Group 1 - The majority of Hong Kong automotive stocks experienced an increase, with Feishang Non-Ferrous Coal (01738.HK) rising over 33% [1] - Shougang Resources (00639.HK) saw an increase of over 8% [1] - China Qinfa (00866.HK) rose more than 5% [1] - China Coal Energy (01898.HK) and Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171.HK) both increased by nearly 4% [1]

Group 1 - The coal stocks have generally risen, with notable increases in companies such as Shougang Resources (up 7.64% to HKD 3.24), China Qinfa (up 5.23% to HKD 3.02), Yanzhou Coal (up 4.57% to HKD 10.53), and China Coal Energy (up 3.65% to HKD 10.78) [1] - On January 7, the Dalian Commodity Exchange's main contract for coking coal hit the limit up at CNY 1164 per ton, reflecting a 7.98% increase, while the main contract for coke rose by 6.7% to CNY 1752 per ton [1] - Guohai Securities forecasts an improvement in the supply-demand relationship in the coal industry by 2026, with expected increases in coal price averages, projecting the northern port thermal coal price to stabilize around CNY 750 and the main coking coal price around CNY 1550, indicating potential recovery in industry profitability [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities reported that Shougang Resources primarily engages in coking coal mining and the production and sale of raw and refined coking coal, with three active coal mines in Shanxi Province, each with a capacity of 1.75 million tons per year, totaling 5.25 million tons [1] - The company exhibits a conservative and stable operational approach, as indicated by its expense ratio and debt-to-asset ratio, while demonstrating strong profitability reflected in its gross and net profit margins [1]

天风证券1月6日研报指出，首钢资源主要从事焦煤开采以及原焦煤及精焦煤生产和销售，公司在山西柳 林县拥有兴无、金家庄、寨崖底三座在产焦煤矿，三个煤矿产能均为175万吨/年，公司总产能为525万 吨/年。从公司的费用率和资产负债率来看，公司的经营相对保守、稳健。但从毛利率和净利率角度 看，公司盈利能力较强。 智通财经APP获悉，煤炭股多数走高，截至发稿，首钢资源(00639)涨7.64%，报3.24港元；中国秦发 (00866)涨5.23%，报3.02港元；兖矿能源(01171)涨4.57%，报10.53港元；中煤能源(01898)涨3.65%，报 10.78港元。 消息面上，1月7日，大商所焦煤主力合约触及涨停，报1164元/吨，涨幅为7.98%；焦炭主力合约涨 6.7%，报1752元/吨。国海证券指出，展望2026年，"炭火暖意，天平微倾"，行业供需关系预计将有改 善，叠加政策托底，预计煤价中枢或有提升，预计北港动力煤价中枢在750元左右、北港主焦煤均价在 1550元左右，行业盈利能力有望得到一定修复。与此同时，低利率时代背景下，煤炭板块的高股息价值 是机构重要配置点。 ...

从公司的费用率和资产负债率来看，公司的经营相对保守、稳健。导致公司低ROE 的两个因素主要是 资产周转率和权益乘数较低，其中低资产周转率主要是因为公司在过去几年煤价高位运行的过程中囤积 了大量现金，权益乘数较低主要是因为公司的资产负债率在同行业公司内的排名较低，大部分公司均为 50%以上，而首钢资源的资产负债率仅为20%左右。而实际上，从毛利率和净利率角度看，公司盈利能 力较强。 煤炭资源禀赋较好，吨煤毛利较高 公司吨煤售价是同行业公司内偏高的，或呈现其高煤质特征。虽然短期受到煤质波动带来的负面影响， 但公司仍通过实施严格煤质监督管理、强化矿井及洗煤厂现场煤质管控，促使商品煤质量稳步提升。从 近几年的数据上看，公司在成本控制上也做出了一定努力，折旧及摊销、精焦煤加工费两项均呈现下滑 趋势。在高煤质拉动的高煤价以及成本控制两重背景下，公司实现了行业内较高的吨煤毛利。 盈利预测与估值 我们预测2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为10.67/13.28/14.74 亿港元，EPS分别为0.21/0.26/0.29 元。我们选 取山西焦煤、淮北矿业、平煤股份、潞安环能作为估值可比公司，2025E 平均PE 为23. ...

Group 1 - The majority of Hong Kong automotive stocks experienced an increase, with Feishang Non-Ferrous Coal (01738.HK) rising over 33% [1] - Shougang Resources (00639.HK) saw an increase of over 8% [1] - China Qinfa (00866.HK) rose by more than 5% [1] - Both China Coal Energy (01898.HK) and Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171.HK) increased by nearly 4% [1]

本文源自：金融界AI电报 港股市场煤炭股走强，其中，飞尚无烟煤涨33%，首钢资源、MONGOL MINING涨超5%，力量发展、 易大宗、兖矿能源涨超3%，中煤能源、中国秦发、南戈壁涨超2%。 ...

