FICC日报 | 2025-07-10 MSC下半月价格下修，远东-欧洲航线价格依然在寻顶 市场分析 线上报价方面。 Gemini Cooperation：马士基上海-鹿特丹30周价格为1800/3000；HPL 7月下半月船期报价2235/3535，8月上半月船 期报价2235/3535。 MSC+Premier Alliance：MSC 上海-鹿特丹7月份下半月船期报价2060/3440；ONE7月下半月船期报价3094/4043； HMM上海-鹿特丹7月下半月船期报价1915/3400。YML7月下半月船期报价1850/3200。 Ocean Alliance：CMA 上海-鹿特丹7月上半月船期报价1985/3545，7月下半月船期报价2135/3845，8月份船期报价 2585/4745；EMC7月上半月船期报价2405/3660，7月下半月船期报价2405/3660；OOCL 7月份上半月船期价格 2100/3500。7月下半月船期报价2100/3500。 地缘端： 叙利亚政权代表与叙利亚库尔德武装代表在大马士革会见并进行谈判。双方谈判之后，叙利亚政权发表 声明称，叙利亚政权欢迎与叙库尔德武装携手合 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-07-03 MSC下半月价格沿用，运价顶部大概率已现 市场分析 线上报价方面。 Gemini Cooperation：马士基上海-鹿特丹29周价格为1780/2980；HPL 7月上半月船期报价2035/3235，7月下半月船 期报价2135/3335，8月上半月船期报价2135/3335。 MSC+Premier Alliance：MSC 上海-鹿特丹7月份上半月船期报价2180/3640，7月下半月船期报价2180/3640；ONE 上海-鹿特丹7月上半月船期报价2604/3343，7月下半月船期报价3094/4043；HMM上海-鹿特丹7月上半月价格 1915/3400. Ocean Alliance：COSCO上海-鹿特丹 6月下半月船期报价2625/4225；CMA 上海-鹿特丹7月上半月船期报价 1985/3545，7月下半月船期报价2185/3945；EMC7月上半月船期报价2555/3660；OOCL 7月份上半月船期价格 2100/3500。 地缘端： 加沙多地遭以军空袭，已致108人死亡。哈马斯称正在研究新收到的加沙停火协议草案。伊朗官员：若 敌人再次侵略，伊方 ...

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Antong Holdings reported a significant increase in net profit of 371.53% year-on-year for Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.042 billion yuan, up 26.35% [3][14] - Air China announced its capacity deployment plan for the summer and autumn of 2025, with Guangzhou Baiyun Airport achieving over 5 million inbound and outbound passengers 26 days earlier than in 2024 [3][16] - Shentong Express reported a net profit growth of over 200% for 2024, with the number of A-level logistics companies in China surpassing 10,000 [3][22] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - Antong Holdings' Q1 2025 report shows a net profit increase of 371.53%, driven by improved operational efficiency and freight rates [14] - Air China's summer and autumn capacity plan includes new international routes and a significant increase in passenger traffic at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport [16][17] - Shentong Express achieved a record net profit growth of 205.24% in 2024, reflecting strong performance in the logistics sector [22][23] 2. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - Air freight prices from China to the Asia-Pacific region remained stable in early April 2025, with various indices showing slight fluctuations [26][27] - Domestic freight volume in March 2025 increased by 20.30% year-on-year, with total express business revenue reaching 124.6 billion yuan [52] - The number of A-level logistics companies in China has exceeded 10,000, indicating significant growth in the logistics industry [25] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Consider investment opportunities in the low-altitude economy, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Explore investment opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [5] - Pay attention to e-commerce and express delivery opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda Express [5] - Look into investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China National Aviation, Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and others [5]