格隆汇12月9日｜欧洲天然气价格今年已下跌逾40%，尽管冬季储气水平低于平均水平，但充足的液化 天然气供应缓解了市场担忧。基准的荷兰TTF天然气期货合约目前交易于约27欧元/兆瓦时，为一年多 来的最低水平。澳新银行分析师指出："今年冬季欧洲大陆大部分地区气温显著高于正常水平，同时强 风推动可再生能源发电量上升，抑制了对天然气的需求。"此外，东北亚主要LNG进口国冬季库存充 足，减少了对现货船货的竞争，进一步缓解了欧洲买家的采购压力，有助于维持价格低位。尽管如此， 欧盟当前天然气储存设施填充率仅为72%，明显低于五年平均水平，凸显若寒潮来袭，市场仍存上行风 险。 ...

Core Viewpoint - European natural gas prices have risen due to new pressure from Trump on Russia, with a significant increase in trading activity and potential supply constraints impacting the market [1] Group 1: Market Impact - Dutch TTF natural gas futures rose by 0.7% to €34.97 per megawatt-hour, with a weekly increase exceeding 5% [1] - The potential for severe sanctions on Moscow's oil exports could impact major buyers like India if a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine is not reached [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Analysts from ANZ Bank indicate that tightening global supply may intensify competition for liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes in the international market [1] - Increased demand for LNG in Asia is exacerbating the risk of supply shortages, while Europe is accelerating its gas stockpiling ahead of winter [1]

Core Viewpoint - European natural gas prices have risen due to Trump's pressure on Russia to shorten the ceasefire deadline, indicating potential supply constraints and geopolitical tensions affecting energy markets [1] Group 1: Price Movements - Dutch TTF natural gas futures rose by 0.7% to €34.97 per megawatt-hour during early trading in Europe, with a weekly increase exceeding 5% [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Implications - If a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine is not reached, Moscow's oil exports may face severe sanctions, impacting major buyers like India [1] - Analysts from ANZ Bank suggest that tightening global supply may intensify competition for liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes in international markets [1] Group 3: Demand and Supply Dynamics - Increased demand for LNG in Asia is exacerbating the risk of supply shortages, while Europe is accelerating its gas stockpiling ahead of winter [1]