根据世界银行的公开数据，制造业在美国GDP中的占比已萎缩至10%，创下历史新低，不仅远低于日本的21%、德国的18%和韩国的24%，甚至不及全球平 均的15%。曾经以底特律汽车流水线和五大湖钢铁厂为象征的工业霸权国家，如今连螺丝钉和变压器都要高度依赖进口。 经济结构的质变带来了社会财富分配的严重失衡，最底层的50%的家庭仅拥有全国财富的2.5%，而国家债务却突破了36万亿美元。 为维持全球地位，美国不得不依赖两大支柱，一个是遍布全球的700多个军事基地，另一个就是美联储所掌控的美元潮汐。然而当财政赤字持续冲击美元信 用时，这种模式愈发显得难以为继。 制造业衰落表象下的核心问题，是技术能力与人才的断层。美国造船厂为了一颗军用螺丝钉，需要向韩国企业采购；耗资130亿美元打造的福特号航母，电 磁弹射系统故障频发，严重的时候弹射约80架次就会瘫痪；核潜艇博伊西号因维修资源匮乏，在船坞闲置了近十年；F-35战斗机的升级计划，也因软件缺陷 问题而多次延期。 这些案例暴露的是工业体系协调能力的全面退化。全美制造业面临210万技术工人短缺的窘境，年轻人宁愿挤在格子间敲代码，也不愿走进车间。这种价值 观的偏移与教育体系的变革密 ...

Core Viewpoint - Modern warfare is no longer solely about conquest or military occupation, but rather about shaping favorable post-war scenarios, which involves a series of follow-up issues [3]. Group 1: U.S. Military Strategy in the Middle East - As of June 2025, over 40,000 U.S. troops are stationed in the Middle East, primarily from the Navy, with a limited number deployed at fixed military bases [6]. - Trump's strategy includes several considerations: creating a smokescreen to catch Iran off guard, observing the situation, preparing for the protection and evacuation of military bases, and mobilizing naval forces for potential conflict [7][8]. - The U.S. has approximately 20 military bases in countries such as Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the UAE, Djibouti, and Turkey [12]. Group 2: Iran's Regional Influence - Iran has invested significant resources to establish a "Shia Crescent" extending from its territory through Iraq and Syria to Lebanon, which has been a source of regional power [13]. - Following recent conflicts, Iran's influence in the region has diminished, leading to a potential restructuring of geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East [14]. Group 3: Potential Outcomes of Conflict - The ideal scenario from a U.S.-Israeli perspective would be the formation of a new axis of "U.S.-Israel-Arab" states, enhancing security and reducing Iranian influence [17][18]. - A prolonged conflict could lead to chaos in the Middle East, with Iran and its proxies engaging in a drawn-out war against U.S. and Israeli forces [19]. - The weakening of Iran may trigger a new power struggle among Israel, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia, as they vie for regional dominance [21][22].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around escalating military tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, with the U.S. considering military action against Iran while emphasizing the goal of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons [2][3]. - President Trump has approved an attack plan against Iran but has not yet issued a final command, indicating a strategy of using threats to compel Iran to abandon its nuclear program [2]. - The U.S. is deploying significant military assets to the region, including the Ford aircraft carrier strike group and bombers stationed in Spain, as part of a response to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran [4][5]. Group 2 - The Ford aircraft carrier is expected to be deployed near Israel in the Eastern Mediterranean, with the deployment planned since 2024 but accelerated due to current tensions [4]. - U.S. bombers have been confirmed to be stationed at two military bases in southern Spain, enhancing military readiness in response to the Israel-Iran conflict [5]. - Trump has stated that the U.S. is not seeking a ceasefire but aims for a complete victory, which he defines as ensuring that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons [3].

Economic Overview - China's economic share of US GDP has decreased from nearly 80% to over 60%, indicating challenges in surpassing the US in total economic size [1] - The US has maintained an average economic growth rate of over 2% in recent years, with GDP increasing from $20 trillion in 2018 to $27.72 trillion in 2023 [3] - Factors such as the US-China trade war and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes have negatively impacted China's economy, leading to a depreciation of the RMB and widening the nominal GDP gap with the US [5] Military Comparison - The Chinese military has completed reforms and now possesses several advanced heavy and medium combined brigades, while the US Army has fewer combined units due to a focus on counterinsurgency warfare [7] - In naval capabilities, while the US Navy has an advantage in nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, China's naval advancements, such as the Fujian aircraft carrier with electromagnetic catapults, show significant progress [9][10] - China's naval fleet is expanding rapidly, with the potential to surpass the US in numbers, as the US's Nimitz-class carriers approach retirement [12] - In the air force sector, China's J-20 is in large-scale production, while the US's F-22 production has ceased, indicating a potential shift in air superiority [12]