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首钢资源(0639.HK)2025年中报点评:规模效应下单位成本显著优化 开辟贸易新赛道重塑销量格局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-17 12:18
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with expectations of improved pricing pressure in H2 2025 and a high dividend payout supported by strong cash flow [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of HKD 2.101 billion, a decrease of 17% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 404 million, down 52% year-on-year [1]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 769 million, HKD 985 million, and HKD 1.261 billion, respectively, due to the impact of downstream demand on coking coal prices [1]. - The average selling price of coking coal in H1 2025 fell by 45% year-on-year to RMB 1,067 per ton, reflecting market trends [2]. Group 2: Production and Cost Efficiency - The company produced approximately 2.64 million tons of raw coking coal in H1 2025, an increase of 17.3%, and 1.54 million tons of refined coking coal, up 19.4% [2]. - The production cost of raw coking coal was HKD 328 per ton, up 27.6% year-on-year, while cash production costs decreased by 30.7% to HKD 185 per ton [2]. Group 3: Dividend Policy - The company plans to maintain a high dividend strategy, with a 100% payout ratio for the full year of 2024 and a mid-year payout of HKD 0.06 per share in H1 2025, representing a 75% payout ratio [3]. - As of H1 2025, the company had cash reserves of HKD 6.88 billion, ensuring continued high dividend payments [3].
国泰海通:维持首钢资源“增持”评级 目标价3.32港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 02:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan maintains an "overweight" rating for Shougang Resources (00639), forecasting a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 due to downstream demand affecting coking coal prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of HKD 2.101 billion, a decrease of 17% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 404 million, down 52% year-on-year [1] - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down to HKD 769 million, HKD 985 million, and HKD 1.261 billion respectively [1] Group 2: Production and Sales - The company reported a raw coking coal production of approximately 2.64 million tons in H1 2025, an increase of 17.3%, and a premium coking coal production of approximately 1.54 million tons, up 19.4% [2] - Total sales of premium coking coal reached 2.12 million tons, a significant increase of 58%, with self-produced premium coking coal sales at 1.55 million tons, up 15.7%, and trade premium coking coal sales at 570,000 tons [2] - The average selling price of premium coking coal fell by 45% year-on-year to RMB 1,067 per ton due to increased supply and limited demand [2] Group 3: Cost Optimization - The production cost of raw coking coal in H1 2025 was RMB 328 per ton, an increase of 27.6%, while cash production costs decreased by 30.7% to RMB 185 per ton [3] - Depreciation and amortization costs were RMB 87 per ton, down 9.4%, and resource tax and other related taxes were RMB 56 per ton, down 37.8% [3] - The processing cost of premium coking coal was RMB 44 per ton, a decrease of 12% [3] Group 4: Dividend Policy - The company maintained a high dividend strategy with a 100% payout ratio for the full year of 2024 and a 75% payout ratio for H1 2025, distributing HKD 0.06 per share [4] - As of H1 2025, the company had cash reserves of HKD 6.88 billion, ensuring the sustainability of its high dividend rate [4]
首钢资源(00639):规模效应下单位成本显著优化,开辟贸易新赛道重塑销量格局
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6][10]. Core Views - The company has significantly optimized unit costs due to economies of scale and is opening new trade avenues to reshape sales patterns. It is expected that price pressures will ease year-on-year in the second half of 2025. The interim dividend for the first half of 2025 is set at 75%, ensuring a high dividend rate supported by strong cash flow [2][10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at HKD 5,891 million, with a projected decline to HKD 3,670 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 27.4%. The net profit is expected to drop to HKD 769 million in 2025, a 49% decrease compared to 2024 [4][11]. - The company achieved a total revenue of HKD 2,101 million in the first half of 2025, down 17% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 404 million, a decrease of 52% year-on-year. The production of raw coking coal reached approximately 2.64 million tons, up 17.3%, while the production of refined coking coal increased by 19.4% to 1.54 million tons [10][11]. - The average selling price of refined coking coal fell by 45% year-on-year to RMB 1,067 per ton in the first half of 2025, aligning with market trends [10]. Cost Structure - The production cost of raw coking coal in the first half of 2025 was HKD 328 per ton, an increase of 27.6% year-on-year. The cash production cost decreased by 30.7% to HKD 185 per ton, while depreciation and amortization costs were HKD 87 per ton, down 9.4% [10][11]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend strategy, with a dividend payout ratio of 100% for 2024 and an interim dividend of HKD 0.06 per share for the first half of 2025, reflecting a 75% payout ratio. The cash on hand as of the first half of 2025 is HKD 6.88 billion [10][11].