该行指出，公司吨煤售价是同行业公司内偏高的，或呈现其高煤质特征。虽然短期受到煤质波动带来的 负面影响，但公司仍通过实施严格煤质监督管理、强化矿井及洗煤厂现场煤质管控，促使商品煤质量稳 步提升。从近几年的数据上看，公司在成本控制上也做出了一定努力，折旧及摊销、精焦煤加工费两项 均呈现下滑趋势。在高煤质拉动的高煤价以及成本控制两重背景下，公司实现了行业内较高的吨煤毛 利。 天风证券（601162）发布研报称，首钢资源业务以三个煤矿为核心。公司总产能为525万吨/年，当前煤 种均为半硬焦煤。从公司的费用率和资产负债率来看，公司的经营相对保守、稳健。但从毛利率和净利 率角度看，公司盈利能力较强。 首钢资源(00639)再涨超6%，截至发稿，涨5.98%，报3.19港元，成交额2604.12万港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，首钢资源(00639)再涨超6%，截至发稿，涨5.98%，报3.19港元，成交额2604.12万港 元。 天风证券发布研报称，首钢资源业务以三个煤矿为核心。公司总产能为525 万吨/年，当前煤种均为半 硬焦煤。从公司的费用率和资产负债率来看，公司的经营相对保守、稳健。但从毛利率和净利率角度 看，公司盈利能力较强。 该行指出，公司吨煤售价是同行业公司内偏高的，或呈现其高煤质特征。虽然短期受到煤质波动带来的 负面影响，但公司仍通过实施严格煤质监督管理、强化矿井及洗煤厂现场煤质管控，促使商品煤质量稳 步提升。从近几年的数据上看，公司在成本控制上也做出了一定努力，折旧及摊销、精焦煤加工费两项 均呈现下滑趋势。在高煤质拉动的高煤价以及成本控制两重背景下，公司实现了行业内较高的吨煤毛 利。 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 首鋼福山資源集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00639 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,091,065,770 | | 0 | | 5,091,065,770 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,091,065,770 | | 0 | | 5,091,065, ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the coal industry is entering a new cycle with a significant increase in value, driven by supply-demand restructuring and improved market conditions [1][4]. Group 1: Cycle Review - The coal price center has significantly increased during the 14th Five-Year Plan, and the 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to usher in a new cycle [4][15]. - The report reviews four cycles of the coal industry, highlighting that the current cycle may see a recovery from the bottom in the second half of 2025 [15][16]. - The average price of Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal reached 718 RMB/ton in the second half of 2025, reflecting a 6% increase compared to the first half [20][21]. Group 2: Supply Restructuring - Coal production from 2020 to 2024 increased by 23% to 4.78 billion tons, but growth is expected to slow significantly in 2025, with production growth in Xinjiang only at 2.6% [4][33]. - The report anticipates that coal production will enter a peak and decline phase, with growth rates expected to be between 0.5% and 1.0% from 2026 to 2028 [4][33]. - Regulatory policies are expected to impact coal production, potentially leading to negative growth in certain periods [4][33]. Group 3: Demand Restructuring - The demand for coal is expected to maintain resilience, with electricity consumption projected to grow at around 5% over the next five years, driven by new manufacturing and increased electrification [4][33]. - The report notes that while coal consumption is expected to decline in the short term due to electricity demand pressures, it is likely to recover as macroeconomic policies strengthen in 2026 [4][33]. - Chemical demand is projected to grow at approximately 5%, while declines in steel and construction materials are expected to narrow [4][33]. Group 4: Global and Commodity Perspectives - The report highlights that global coal production is expected to decline, while Southeast Asian demand is projected to grow by 3-5% from 2025 to 2030 [4][33]. - Compared to other commodities, coal has shown weaker performance, with the copper-coal ratio and gold-coal ratio at historical highs [4][33]. - The coal industry's share of industrial profits has dropped to historical lows, while the electricity sector's profit share has reached a high of 10% [4][33]. Group 5: Overall Viewpoint - The report concludes that the coal price center is expected to rise to around 750 RMB/ton in 2026, with leading companies offering dividend yields of 4-6% [4][33]. - Key companies identified include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, and Shaanxi Coal, which are expected to maintain stable profitability [4][33]. - The report emphasizes that after a pessimistic outlook on coal prices is reversed, valuation elasticity is likely to become apparent [4][33].