Core Viewpoint - The company plans to acquire 85% equity of the Qinbin Expressway for 1.154 billion yuan, which has a total length of 60.7 kilometers and a remaining toll collection period of slightly over 20 years, with the asset already generating profits [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition price of 1.154 billion yuan corresponds to a total valuation of 1.357 billion yuan for 100% equity of the project company [3]. - The Qinbin Expressway connects multiple ports in the Bohai Bay area, enhancing its geographical advantage as a key coastal expressway [1]. - The expressway has demonstrated strong revenue-generating capabilities, with revenues of 563 million yuan, 752 million yuan, and 546 million yuan for the first eight months of 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively [1][2]. Group 2: Revenue and Profitability - The average daily revenue per kilometer for the Qinbin Expressway is 25,000 yuan, which is considered top-tier among dual four-lane expressways [2]. - The projected internal rate of return for the acquisition is estimated at 10.43%, which is favorable compared to the previous acquisition of Pinglin Expressway at 9.2% [2][3]. - The remaining toll collection period for the expressway is significant, with the section from the Luji boundary to Zhanhua set to expire in January 2047, ensuring a long-term revenue stream [3]. Group 3: Financial Impact - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's performance and operational capacity, with an estimated net profit contribution of around 1 billion yuan in 2026 [4]. - The weighted average remaining toll collection period for the company's controlled expressways will increase by approximately 0.8 years post-acquisition [4]. - Without considering the acquisition, the company's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 755 million yuan, 769 million yuan, and 822 million yuan, respectively [4].

Core Viewpoint - Dongxing Securities reports that Yuexiu Transportation Infrastructure (01052) plans to acquire 85% equity of the Qinbin Expressway from the Luji boundary to Zhanhua section for 1.154 billion yuan, with the asset covering a total of 60.7 kilometers and a remaining toll collection period of slightly over 20 years. The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's performance and the prospects of the Guangzhou North Second Ring Expressway expansion, maintaining a "strongly recommended" rating for the company [1]. Group 1 - The Qinbin Expressway connects multiple ports in the Bohai Bay, showcasing significant geographical advantages. It serves as the fastest coastal expressway in the Bohai Rim, starting from Qinhuangdao Port and extending southward through Tianjin Port and Huanghua Port to Zhanhua District in Shandong [2]. - As a four-lane expressway, the Qinbin Expressway demonstrates excellent revenue-generating capabilities. The revenue for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 from January to August is reported as 563 million, 752 million, and 546 million yuan respectively, indicating a daily average revenue per kilometer of 25,000, 34,000, and 37,000 yuan [3]. - The revenue per kilometer of 25,000 yuan is considered top-tier among four-lane expressways, despite the contribution from the Zhangwei New River Bridge toll fees potentially inflating this figure. The Qinbin Expressway's revenue generation capacity is already higher than that of all other controlled road assets outside the Guangzhou North Second Ring [3]. Group 2 - The acquisition price is deemed reasonable, with an internal rate of return (IRR) calculated at 10.43%. The total enterprise value (EV) of the project, including equity consideration and total liabilities, amounts to 6.225 billion yuan, translating to a unit cost of just over 1 billion yuan per kilometer [4]. - The remaining toll collection period is substantial, with the section from Chengkou to Zhanhua expiring on November 15, 2045, and the Luji boundary to Chengkou section (including the Zhangwei New River Bridge) expiring on January 20, 2047. This long remaining toll period contributes to the calculated IRR exceeding 10% [4]. Group 3 - The project is expected to enhance the company's performance and operational capacity. If the acquisition is completed, the weighted average remaining toll collection period of the company's controlled expressways will extend by approximately 0.8 years. The projected net profits for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 are estimated at 124 million, 162 million, and 195 million yuan respectively, with an anticipated annual profit increase of around 100 million yuan for 2026 [5]. - Without considering the acquisition of the Qinbin Expressway, the company forecasts net profits of 755 million, 769 million, and 822 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios (PE) of 8.7X, 8.6X, and 8.0X. The acquisition is expected to further bolster the company's earnings in 2026 and beyond [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yuexiu Transportation Infrastructure [6] Core Views - The acquisition of Qinbin Expressway is expected to significantly benefit the company's performance and operational sustainability [2][5] - The project is projected to enhance the company's revenue and extend the average remaining toll collection period of its controlled highways by approximately 0.8 years [5] Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - The company plans to acquire 85% of the Qinbin Expressway for CNY 1.154 billion, covering a total length of 60.7 kilometers with a remaining toll collection period of slightly over 20 years [2] - The expressway has already achieved profitability, with revenues for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 (up to August) reported at CNY 563 million, CNY 752 million, and CNY 546 million respectively [3] Revenue Potential - The average daily revenue per kilometer for Qinbin Expressway is notably high, at CNY 25,000, CNY 34,000, and CNY 37,000 for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively [3] - The report anticipates a revenue drop in 2026 to CNY 599 million, which is still above the 2023 level, due to increased traffic on the expressway from the parallel expansion of the Rongwu Expressway [4] Financial Metrics - The internal rate of return (IRR) for the acquisition is estimated at 10.43%, which is favorable compared to the previous acquisition of Pinglin Expressway with an IRR of 9.2% [4] - The total enterprise value (EV) of the project is calculated at CNY 6.225 billion, translating to a unit cost of just over CNY 100 million per kilometer [4] Profit Forecast - The projected net profits for the company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 755 million, CNY 769 million, and CNY 822 million respectively, with a significant increase expected from the acquisition [11] - The report suggests that the acquisition will add approximately CNY 1 billion to the company's earnings in 2026 [11]