中金:维持首钢资源跑赢行业评级 目标价3港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 03:34
Core Viewpoint - CICC has lowered coal price and cost assumptions, resulting in a 4% reduction in Shougang Resources' (00639) 2025/26E profit to HKD 8.92 billion and HKD 9.78 billion respectively [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's 1H25 net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 38% year-on-year to HKD 4.04 billion, which was better than CICC's expectations due to a smaller decline in profit driven by coal prices, as the cost reduction exceeded expectations [2] - 1H25 production of raw coking coal and premium coking coal increased by 17% and 19% year-on-year to 2.64 million tons and 1.54 million tons respectively, with 100% of raw coal being washed [2] - The average selling price of premium coking coal in 1H25 fell by 45% year-on-year to HKD 1,067 per ton, while the price of Shanxi main coking coal decreased by 36% to HKD 1,401 per ton [2] Group 2: Cost and Cash Flow - The unit production cost of raw coking coal improved significantly in 1H25, decreasing by 28% year-on-year to HKD 328 per ton, with cash costs down by 32% to HKD 241 per ton [3] - The net operating cash inflow in 1H25 was HKD 4.53 billion, a decrease of HKD 7.27 billion year-on-year, with available free funds amounting to HKD 94.75 billion as of the end of June [3] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.06, corresponding to a payout ratio of 76%, resulting in an interim dividend yield of approximately 2.2% based on the current share price [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - CICC maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the coking coal market for 2H25, noting a rebound in coking coal prices since July due to supply contraction in some regions, with prices rising from HKD 968 per ton in June to HKD 1,278 per ton by August 28 [4] - The average price of coking coal in 3Q25 was HKD 1,209 per ton, reflecting a 10% increase compared to 2Q25 [4] - Future price increases may depend on further supply reductions, as demand for coking coal is expected to contract due to weak steel demand and declining profits [4]
中金:维持首钢资源(00639)跑赢行业评级 目标价3港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 03:32
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a downward adjustment in coal price and cost assumptions, leading to a 4% reduction in Shougang Resources' (00639) estimated profits for 2025/26 to HKD 8.92 billion and HKD 9.78 billion respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 15.8x/14.4x for 2025/26E, with an enhanced relative attractiveness of dividends due to changes in risk appetite. The target price remains unchanged at HKD 3.00, implying an 8% upside potential based on a P/E ratio of 17.1x/15.6x for 2025/26E [1]. Group 1 - The company's 1H25 performance exceeded expectations, with a net profit attributable to shareholders declining by 38% year-on-year to HKD 4.04 billion, which was better than anticipated due to a smaller decline in profits driven by coal prices, as cost reductions were greater than expected [2]. - Production recovery was noted, with 1H25 raw coking coal and premium coking coal output increasing by 17% and 19% year-on-year to 2.64 million tons and 1.54 million tons respectively. The premium coking coal sales rose by 16% year-on-year to 1.55 million tons, primarily due to the resumption of operations at the Xingwu coal mine [2][3]. - The average selling price of premium coking coal in 1H25 fell by 45% year-on-year to HKD 1,067 per ton, while the price of Shanxi main coking coal decreased by 36% to HKD 1,401 per ton. The decline in selling prices was attributed to changes in coal quality and the commencement of full-scale mining at the Xingwu coal mine [2]. Group 2 - Significant improvement in unit production costs was observed, with the unit production cost of raw coking coal decreasing by 28% year-on-year to HKD 328 per ton. Cash costs fell by 32% year-on-year to HKD 241 per ton, and cash costs excluding uncontrollable costs decreased by 31% year-on-year to HKD 185 per ton [3]. - The net operating cash inflow for 1H25 was HKD 4.53 billion, a year-on-year decrease of HKD 7.27 billion. As of the end of June, the company had available free funds of HKD 94.75 billion, which, after excluding the year-end dividend for 2024, amounted to HKD 84.06 billion [3]. - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.06, corresponding to a payout ratio of 76%, resulting in an interim dividend yield of approximately 2.2% based on the current stock price [3]. Group 3 - In 3Q25, coking coal prices have rebounded, with the price of Liulin No. 9 coking coal rising from a low of HKD 968 per ton in June to HKD 1,278 per ton by August 28. The average price since 3Q25 has been HKD 1,209 per ton, reflecting a 10% increase compared to 2Q25 [4]. - The outlook for coking coal prices remains cautiously optimistic, dependent on whether domestic supply can contract further, amidst weak steel demand and declining profits, which may still lead to expectations of reduced coking coal demand [4].
