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“AI叙事并未结束”!资本圈盛会,大咖发声:决胜大科技
券商中国· 2025-12-19 09:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the insights shared at the 2025 Securities Times Analyst Annual Conference, highlighting the unexpected changes in the global economy and market dynamics, particularly the simultaneous rise in equity risk assets and safe-haven assets like gold [1][3]. Group 1: Economic and Market Insights - Wu Ge, Chief Economist of Changjiang Securities, emphasizes that the market in 2025 was influenced by three supply-side factors: changes in the US dollar credit system, technological expectations and narratives of new productive forces, and domestic capital market reforms [3]. - The dollar's long-term weakening is anticipated, but non-economic factors affecting its depreciation in 2025 may diminish in 2026, potentially leading to a return to a Federal Reserve interest rate framework [3]. - The US economy faces a dual challenge of stagnation and inflation, complicating the interest rate reduction process and impacting emerging market risk preferences [3]. Group 2: Technology and Investment Opportunities - Long-term narratives around technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) remain intact, supported by the global interest rate environment and fiscal investments, although short-term earnings expectations for US tech companies may stabilize or slow down [3]. - Domestic policy reforms and anti-involution measures have positively influenced price levels in the capital market, while China's unique advantages in intermediate and capital goods have provided resilience in the new wave of globalization [3]. Group 3: Company Development and Strategy - Jie Mei Technology aims to become a one-stop solution provider for electronic component packaging and process materials, focusing on high polymer materials, electronic chemicals, and high-precision coating technologies [4][6]. - The company has evolved through three stages: from passive component paper carriers to semiconductor plastic carriers and now to strategic extensions into electronic-grade films and AI computing materials [6]. - The trend towards miniaturization of AI devices presents new opportunities for Jie Mei Technology, which plans to develop high-end electronic materials and enhance production processes through smart technology and IoT [7].
把握宏观机遇增强科技赋能 演讲嘉宾分享干货精彩满堂
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-18 19:04
Group 1: Economic Outlook - The global economy and markets in 2025 experienced significant changes and contradictions beyond traditional analytical frameworks, with both risk assets and safe-haven assets reaching historical highs [1] - Market influences in 2025 included changes in the US dollar credit system, technological expectations, and domestic capital market reforms, shaping a unique capital market landscape [1] - The US economy faces a dilemma of "stagflation," which may complicate the interest rate reduction process and affect risk appetite in emerging markets [1] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - Long-term narratives around technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) remain intact, supported by the global interest rate environment and fiscal investments, although short-term earnings expectations for US tech companies may stabilize or slow down [2] - The domestic capital market reforms and policies aimed at reducing "involution" have positively impacted price levels, while China's unique advantages in intermediate and capital goods have provided resilience in the new wave of globalization [2] Group 3: Company Development and Strategy - Jiemai Technology aims to become a one-stop solution provider for electronic component packaging and process materials, focusing on polymer materials, electronic chemicals, and high-precision coating technologies [2][3] - The company has evolved through three stages: from passive component paper carriers to semiconductor plastic carriers and now to strategic extensions into electronic-grade films and AI computing materials [3] - Jiemai Technology plans to leverage its existing technology and customer resources to further develop high-end materials for the new energy and AI computing industries, including applications in lithium battery films and composite materials [3][4] Group 4: Future Growth and Innovation - The trend towards miniaturization of AI devices presents new opportunities for products like carriers, prompting Jiemai Technology to enter the computing power sector and enhance its product quality through smart manufacturing and IoT [4] - The company emphasizes innovation and collaborative growth across multiple sectors to support the global electronics industry's upgrade, green transformation in new energy, and infrastructure for AI computing [4]