[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|软件与服务 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【广发计算机&海外】金山云（03896.HK） 前瞻：预计25Q4 AI云高增长，26年延续高资本开支 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测：备注：报告中汇率为 1 港元=0.893 人民币；货币若无特别说明均为人民币。 | [Table_ 单位:Finance] 人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 7,047 | 7,785 | 9,481 | 12,215 | 14,687 | | 增长率 （ % ） | -13.8% | 10.5% | 21.8% | 28.8% | 20.2% | | 经调整EBITDA（百万元） | -265 | 639 | 2,292 | 4,072 | 5,657 | | 经调整净利润（百万元） | -1,291 | -825 | -567 | -519 | -387 | | EPS（元/股） | -0.61 ...

Group 1 - The company experienced a revenue acceleration and improvement in profitability in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 2.478 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 31.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 5.5% [4] - Adjusted gross profit for Q3 2025 was 393 million yuan, up 27.6% year-over-year and 12.0% quarter-over-quarter; adjusted EBITDA reached 827 million yuan, a significant year-over-year increase of 345.9%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.4%, up 23.6 percentage points year-over-year and 16.1 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [4] - The company turned around its adjusted operating profit and net profit to 15 million yuan and 29 million yuan respectively, compared to losses of 140 million yuan and 240 million yuan in the same period last year, indicating a clear profitability inflection point [4] Group 2 - Public cloud revenue grew rapidly, reaching 1.752 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 49.1% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7.8%; AI billing revenue was 780 million yuan, nearly doubling year-over-year with a continuous three-digit growth for nine consecutive quarters, accounting for 45% of public cloud revenue [5] - The company is enhancing its intelligent computing cloud capabilities, which include the release of model API services and the integration of online service models, driving business growth; strong customer demand for AI is expected to continue, with high-margin inference business demand likely to increase [5] Group 3 - Revenue from the Xiaomi & Kingsoft ecosystem reached 690 million yuan in Q3 2025, up 84% year-over-year and 10% quarter-over-quarter, further increasing its share of total revenue to 28%; from Q1 2025 to Q3 2025, total revenue from this ecosystem was 1.82 billion yuan [6] - The industry cloud segment showed steady revenue growth, achieving 726 million yuan in Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 2.2% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.2%; ongoing collaborations are expanding, including new developments in the Shanghai state-owned cloud project and partnerships with hospitals and clean energy service providers [6]

Core Viewpoint - Company maintains a "buy" rating for Kingsoft Cloud (03896) due to accelerated revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3 2025, with public cloud revenue increasing by 49.1% and AI billing revenue growing nearly 120% year-on-year, accounting for 45% of total revenue [1][4] Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, Kingsoft Cloud achieved revenue of 2.478 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.5%, primarily driven by high growth in AI business [1] - Adjusted gross profit reached 393 million yuan, up 27.6% year-on-year and 12.0% quarter-on-quarter; adjusted EBITDA was 827 million yuan, a significant increase of 345.9% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.4%, up 23.6 percentage points year-on-year and 16.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1][4] - Both adjusted operating profit and adjusted net profit increased, reaching 15 million yuan and 29 million yuan respectively, indicating a clear upward trend in profitability [1] Public Cloud Growth - Public cloud revenue in Q3 2025 was 1.752 billion yuan, growing by 49.1% year-on-year and 7.8% quarter-on-quarter, with AI billing revenue reaching 780 million yuan, up nearly 120% year-on-year, maintaining triple-digit growth for nine consecutive quarters [2] - The company continues to enhance its intelligent computing cloud capabilities, which has driven business growth, and anticipates strong customer demand for AI, with high-margin inference business expected to increase further [2] Ecosystem Revenue - Ecosystem revenue from Xiaomi and Kingsoft reached 690 million yuan in Q3 2025, up 84% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, accounting for 28% of total revenue [2] - From Q1 2025 to Q3 2025, total revenue from the Xiaomi and Kingsoft ecosystem amounted to 1.82 billion yuan, indicating the company's commitment to providing quality services to ecosystem enterprises [2] Industry Cloud Performance - Industry cloud revenue in Q3 2025 was 726 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2%, reflecting steady performance and ongoing collaboration with existing partners [3] Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company expects EBITDA margin to remain above 20% as the proportion of high-margin inference business increases, despite Q3 2025 EBITDA and net profit margins being significantly boosted by one-time subsidy income [4] - The company forecasts revenues of 9.5 billion yuan, 11 billion yuan, and 12.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating based on the strong growth driven by AI [4]