首钢资源(0639.HK):优质资产+高效运营 红利价值凸显
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-30 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to a sharp drop in the selling price of premium coking coal, despite an increase in coal production [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.1 billion HKD in 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, mainly impacted by a 45% drop in the selling price of premium coking coal [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 404 million HKD, down 51.7% year-on-year, aligning with the performance warning issued on August 8 [1]. - The company declared a dividend of 0.06 HKD per share, down from 0.09 HKD in 1H24, with the payout ratio increasing to 76% from 53% year-on-year [1]. Production and Cost Management - The company reported a recovery in raw coking coal production, reaching 2.64 million tons (+17.3% year-on-year) and premium coking coal production at 1.54 million tons (+19.4% year-on-year) [2]. - The increase in production was attributed to a return to average production levels from 2021-2023, following a temporary suspension last year [2]. - The company improved its washing technology, achieving a premium coal washing yield of approximately 58.3%, up 1 percentage point from 1H24 [2]. - The production cost of raw coal was 328 RMB per ton, a decrease of 27.6% year-on-year, driven by lower resource taxes, reduced depreciation, and cost-cutting measures [3]. Outlook and Valuation - For the second half of 2025, while resource taxes are expected to rise with coking coal prices, the company anticipates maintaining cost control, projecting an 8.2% year-on-year decrease in production costs [3]. - The company maintains its net profit estimates for 2025-2027 at 1.05 billion, 1.19 billion, and 1.19 billion HKD, respectively, and continues to use a Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for valuation [3]. - The target price remains at 3.4 HKD, with a "buy" rating upheld due to stable dividend expectations and high payout ratios [3].
首钢资源(00639):优质资产+高效运营,红利价值凸显
HTSC· 2025-08-29 07:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 3.40 [2][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 2.1 billion for 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, primarily due to a 45% drop in the selling price of coking coal, although a 17.3% increase in raw coal production partially offset this decline [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 1H25 was HKD 404 million, down 51.7% year-on-year, aligning with the performance warning issued earlier [5][6]. - The company declared a dividend of HKD 0.06 per share for 1H25, down from HKD 0.09 in 1H24, with a payout ratio of 76% for 1H25 compared to 53% in 1H24 [5][6]. - The company expects production levels to stabilize in 2H25, with a focus on improving washing technology to counteract quality declines [6][7]. - The company has successfully reduced production costs by 27.6% year-on-year to HKD 328 per ton in 1H25, contributing to maintaining a low-cost advantage [7][8]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: HKD 5,057 million for 2024, HKD 4,358 million for 2025E, and HKD 4,607 million for 2026E [5][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be HKD 1,494 million for 2024, HKD 1,047 million for 2025E, and HKD 1,191 million for 2026E [5][8]. - The company maintains a stable dividend expectation with a projected payout ratio of 80% from 2025 to 2035 [8]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s current market capitalization is HKD 14,102 million, with a closing price of HKD 2.77 as of August 28 [2][5]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 9.20 for 2024 and 13.13 for 2025E, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio is expected to be 0.83 for 2024 and 0.80 for 2025E [5][8]. - The expected dividend yield is 11.01% for 2024, decreasing to 6.09% for 2025E [5][8].
