行 轨交设备Ⅱ 2025 年 11 月 30 日 业 研 究 轨交设备Ⅱ 班列驰骋连亚欧，丝路畅通促共赢 投资要点： 累计开行破 12 万列，网络服务全域覆盖 行 业 定 期 报 告 2025 年 11 月 28 日，X8086 次中欧班列从成都国际铁路港发车， 标志着中欧班列历年累计开行突破 12 万列，发送货值超 4900 亿美元。 目前中国境内 128 个城市已开通班列，通达欧洲 26 国 232 个城市及 11 个亚洲国家超 100 个城市，通过西中东三条境内通道、六大出入境口 岸及境外北中南三线格局，构建起覆盖亚欧全境的运输网络，口岸单 日交接车能力达 184 列。 提质增效强赋能，共筑发展新动能 中欧班列通过优化运输组织、升级技术装备、完善服务体系实现 高质量发展，运输能力提升 10%，通关时间压缩至 30 分钟内，综合重 箱率稳定在 100%，货物品类拓展至 5 万多种，高附加值货物成为出口 主力。其不仅降低了运输成本，更带动沿线国家经贸往来、产业升级 和就业增长，推动中欧产业链深度对接，在保障国际供应链稳定、促 进亚欧繁荣发展中发挥重要作用，成为高质量共建"一带一路"的重 要载体。 营业里程持 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [12]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant achievements in China's railway construction during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with the total railway operating mileage expected to reach 162,000 kilometers by July 2025, including 48,000 kilometers of high-speed rail covering 97% of cities with a population of over 500,000 [2][3]. - The construction of the railway network is being enhanced through "smart+" management and the adoption of BIM technology, contributing to the development of a modernized railway network that supports the Belt and Road Initiative [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of railway construction on people's livelihoods and economic growth, with record daily passenger volumes and a continuous increase in freight volume, which reached 702 million tons during the summer transport season in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [3]. Summary by Sections Railway Network Development - The State Council has set a target for the railway operating mileage to reach 165,000 kilometers by 2025, with high-speed rail mileage reaching 50,000 kilometers. By 2035, the goal is to expand the railway network to approximately 200,000 kilometers, including 70,000 kilometers of high-speed rail [4]. - To achieve the 2035 target, approximately 35,000 kilometers of railway, including 20,000 kilometers of high-speed rail, need to be constructed from 2026 to 2035, averaging 3,500 kilometers of new railway lines annually [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on several key companies in the railway equipment sector: 1. China CNR Corporation: A leading global supplier of railway equipment, maintaining a strong industry position [4]. 2. China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation: A global leader in rail transit control technology [4]. 3. Times Electric: A leading supplier of traction and conversion systems, consistently leading the domestic market [4]. 4. Sifang Automation: A core supplier in the field of high-speed rail comprehensive monitoring [4]. 5. Shenzhou High-speed Railway: A leading enterprise in intelligent operation and maintenance equipment for rail transit [4]. 6. Huifeng Technology: Provides integrated solutions for rail transit operation and maintenance, with rich experience in technology development and project implementation [4].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway has successfully operated for two years, transporting over 10 million passengers, significantly reducing travel time from over 3 hours to 46 minutes [3][4]. - The daily train operations have increased from an initial 14 trains to a peak of 62 trains, with a maximum daily passenger capacity of 26,700 [3]. - The railway has achieved a safety record of over 5.65 million kilometers with a punctuality rate exceeding 95% [4]. - The project has positively impacted regional development, attracting 500,000 international travelers and fostering the growth of small and medium enterprises along the railway [4]. Market Opportunities - The Chinese government has set ambitious targets for railway expansion, aiming for a total railway mileage of 200,000 kilometers by 2035, with high-speed rail accounting for 70,000 kilometers [5]. - This long-term goal is expected to create significant market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [5]. - Recommended companies to watch include: 1. CRRC Corporation Limited, a leading global rail transit equipment supplier [5]. 2. China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation, a top provider of rail traffic control systems [5]. 3. Times Electric, a leading supplier of traction and conversion systems [5]. 4. Sifang Automation, a core supplier in the high-speed rail monitoring field [5]. 5. China High-Speed Railway Technology, a leader in intelligent rail operation and maintenance equipment [5]. 6. Brilliant Technology, providing integrated solutions for rail transit operation and maintenance [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - The relocation of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Intercity Railway Investment Co., Ltd. to Xiong'an New Area is a strategic move to alleviate non-capital functions of Beijing and promote resource aggregation and industrial development in Xiong'an, injecting new momentum into the "thousand-year plan" and coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [2][3]. - The company is responsible for multiple railway tasks and aims to enhance the regional high-speed rail network, with 11 railway projects planned during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, covering approximately 1,220 kilometers and requiring a total investment of about 295 billion yuan [3]. - The national railway network is projected to reach 200,000 kilometers by 2035, with high-speed rail accounting for about 70,000 kilometers, creating significant market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in March 2015 with a registered capital of 80 billion yuan, the company focuses on planning, construction, operation, financing, and comprehensive development of intercity railways in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [3]. Future Projects - The company is currently undertaking 11 railway projects with a total investment of approximately 295 billion yuan, aiming to enhance the high-speed rail network and improve operational efficiency [3]. Market Potential - The government's plans for railway expansion, including a target of 16,500 kilometers of operational railway by 2025 and 20,000 kilometers by 2035, are expected to create vast market space for the rail transit equipment sector [4]. