Core Viewpoint - Mandis International, a subsidiary of Sanofi Pharmaceutical focusing on hair loss treatment, has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, but a significant pre-IPO dividend of 770 million yuan raises concerns about the company's future prospects [1][3][7] Financial Performance - Mandis International has maintained a leading position in China's hair loss medication market, with its main brand "Mandis" holding a 57% market share in 2024 [2] - The company's revenue grew from 982 million yuan in 2022 to 1.455 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 21.7%, while net profit increased from 202 million yuan to 390 million yuan during the same period [2] - The gross profit margin has consistently exceeded 80%, reaching 82.7% in 2024, significantly higher than the industry average [2] Dividend Strategy - The company declared a sudden dividend of 770 million yuan in the first half of 2025, which is 4.4 times its net profit of 174 million yuan for that period, surpassing the total dividends of the previous three years [3] - This dividend payout has drastically reduced the company's net current assets from 595 million yuan at the end of 2024 to just 400,000 yuan in the first half of 2025 [3] - The primary beneficiaries of this dividend are the controlling shareholders, who hold 87.16% of the company [3] Research and Development - Despite the high dividend, the company's R&D expenditure has decreased significantly, dropping to 19.5 million yuan in the first half of 2025, only one-third of the amount from the same period in 2024 [3] - The R&D team has also shrunk to 46 members, contrasting sharply with the high sales expenses, which reached 374 million yuan in the first half of 2025, accounting for 50.4% of revenue [3] Market Challenges - The company faces significant challenges as its core patent is set to expire in 2028, which may lead to an influx of generic drugs and potential price wars [4] - Competitive pressures are already evident, with a 52% drop in the bidding price for its core product in provincial drug procurement in 2024 [4] - Additionally, the company is contending with competition from consumer brands that have entered the hair loss treatment market [4] Future Strategy - The IPO proceeds are intended to enhance R&D capabilities, strategic business collaborations, digital operations, and brand building [6] - The company is expanding its product line with new treatments, including D2501 for vitiligo and WS2505 for obesity, with the latter expected to enter clinical trials soon [6] - However, these new products are unlikely to contribute significantly to revenue in the short term, leaving the company heavily reliant on its minoxidil product line during a critical period of patent expiration and increased competition [6] Conclusion - Mandis International has established a strong market position and profitability in the hair loss treatment sector, but faces challenges from its pre-IPO dividend strategy, high sales costs, declining R&D investment, and impending patent expiration [7] - Investors should consider both the short-term financial metrics and the long-term growth potential, as sustained innovation and product diversification will be crucial for maintaining long-term value [7]

Core Viewpoint - Mandi International has submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the "first stock in anti-hair loss" amid a growing consumer healthcare market and increasing youth hair loss issues [1]. Company Overview - Mandi International, originally Zhejiang Wansheng Pharmaceutical Co., launched the first 5% minoxidil solution in China in 2001 and has maintained a leading position in the hair loss treatment market for the past decade [4]. - The company is planning to spin off and independently list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its parent company, 3SBio, holding an 87.16% stake prior to the split [4]. Financial Performance - Mandi International's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 981.54 million in 2022 to RMB 1.45 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.7% [5]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 202 million in 2022 to RMB 390 million in 2024, with gross margins improving from 80.3% to 82.7% during the same period [5]. - The company's revenue from its main product line, the Mandi series, accounted for over 90% of total revenue, indicating a heavy reliance on this product line [6]. Market Dynamics - The hair health management market in China is projected to grow from RMB 19.8 billion in 2018 to RMB 52.7 billion by 2024, with an expected CAGR of 11.3% until 2035 [10]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with traditional pharmaceutical companies and international giants entering the market with new products [10]. Marketing and R&D Expenditure - Marketing expenses have been increasing, with sales and marketing costs rising from RMB 476.39 million in 2022 to RMB 633.80 million in 2024, representing a significant portion of revenue [8]. - In contrast, R&D spending is projected to decrease significantly in 2025, raising concerns about the company's long-term innovation capabilities [10]. Future Plans - The company plans to use the net proceeds from its IPO for enhancing R&D capabilities, digital operations, brand building, and working capital [11].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the spin-off of the consumer pharmaceutical business, Mandi International, from Sangfor Pharmaceutical marks a significant move towards independent listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, highlighting the company's strategy to unlock value and navigate market challenges [1][3][9]. Company Overview - Mandi International, a subsidiary of Sangfor Pharmaceutical, has dominated the Chinese hair loss treatment market for over a decade with its Minoxidil products, holding approximately 57% market share in 2024 [4][6]. - The company was founded by Lou Dan in 1993, with Lou Jing taking over management in 1995, and has since expanded through acquisitions, including the full acquisition of Zhejiang Wansheng Pharmaceutical in 2015 [3]. Financial Performance - Mandi International's revenue is heavily reliant on its Minoxidil product line, contributing over 90% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024, with projected revenues of 982 million yuan in 2022, 1.228 billion yuan in 2023, and 1.455 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 21.7% [6][7]. - The company experienced a revenue growth of 25.05% in 2023, but this is expected to slow to 18.49% in 2024, with net profit growth also declining from 68.81% in 2023 to 14.37% in 2024 [6][8]. Market Challenges - The company faces significant challenges due to policy changes, with a reported 52% price drop for its core Minoxidil liquid products following collective procurement initiatives, impacting its high-margin business model [8]. - Increased competition from brands like Zhendong Pharmaceutical and new entrants in the hair loss treatment market adds pressure on Mandi International to diversify its product offerings and maintain growth [8][11]. Spin-off Implications - The spin-off is seen as a strategic asset restructuring for Sangfor Pharmaceutical, allowing it to focus on its core biopharmaceutical business while Mandi International seeks to establish its own market identity [9][10]. - Post-spin-off, Mandi International will not retain any equity in Sangfor, indicating a complete separation that may pose risks as it loses the backing of its parent company [10]. Future Growth Prospects - Mandi International is exploring new growth avenues beyond hair loss treatments, including dermatology and weight management, with potential new products expected to enter the market by 2026 [11]. - The company’s ability to navigate the challenges of high customer and supplier concentration, alongside rising sales expenses, will be critical for its success as an independent entity [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the stock, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a stable revenue of 4.36 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 1.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.6% [4][5]. - The core products and subsidiary revenues are performing steadily, with significant contributions from various product lines [5]. - The licensing agreement for the 707 product with Pfizer is expected to enhance profits and reduce risks associated with global market expansion [6][7]. Company Overview - Latest closing price: HKD 30.94 - Total shares: 2.432 billion, with a market capitalization of HKD 75.2 billion - 52-week high/low: HKD 36.80 / HKD 5.43 - Debt-to-asset ratio: 25.51% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 27.4 [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 9.108 billion, 19.723 billion, 10.840 billion, and 12.075 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 17%, 117%, -45%, and 11% [9]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 2.090 billion, 9.693 billion, 2.405 billion, and 2.762 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 35%, 364%, -75%, and 15% [9]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 3.99 yuan, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio of 6.96 [9]. Product Development and Market Potential - The 707 product, a dual antibody targeting PD-1/VEGF, has shown promising clinical data and is expected to be a cornerstone in global oncology treatment [6][7]. - The product has received breakthrough therapy designation in China and is undergoing multiple clinical trials for various cancers [7].