當然，板塊 內部也存在分化，招商銀行（03968）收報49.4港元，小幅下跌0.80%，雖然技術面為"強力買入"，但股價受30日均線壓制，短期預計仍會震盪；交通銀行 （03328）走勢則相對疲軟，收報6.49港元，重挫3.13%，即便技術指標顯示"買入"，但股價已跌破所有均線支撐，結構上暫時偏弱。 整體來看，銀行股當 ...

Simon：大家好，歡迎來到今天的港股直播。我們先從市場行情入手，看看今天的大盤走勢，再分析一些相關個股的具體表現，同時也瞭解一下投資者的不 同看法。 1、恆指：投資者表示牛證過夜，收回價25278點。也有看跌投資者認為一浪底一浪需調整了，保守見25400，開熊。 Simon：首先來說恆生指數，在昨天略有上漲的情況下，今天（3日）恆生指數掉頭下跌，以收盤價計算，大概在25760點左右。今天下跌的時候，一些做短 線的投資者會選擇買入牛證，搏取過夜反彈；但與此同時，也有投資者認為，目前指數走勢呈現一浪低過一浪的態勢，可能還會繼續調整，所以選擇做空， 這都是比較正常的情況。其實現在大盤並沒有明顯的方向，從技術信號來看，買入信號有7個，賣出信號也同樣是7個，各占一半。這也是為什麼投資者會有 不同的操作，有人買熊證，有人買牛證，雙方都有自己的依據。這裏給大家參考一下支持位和阻力位，尤其是短線投資者，可能會將這些點位作為牛熊證收 回價的依據。 短線來看，支持位大概在25400點左右，如果跌破25400點，接下來可能會到24700點。當前指數在25760點，距離24700點有1000點左右的空間，而25400點距 離當前點 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent strong performance in gold prices has shifted market focus towards gold stocks, particularly Zijin Mining, which has shown a robust upward trend and technical strength [1][9]. Technical Analysis - Zijin Mining's stock price is currently at 32.66 HKD, up 1.87%, having successfully broken through the 10-day moving average of 31.83 HKD, indicating a strong market position [1]. - The stock is at a critical point in a triangular consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential breakout could occur soon [1]. - Key technical levels include support at 30.7 HKD and 29.4 HKD, with resistance at 34.4 HKD and a challenge to the previous high of 35.5 HKD if broken [1]. - The stock price is closely aligned with the 30-day moving average of 32.45 HKD, indicating a consolidation phase with defined support and resistance levels [1]. Market Signals - Technical indicators show a neutral to slightly bullish trend, with several oscillators remaining neutral, while momentum indicators signal a buy, indicating accumulating market momentum [3]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54, suggesting ample room for future movement [3]. Product Performance - Recent performance in the warrants market related to Zijin Mining has demonstrated strong leverage effects, with a notable increase in related call options [3]. - On November 5, the stock rose by 5.47% over two days, leading to significant gains in related call options, with Morgan Stanley's call option 20232 rising by 36% and Bank of China's call option 20015 increasing by 25% [3]. Investment Opportunities - For investors optimistic about Zijin Mining's future, two selected call options are available: Morgan Stanley's call option 20232, offering 5.3 times leverage with the lowest premium and implied volatility, suitable for cost-effective investors [6]. - Bank of China's call option 20015 provides 4.1 times leverage and is the highest leverage option available, with relatively low implied volatility [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is at a critical technical breakthrough moment, with the stock price consolidating around HKD 449.6, and short-term and medium-term moving averages (MA10 and MA30) positioned closely at HKD 443.98 and HKD 444.37 respectively, suggesting market energy accumulation [1][2] - The current price range is oscillating between HKD 441 and HKD 470, with both bulls and bears engaged in intense competition in this sensitive technical zone [1] - The analysis of support and resistance levels reveals that the primary support is at HKD 441, with a secondary support at HKD 437, while the key resistance level is at HKD 470, with the next target at HKD 476 [4] Group 2 - Technical indicators show a neutral RSI reading of 51, but several important indicators are beginning to emit positive signals, with a consensus "buy" rating from multiple indicators including stochastic, momentum, MACD, and Ichimoku [2] - The recent performance of structured products in the warrants market demonstrates significant leverage effects, with notable increases in prices of various warrants following a 1.87% rise in HKEX's stock [4] - In the warrants selection, HSBC's warrant 17538 offers a leverage of 9.6 times with a strike price of HKD 530.5, while Bank of China’s warrant 17568 provides a leverage of 9.3 times, both having the lowest premiums and implied volatilities among similar products [7]

Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently viewed as neutral, with no clear direction observed [5][6] - Resistance levels are identified at 26,900 and 27,800, while support levels are at 25,900 and 25,200 [1] - Various products are available in the market with leverage ranging from 18-24 times, depending on the chosen recovery price [1] Group 2: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's technical signal is neutral, with resistance levels between 658 and 688, and support around 620 [7] - Investors are considering bear certificates with a recovery price near 688, offering leverage of 21 times [7] - There are notable differences in leverage and premium among products with varying recovery prices [7] Group 3: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - Zijin Mining's stock price reached 29, with a technical signal indicating a sell opportunity [13] - Support levels are at 27.1 and 25.1, suggesting potential buy-in points for investors [13] - The market currently has a limited selection of call options, with a focus on products that may be replenished by issuers [13] Group 4: AAC Technologies (02018.HK) - AAC Technologies shows a neutral technical signal, with resistance levels at 47 and 49.6 [19] - Investors are deploying put options, anticipating a drop to 40 [19] - The market has limited suitable put options available for investors [19] Group 5: NIO Inc. (09866.HK) - NIO's stock reached a high of 60.36, with a technical signal indicating a sell [25] - Resistance levels are identified at 61.5 and 68.3 [25] Group 6: Xiaomi Corporation (01810.HK) - Xiaomi's stock has shown significant volatility, with a technical signal suggesting a buy [31] - Support levels are at 54.4 and 53.2, providing potential entry points for investors [31] - The market offers a variety of put options with leverage exceeding 6 times [31]