Investment Rating - The investment rating for China State Construction International (3311.HK) is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 56.64 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.26 billion, up 5.1% year-on-year [2][6]. - The slow recognition of investment income has negatively impacted performance, while technology-driven revenue growth is notable [9]. - The company aims to maintain a double-digit performance guidance for 2025, with a projected dividend yield of approximately 5.7% based on a 33% payout ratio [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, revenue was RMB 56.64 billion, with a 0.1% increase year-on-year; net profit was RMB 5.26 billion, reflecting a 5.1% growth [2][6]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was RMB 33.75 billion, down 2.1% year-on-year, with technology-driven revenue at RMB 15.66 billion, up 99.7%, while investment-driven revenue fell 39.6% to RMB 9.43 billion [9]. Business Segments - Technology-driven revenue reached RMB 20.54 billion in H1 2025, a significant increase of 73.4%, while investment-driven revenue was RMB 20.79 billion, down 21.5% [9]. - New contracts signed in H1 2025 totaled RMB 92.6 billion, a decline of 26.0%, but adjusted for a large order from 2024, the growth was 22.8% [9]. Regional Performance - The gross margin for the mainland region improved to 22.8%, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while Hong Kong's gross margin decreased to 5.2%, down 1.9 percentage points [9]. - The company reported a cash net outflow of RMB 336 million from mainland operations, an improvement from a RMB 1.33 billion outflow the previous year, while cash inflow from Hong Kong operations was RMB 459 million, up RMB 254 million year-on-year [9]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its MiC (Modular Integrated Construction) business in mainland cities, achieving full coverage in first-tier cities [9]. - The Hong Kong government has increased its projected annual infrastructure spending from approximately HKD 90 billion to HKD 120 billion, providing further funding assurance for large-scale projects [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a stable performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 56.6 billion RMB, a slight increase of 0.13% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.259 billion RMB, up 5.05% year-on-year, despite a significant decline in new contract signing due to a high base effect from a major project in Q1 2024 [1] Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue breakdown: Technology-driven business revenue increased by 73% to 20.5 billion RMB, while investment-driven, construction, and operation segments saw declines of 21%, 17%, and growth of 17% respectively [1] - New contracts signed in H1 2025 totaled 92.6 billion RMB, down 19.2% year-on-year, but adjusted for the previous year's high base, it reflects a growth of 22.8% [1] Regional Performance - Mainland China revenue was 29.34 billion RMB, down 8.8%, but operating profit increased by 4.3% to 6.05 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 22.8% [2] - Hong Kong revenue rose by 39.6% to 23.24 billion RMB, with a slight increase in operating profit, while Macau experienced a significant decline in both revenue and profit [2] Financial Health - The company maintained a healthy financial position with an average financing cost of 3.15%, down 0.39 percentage points year-on-year, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 71.6% [2] - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was positive at 1.23 billion RMB, marking the fourth consecutive year of positive cash flow [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 10.3 billion, 11.2 billion, and 12.1 billion HKD respectively [3] - The target price has been raised to 17.57 HKD, reflecting a favorable outlook based on strong cash flow and growth in new contracts [3]