首钢资源(00639.HK)上半年纯利跌52%至4.04亿港元 中期股息6港仙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-28 13:30
Core Viewpoint - Shougang Resources (00639.HK) reported a significant decline in its mid-year performance for 2025, with revenues dropping by 17% year-on-year, primarily due to a substantial decrease in the average selling price of premium coking coal [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 2.101 billion, a decrease of 17% compared to the previous year [1] - Gross profit fell to HKD 642 million, down 55% year-on-year [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 404 million, a decline of 52%, with basic earnings per share at HKD 0.0794 [1] - The company proposed an interim dividend of HKD 0.06 per ordinary share [1] Operational Highlights - The decrease in revenue was mainly attributed to a 45% year-on-year drop in the average selling price of premium coking coal, which offset a 16% increase in sales volume and the positive impact of newly established coal trading operations [1] - The group produced approximately 2.64 million tons of raw coking coal, an increase of 17% year-on-year, with premium coking coal production rising by 19% to about 1.54 million tons [1] - Premium coking coal sales volume increased by 16% year-on-year, although the sales growth was less than production due to inventory changes as of June 30, 2025 [1] - Premium coking coal sales accounted for 100% of the group's revenue, aligning with the company's long-term strategy focused on premium coking coal sales [1] - The company also ventured into coal trading, achieving a trading volume of approximately 570,000 tons, which contributed to diversifying the group's revenue sources [1]
首钢资源公布中期业绩 公司拥有人应占溢利4.04亿港元 同比减少52%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 12:45
Core Insights - Shougang Resources (00639) reported a mid-year performance for 2025 with revenue of approximately HKD 2.101 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 17% [1] - Gross profit fell to HKD 642 million, representing a significant decline of 55% compared to the previous year [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 404 million, down 52% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share at HKD 0.0794 and an interim dividend of HKD 0.06 per ordinary share [1] Revenue Analysis - The decrease in revenue was primarily attributed to a substantial drop of 45% in the average selling price of premium coking coal, which offset a 16% increase in sales volume and the positive impact of expanding coal trading operations [1] Profitability Factors - The significant reduction in profit was mainly due to the 55% decline in gross profit, amounting to approximately HKD 791 million [1] - Additionally, the decrease in the proportion of fire transportation sales, along with effective cost measures, led to a reduction in sales and distribution expenses by approximately HKD 34 million year-on-year [1] - Foreign exchange gains increased by approximately HKD 31 million year-on-year, while the provision for withholding tax on dividends decreased by about HKD 26 million due to a decline in profits from a major subsidiary established in China [1]
首钢资源(00639)公布中期业绩 公司拥有人应占溢利4.04亿港元 同比减少52%
智通财经网· 2025-08-28 12:42
Core Viewpoint - Shougang Resources (00639) reported a significant decline in its mid-year performance for 2025, with revenues dropping by 17% year-on-year, primarily due to a sharp decrease in the average selling price of premium coking coal [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the period was approximately HKD 2.101 billion, a decrease of 17% compared to the previous year [1] - Gross profit fell to HKD 642 million, representing a 55% year-on-year decline [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 404 million, down 52% year-on-year [1] - Basic earnings per share were HKD 0.0794, with an interim dividend of HKD 0.06 per ordinary share [1] Operational Insights - The decrease in revenue was mainly attributed to a 45% year-on-year drop in the average selling price of premium coking coal, which offset a 16% increase in sales volume and the positive impact of expanding coal trading operations [1] - The significant reduction in gross profit was approximately HKD 791 million year-on-year [1] - Sales and distribution expenses decreased by about HKD 34 million due to a lower proportion of fire transportation sales and effective cost measures [1] - Foreign exchange gains increased by approximately HKD 31 million year-on-year, while the provision for withholding tax on dividends decreased by about HKD 26 million due to a decline in profits from a major subsidiary established in China [1]