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银轮股份(002126):Q3业绩符合预期,关注机器人及液冷业务兑现
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-10-29 01:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 11.06 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 672 million yuan, up 11.18% year-on-year [3][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.69%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 230 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.48% [3][4]. Performance Analysis - Profitability metrics for Q3 include a gross margin of 19.39% and a net profit margin of 6.94%. The slower profit growth is attributed to tariff impacts and pricing pressure from an increasing domestic customer base [4]. - The total expenses for Q3 amounted to 273 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90.91%, with sales expenses rising by 43% due to increased market development costs [4]. Future Outlook - The company has secured over 200 projects in the first half of the year, with new projects expected to generate an additional annual revenue of 5.54 billion yuan upon reaching full production [5]. - The company is actively expanding its thermal management business and developing synergies in digital energy and embodied intelligence, particularly in the data center and humanoid robotics sectors [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 15.06 billion, 18.00 billion, and 21.09 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.58%, 19.54%, and 17.10% respectively. Net profit forecasts for the same period are 980 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.52 billion yuan, with growth rates of 25.10%, 24.24%, and 24.91% respectively [6][11].