营收及业绩企稳改善，新签订单稳定增长 金螳螂(002081) 证券研究报告 装修装饰Ⅱ / 公司点评 / 2025.08.26 | 投资评级:增持(维持) | | | --- | --- | | 基本数据 | 2025-08-25 | | 收盘价(元) | 3.62 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 26.45 | | 每股净资产(元) | 5.16 | | 总股本(亿股) | 26.55 | 最近 12 月市场表现 数据来源：wind 数据，财通证券研究所（以 2025 年 08 月 25 日收盘价计算） 相关报告 1. 《Q1 盈利同比稳定，持续加强业务优化》 2025-04-30 2. 《主业经营仍承压，经营性现金维持净流 入》 2025-04-30 3. 《经营尚在修复期，持续深耕属地市场》 2024-05-02 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ -7% 1% 10% 19% 28% 36% 金螳螂 沪深300 分析师 毕春晖 SAC 证书编号：S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 联系人 陈悦明 chenym01@ctsec.com 核心观点 | 盈利预测 | | | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in orders, indicating a turning point in operations. The revenue for 1H25 reached 9.528 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.49%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 358 million RMB, up 3.95% year-on-year [1] - The company’s decoration business revenue grew, with a notable recovery in the scale of income, attributed to a continuous increase in order growth over the past nine quarters [2] - The company achieved new signed orders of 12.46 billion RMB in 1H25, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, with significant growth in orders from Guangdong and Sichuan regions [4] - The company maintains a target price of 4.31 RMB, reflecting a 20x PE valuation for 2025, with projected net profits of 574 million RMB for 2025 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported a total revenue of 95.28 billion RMB, with a net profit of 3.58 billion RMB and a non-recurring net profit of 3.31 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 14.19% [1][2] - The comprehensive gross margin for 1H25 was 13.71%, a slight increase of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year, with the decoration and design business gross margins at 12.52% and 31.26%, respectively [2] Cost and Efficiency - The expense ratio for 1H25 was 7.68%, a decrease of 0.20 percentage points year-on-year, with improvements in accounts receivable turnover ratio to 0.74 times [3] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -1.023 billion RMB, which was a reduction in outflow by 167 million RMB year-on-year [3] Order and Market Dynamics - The company has signed new orders for nine consecutive quarters, with a significant increase in overseas revenue by nearly 29% year-on-year [4] - The company’s order growth is driven by enhanced regional focus and optimization of business structure, including urban renewal and clean technology development [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 574 million, 602 million, and 624 million RMB, respectively, with a CAGR of 4.28% [5] - The company is valued at a PE of 20x for 2025, with a target price set at 4.31 RMB, indicating a potential upside from the current market price [5]