Core Insights - The company has significantly improved its profitability in Q3 2025, with a notable turnaround in financial performance [1][2] Financial Performance - Total revenue reached RMB 24.78 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.4% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.5% [2] - Public cloud revenue amounted to RMB 17.52 billion, showing a substantial year-on-year growth of 49.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.8% [2] - Industry cloud revenue was RMB 7.26 billion, remaining relatively stable [2] - Gross profit stood at RMB 3.81 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, with a gross margin of 15.4% [2] - Adjusted operating profit turned from a loss to a profit, recording RMB 15.4 million compared to a loss of RMB 1.40 billion in the same period last year [2] - Adjusted net profit was RMB 28.7 million, marking the first profitable quarter compared to a net loss of RMB 237 million in the previous year [2] - Adjusted EBITDA reached RMB 82.7 million, soaring by 345.9% year-on-year, with a profit margin of 33.4% [2] Business Highlights - Revenue from artificial intelligence business reached RMB 7.82 billion, showing an approximate year-on-year growth of 120% [2] - The collaboration with Xiaomi contributed significantly, with revenue increasing by 83.8% year-on-year to RMB 6.91 billion [2] Cost Management - Operating costs were RMB 2.097 billion, up 32.5% year-on-year, primarily due to increased investments in artificial intelligence computing resources [1][2] Cash Position - Cash and cash equivalents totaled RMB 39.55 billion, a decrease from the previous quarter mainly due to investments in computing equipment [2]

智通财经APP获悉，11月19日，金山云(KC.US，03896.HK)发布2025年第三季度财报。财报显示，金山 云Q3营收24.8亿元，同比增长31%；其中，公有云实现收入17.5亿元，行业云实现收入7.3亿元，均实现 同环比增长。调整后毛利润3.9亿元，同比增长28%；调整后经营利润扭亏为盈达1,536万元，调整后经 营利润率0.6%；调整后净利润首次实现盈利达2,873万元。 ...

季度内，公有云实现收入17.5亿元，行业云实现收入7.3亿元，均实现了同环比增长，其中公有云同比大 幅增长49%。调整后毛利润3.9亿元，同比增长28%；调整后经营利润扭亏为盈达1,536万元，调整后经 营利润率0.6%；调整后净利润首次实现盈利达2,873万元。 11月19日，金山云(NASDAQ:KC，HKEX:3896)发布2025年第三季度财报。季度内，公司人工智能战略 稳步落实，核心业务实现韧性增长。财报显示，金山云Q3营收24.8亿元，同比增长率由上季度的24%再 次提速至31%；智算云账单收入达7.8亿元，同比增长近120%，在公有云收入占比达45%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) has shown a strong upward movement in stock price, increasing by 4.44% to HKD 6.12, with a trading volume of HKD 340 million, indicating positive market sentiment ahead of its upcoming board meeting to discuss Q3 results [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company plans to hold a board meeting on November 19 to consider and approve its unaudited Q3 results for the three months ending September 30, 2025 [1] - Previous reports highlighted a clear AI-driven growth path in Q2, showcasing robust growth in public cloud services while maintaining steady development in industry cloud and improving overall profitability [1] Group 2: Competitive Advantage - Kingsoft Cloud possesses a first-mover advantage in the AI sector, supported by a strong ecosystem and collaborative synergies, which together form a solid competitive moat and future growth potential [1] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its revenue growth potential in the coming periods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) has announced a share placement to raise approximately HKD 27.6 billion, with 80% of the proceeds allocated for AI business expansion, indicating a strong focus on enhancing infrastructure and cloud service capabilities [1][1][1] Group 1: Financial Details - The company plans to issue 338 million new shares at a price of HKD 8.29 per share, which has led to a stock price increase of over 5% in early trading [1][1] - After the placement, Kingsoft Software will hold 32.94% of the shares, while Xiaomi will hold 10.29% [1][1] Group 2: Strategic Insights - Guoyuan International highlights that the ecosystem formed by Kingsoft Cloud, Kingsoft Group, and Xiaomi is a unique competitive advantage that differentiates it from other cloud providers [1][1] - The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory driven by AI in the second quarter, maintaining rapid growth in public cloud services while ensuring steady development in industry cloud and overall profitability [1][1] - Kingsoft Cloud's first-mover advantage in the AI sector and its robust ecosystem synergy are key components of its competitive moat and future growth potential [1][1]

Core Viewpoint - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) experienced a nearly 10% increase in stock price, attributed to a strong Q2 performance driven by AI, with revenue growth of 24.2% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue reached 2.35 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.2% [1] - Public cloud revenue was 1.63 billion yuan, up 31.7% year-on-year [1] - Industry cloud revenue amounted to 720 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.1% [1] AI Impact - AI has had a positive impact on the main business, contributing to the overall strong performance of the company [1] Analyst Ratings - Bank of America issued a report indicating that AI development is driving robust growth in the public cloud business [1] - The firm has a "Buy" rating on Kingsoft Cloud, with a target price of 10.6 Hong Kong dollars [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) experienced a nearly 10% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 8.99 with a trading volume of HKD 1.558 billion, following the release of its Q2 2025 financial report [1] Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Kingsoft Cloud reported revenue of RMB 2.35 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.2% [1] - Public cloud revenue was RMB 1.63 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 31.7% [1] - Industry cloud revenue reached RMB 720 million, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1% [1] Impact of AI - The integration of AI has positively influenced the company's core business, contributing to strong overall performance growth [1] - Bank of America highlighted that the development of AI is driving robust growth in the public cloud sector [1] Analyst Rating - Bank of America issued a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Cloud, setting a target price of HKD 10.6, citing strong AI demand as a key factor for the company's performance exceeding expectations [1]