Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Fuling Zhacai (002507) with a target price of —— yuan over the next six months [1]. Core Views - The company's Q4 performance was slightly below expectations, with a revenue of 4.5 billion yuan, down 10.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.5 billion yuan, down 8.4% year-on-year. The overall annual revenue for 2024 is projected at 24.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 8.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.3% year-on-year [8][9]. - The decline in Q4 revenue is attributed to weak consumer demand and the traditional off-season for pickled vegetables, alongside reduced channel spending and inventory clearance efforts [8]. - Looking ahead to 2025, the company expects revenue growth to stabilize due to increased market penetration of new products and the gradual opening of the catering market [8]. - The company has experienced a cost advantage, with a net profit margin of 34.8% for 2024, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, and a Q4 net profit margin of 36.9%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the use of low-cost raw materials [8][9]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported a revenue of 2,449.85 million yuan and a net profit of 826.58 million yuan. The projections for 2024E are a revenue of 2,407.96 million yuan and a net profit of 824.06 million yuan, with expected growth rates of -1.71% and -0.30% respectively [3][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 0.71 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19 [3][9]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline slightly from 10.03% in 2023 to 9.09% in 2024 [3][9].

[ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 02 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年业绩快报点评 涪陵榨菜（002507）食品饮料 目标价：——元（6 个月） 买入 （维持） 当前价：13.35 元 Q4 业绩略低于预期，成本红利仍可期 风险提示：新品推广或不及预期；原材料价格大幅波动风险。 | [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 2449.85 | 2407.96 | 2545.82 | 2676.03 | | 增长率 | -3.86% | -1.71% | 5.73% | 5.11% | | 归属母公司净利润（百万元） | 826.58 | 824.06 | 896.06 | 971.25 | | 增长率 | -8.03% | -0.30% | 8.74% | 8.39% | | 每股收益 EPS（元） | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.84 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 10.03% | 9.09 ...