| 序号 | 指数中文名称 | 指数英文名称 | 全收益指数代码 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 中债-黄金保值信用债风险平价指数 | CBPC Gold Backed Credit Bond Risk Parity Index | CBM02801 | | | 中债-黄金保值国开行债券风险平价指数 | CBPC Gold Backed CDB Bond Risk Parity Index | CBM02901 | 上述指数基期为2015年12月31日，基点为1000。截至2025年11月28日，中债-黄金保值信用债风险平价指数近5年年化收益率为 5.14%，年化波动率为1.27%， | 序号 | 指数中文名称 | 年化收益率 | 年化波动率 | 夏普比率 | 卡玛比率 | 最大回撤 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 中债-黄金保值信用债风险平价指数 | 5.14% | 1.27% | 2.56 | 3.12 | 1.65% | | | 中债-黄金保值国开行债券风险平价指数 | 4.46% | 1.23% | 2 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the 2025 capital market summer strategy conference hosted by Shenwan Hongyuan gathered significant participation from executives of nearly 500 listed companies and over 2,200 investors, indicating strong interest in market strategies and opportunities [1] Group 2 - Huang Weiping, the chief analyst of bonds at Shenwan Hongyuan, highlighted that the bond market in 2025 will differ from the single-sided bull market of 2024, entering a phase characterized by "low interest rates + interest rate spreads + high volatility," suggesting a need to abandon the single-sided bull market mindset [3] - Huang pointed out two key areas to focus on regarding liquidity in the second half of the year: the timing of the central bank's bond purchases and the alignment of purchase rhythm with supply rhythm, noting that the net supply of government bonds typically peaks in the second half of the year [3] - The potential recovery of government bond purchases is anticipated to coincide with the second wave of net supply peaks within the year, which may lead to substantial buying strength [3] - Huang identified June to August as a favorable window for long positions, as the demand for real economy financing declines and the central bank may resume government bond purchases [3] - The market outlook for the year suggests a shift away from a single-sided bull market perspective, with a focus on high volatility and oscillating market conditions [3] - Opportunities in the current bond market include monitoring the compression of yield spreads between different bond types, such as local government bonds versus national government bonds [3] - In the futures market, strategies include capturing wave opportunities in local government bonds and TL "positive spreads," with a focus on short-duration credit bonds and long-duration local government bonds after July [3]