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小熊电器(002959):母婴品类快速增长,利润水平有所修复
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 11:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.535 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.94%, with a net profit of 205 million yuan, up 27.32% year-on-year [7] - The growth was driven by emerging product categories, with the mother and baby small appliances segment growing by 40.5% year-on-year [7] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence while improving profit margins through cost reduction and efficiency enhancement [7] - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 422 million, 499 million, and 566 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20.2x, 17.1x, and 15.1x [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4,712 million yuan in 2023, 4,758 million yuan in 2024, 5,420 million yuan in 2025, 6,050 million yuan in 2026, and 6,690 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 14.4%, 1.0%, 13.9%, 11.6%, and 10.6% respectively [6][8] - The net profit for 2023 is projected at 445 million yuan, decreasing to 288 million yuan in 2024, then increasing to 422 million yuan in 2025, 499 million yuan in 2026, and 566 million yuan in 2027 [6][8] - The company's gross margin improved to 37.6% in Q2 2025, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] Market Performance - The company's stock price closed at 54.41 yuan on August 28, 2025, with a circulating share capital of 1.52 billion shares and a total share capital of 1.57 billion shares [2]