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需求收缩,乳业价格战加剧?
Core Insights - The dairy industry is experiencing a continuous decline in demand, with a 16.8% year-on-year drop in overall sales across all channels in September, and a 21.3% decline in offline sales [1][8]. Company Performance - In Q3, Yili's revenue decreased by 1.70% to 28.631 billion yuan, while Bright Dairy's liquid milk revenue fell by 8.44% to 3.54 billion yuan, and San Yuan Dairy's liquid milk revenue dropped by 4.42% to 2.917 billion yuan [1]. - Yili attributes the sales decline to weak macro consumption and abundant raw milk supply, leading to intense price competition within the industry [1]. Pricing Strategies - A price war is ongoing in the dairy sector, with significant price reductions observed in various milk products. For instance, the price of bagged San Yuan fresh milk dropped from 2.9 yuan to 2.6 yuan, and 450ml bottled fresh milk prices fell from 13 yuan to 6.9 yuan [1]. - Yili plans to maintain a balance in the market by introducing quality-price ratio products and providing support to channels to stimulate end-user sales, aiming to preserve the health of the industry ecosystem [3]. Inventory Management - Yili is implementing a light inventory management strategy to mitigate risks for distributors, who are also cautious in their stocking due to demand uncertainties, resulting in a continued decline in revenue from ambient liquid milk [2].
需求收缩,乳业价格战加剧?丨消费参考
Group 1: Dairy Industry Overview - The dairy market has experienced a significant decline in demand, with overall sales down 16.8% year-on-year in September, and offline sales down 21.3% [1] - Major dairy companies reported revenue declines in Q3, with Yili's revenue down 1.70% to 28.631 billion yuan, Bright Dairy's liquid milk revenue down 8.44% to 3.54 billion yuan, and San Yuan Dairy's liquid milk revenue down 4.42% to 2.917 billion yuan [1] - A price war is ongoing in the dairy industry, with significant price reductions observed in various milk products [1] Group 2: Yili's Strategy and Market Position - Yili has adopted a light inventory management strategy to maintain channel health and mitigate risks for distributors, leading to cautious stocking behavior among distributors [2] - Yili aims to avoid exacerbating the price war while focusing on product innovation and marketing strategies to meet consumer demand [2] Group 3: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains weak, contributing to intense price competition in the dairy sector due to ample raw milk supply [1][2]