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on several key companies in the rail transit equipment sector, including: 1. CRRC Corporation Limited, a global leader in rail transit equipment [4] 2. China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation, a leading provider of rail traffic control systems [4] 3. Times Electric, a major supplier of traction and conversion systems [4] 4. Sifang Automation, specializing in railway safety equipment [4] 5. Shenzhou High-speed Railway, a leader in intelligent operation and maintenance equipment [4] 6. Huifeng Technology, providing integrated solutions for rail transit operations [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of rail transit equipment as a new investment opportunity driven by a new wave of infrastructure projects initiated by the government, particularly the New Tibet Railway project, which is expected to significantly benefit related companies in the rail equipment sector [4][11]. Infrastructure Projects - A series of major infrastructure projects are being launched, including the New Tibet Railway with an estimated investment of 200 billion, the Hainan Qiongzhou Strait Bridge at 150 billion, and the Zhejiang-Jiangxi-Guangdong Grand Canal at 300 billion [10]. - The New Tibet Railway, which spans approximately 2000 kilometers, is set to begin construction in the Xinjiang section by November 2025 and in the Tibet section by 2026, with a total investment exceeding 300 billion [11]. Rail Transit Equipment Sector - The rail transit equipment sector is expected to benefit from technological upgrades, maintenance demands, and overseas market expansion, maintaining a continuous demand and growth potential even after project completion [11]. - Key companies in this sector include China CRRC, Times Electric, China Railway Signal & Communication, Golden Eagle Heavy Industry, and Tieke Rail [12]. Company Performance - **China CRRC**: The company leads globally in rail equipment sales, reporting a revenue of 48.67 billion in Q1 2024, a 51.2% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.81 billion, up 320.2% [14][16]. The railway equipment segment saw a revenue increase of 93.63% [19]. - **Times Electric**: This company is a leading supplier of traction conversion systems, reporting a revenue of 4.54 billion in Q1 2024, a 14.8% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 600 million, up 29.5% [33][35]. - **China Railway Signal & Communication**: The company is a top provider of rail control systems, with a revenue of 67.3 billion in Q1 2024, although it faced a decline in net profit due to reduced engineering contracting revenue [46][49]. Market Dynamics - The railway fixed asset investment in China reached 850.6 billion in 2024, marking an 11.3% increase year-on-year, indicating robust growth in the sector [29]. - The demand for maintenance services for high-speed trains is expected to surge as the fleet size increases, with a projected 200% growth in high-speed train ownership from 2011 to 2016 [30]. Challenges and Opportunities - **Golden Eagle Heavy Industry**: The company reported a 39.1% decline in net profit in 2024, primarily due to reduced sales of high-margin products, despite a slight increase in overall revenue [60][62]. - **Tieke Rail**: The company experienced a significant drop in net profit by 60.4% in Q1 2025, attributed to delays in supply for its fastening products [67][71]. This analysis indicates a promising outlook for the rail transit equipment sector, driven by government infrastructure investments, while also highlighting the challenges faced by individual companies in maintaining profitability amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The completion of the Panzhou to Xingyi high-speed railway marks a significant milestone for Guizhou Province, achieving the goal of "high-speed rail connectivity for every city." The railway spans approximately 98 kilometers with a design speed of 250 km/h, featuring a bridge and tunnel ratio of 90.66%, which is the highest among Guizhou's high-speed rail lines [3][4]. - The South Ping high-speed railway, connecting Nanning to the border city of Pingxiang, has also seen progress with the completion of three new stations. This railway is 201 kilometers long and is designed for a speed of 250 km/h, enhancing regional connectivity and economic development [4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines ambitious goals for China's railway network, aiming for a total operating mileage of 165,000 kilometers by 2025, including 50,000 kilometers of high-speed rail. By 2035, the target is to reach approximately 200,000 kilometers of railway, with 70,000 kilometers being high-speed rail. This long-term goal is expected to create significant market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [5]. Company Summaries - China CNR Corporation: A global leader in rail transit equipment supply, maintaining the top position in revenue within the industry [5]. - China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation: A leading provider of rail transit control systems, recognized for its technological expertise [5]. - Times Electric: A prominent supplier of traction and conversion systems, consistently leading the domestic market [5]. - Sifang Control: Specializes in railway transportation safety equipment, becoming a core supplier in the high-speed rail monitoring sector [5]. - Shenzhou High-speed Railway: A leading enterprise in intelligent operation and maintenance equipment for rail transit, serving a wide range of clients including national railways and urban rail systems [5]. - Huizhou Technology: Focuses on providing operation and maintenance equipment and integrated solutions for rail transit, with extensive experience in technology development and project implementation [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][12] Core Insights - The construction of the Shanghai-Chongqing-Chengdu high-speed railway has made significant progress, with fixed asset investment in railways reaching 68.54 billion yuan in January and February, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [3][4] - The operational mileage of railways is expected to continue growing, with a target of 200,000 kilometers by 2035, creating vast market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [4] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The Shanghai-Chongqing-Chengdu high-speed railway's Wuhan to Yichang section has successfully completed track laying, connecting with other high-speed rail lines [2] - Key railway projects, including the Chongqing East Station and the Xi'an to Yan'an high-speed railway, have made positive progress [3] Market Opportunities - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims for railway operational mileage to reach 165,000 kilometers by 2025, with high-speed rail reaching 50,000 kilometers, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the rail transit equipment sector [4] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the rail transit equipment sector, including CRRC Corporation, China Railway Signal & Communication Corp, and others, which are well-positioned to benefit from this growth [4]