Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin's price has plummeted below $70,000, erasing all gains from the cryptocurrency speculation surge following Trump's presidential election victory [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement - Bitcoin experienced a significant drop of up to 10%, reaching a low of $65,344, marking the lowest point since October 2024 [1][2]. - Since hitting an all-time high four months ago, Bitcoin's value has nearly halved, with the decline affecting other cryptocurrencies, related ETFs, and companies heavily invested in cryptocurrencies [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent downturn signifies the abrupt end of Bitcoin's bullish trend that characterized most of last year, driven by Trump's return to a pro-cryptocurrency stance, which had led to increased investor interest and the emergence of various financial products on Wall Street [1][2]. - Escalating geopolitical tensions this month have impacted global financial markets and suppressed risk-taking behavior, revealing cracks in the cryptocurrency market [1][2]. - The sharp decline in Bitcoin's price since mid-January has been exacerbated by funds liquidating assets to manage redemptions and close leveraged positions, triggering a self-reinforcing cycle of sell-offs [1][2].

先跟大家说声抱歉，五一期间因为身体原因没能及时更新。 但是这并不妨碍我对外围市场的关注，美股咱就不说了，跟A股的关联度不大，仅仅从港股看，恒生科技指数在我们休息的这几天里上涨了3%，这实际上 给A股今天向上奠定了比较好的基础； 还有离岸人民币4月30日收盘是接近7.27，昨天最低到了7.18，相当于五一期间人民币大涨了900点，这当然会对A股构成利好； 今天媒体报道，美国财政部长森特在公开演讲中声称美中之间谈判已经有了实质性进展，这当然对市场预期是一件好事了，我觉得早盘指数拉高之后一路向 上，没有出现回落，这个消息的激励起到了积极作用。 接下来A股怎么走？ 不能被一根阳线完全乐观化，这是多数人的想法，因为沪指60日线距离今天收盘点位仅仅相差9点，也就是说大家预期今天大阳线之后，明天大概率就得下 来。 这里我不能否认这种走势的可能性，毕竟60日线是重要的中期趋势线，出现压力回落或者反复是正常的，不过我以为对待技术压力要站在反向的角度去看， 确实今天的收盘点位到了60日线，但是你看看之前一段时间见到60日线之后的调整走势，应该明白60日线的所谓压力似乎被提前消化了，也就是节前的那段 时间的调整，既然如此的话，这次 ...